⚠️ Uptrend Under Pressure Severe risk · 99 · Institutional selling is building — 6 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. · 6 distribution days (SPY) Full briefing → Jul 28
Last 30 Days
12
breakout attempts since Jun 28
Resolved
12
audited attempts
Held Above Pivot
75.0%
9 held / 3 failed
Open
0
awaiting resolution

How to read this page: the historical replay and the live 30-day attempt audit are different measurements. Replay rows show target before stop and Avg R for a fixed rule set; live rows show whether a logged attempt held above its pivot under the resolver described below. Neither measurement predicts a future winner.

Detector Stats

Historical replay numbers are hidden because the artifact is stale (source bars are 15 days old). No zero or older percentage is substituted.
Replay Method
Executable Setup Replay v2
scored setup backtest
Symbols Tested
artifact universe
Credible Patterns
Sample size threshold met
Credible Legends
methodology groups

Generated 2026-07-14T04:16:33.920351+00:00; source-bar window 2024-11-11–2026-07-13. Rows below show no percentage below n=30. Read the exact definitions.

Pattern Expectancy

PatternSample sizeTarget Before StopAvg ReturnAvg RReplay Window
No credible pattern samples yet.

Historical replay: configured target before stop inside the replay window, after an executable post-signal fill; sample and source-bar window are shown above. Avg Return and Avg R include targets, stops, and full-window timeouts. Historical and illustrative, not predictive. Each pattern's page in the Pattern Library also shows stored-bar follow-up observations.

Methodology Splits

Legend / MethodologySample sizeTarget Before StopAvg ReturnAvg R

Live attempts logged before pattern metadata was captured appear as "Unclassified" in the splits below. These rows use the last-30-day window shown at the top and display the resolved denominator beside every rate.

Recent Resolution

This is an audit curve of breakout holds versus failures, not a P&L backtest.

Live Attempt Splits

TypeSplitAttemptsResolvedHeld Above PivotRate
Pattern Unclassified 5 5 5 100.0%
Pattern Wyckoff SOS 2 2 1 50.0%
Pattern Darvas Box 2 2 0 0.0%
Pattern Pocket Pivot 1 1 1 100.0%
Pattern Cup & Handle 1 1 1 100.0%
Pattern MA Pullback 1 1 1 100.0%
Legend Unclassified 5 5 5 100.0%
Legend Wyckoff 2 2 1 50.0%
Legend O'Neil 2 2 2 100.0%
Legend Darvas 2 2 0 0.0%
Legend Weinstein 1 1 1 100.0%
Regime Uptrend 7 7 4 57.1%
Regime Unclassified 5 5 5 100.0%

Recent Attempts

TickerPatternAttemptPivotStatusResolvedClose vs Pivot
CHRW Wyckoff SOS Jul 23, 2026 $194.58 FAILED Jul 24, 2026 -2.0%
CHRW Pocket Pivot Jul 17, 2026 $205.75 SUCCESS Jul 21, 2026 +0.0%
GS Darvas Box Jul 15, 2026 $1126.12 FAILED Jul 21, 2026 -6.3%
JPM Darvas Box Jul 15, 2026 $341.74 FAILED Jul 21, 2026 -0.8%
CHRW Cup & Handle Jul 13, 2026 $195.63 SUCCESS Jul 17, 2026 +5.2%
BIIB Wyckoff SOS Jul 09, 2026 $195.50 SUCCESS Jul 16, 2026 +6.9%
CSCO MA Pullback Jul 09, 2026 $113.82 SUCCESS Jul 14, 2026 +4.8%
APD Jul 03, 2026 $298.30 SUCCESS Jul 07, 2026 +3.5%
YUM Jul 03, 2026 $160.40 SUCCESS Jul 07, 2026 +3.5%
VRTX Jun 30, 2026 $486.62 SUCCESS Jul 07, 2026 +8.8%
GLW Jun 29, 2026 $212.00 SUCCESS Jul 02, 2026 +4.1%
BIIB Jun 29, 2026 $206.18 SUCCESS Jul 02, 2026 +1.7%

Caveats

Sample size matters. A 30-day live audit can be thin, and the historical replay is a fixed-window model of setup rules, not brokerage fills, slippage, taxes, liquidity, or individualized risk. Past scanner behavior does not guarantee future outcomes. For educational research only. Not investment advice.