Proof Center
A transparent read on what the scanner has actually logged, what the historical replay says, and where the sample is still thin. Not investment advice.
How to read this page: the historical replay and the live 30-day attempt audit are different measurements. Replay rows show target before stop and Avg R for a fixed rule set; live rows show whether a logged attempt held above its pivot under the resolver described below. Neither measurement predicts a future winner.
Detector Stats
Generated Sep 8, 2026; source-bar window 2025-03-17–2026-09-04. Rows below show no percentage below n=30. Read the exact definitions.
Pattern Expectancy
| Pattern | Sample size | Target Before Stop | Avg Return | Avg R | Replay Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Pivot | 139 | 27% | +3.0% | +0.37R | 40 sessions |
| Wyckoff SOS | 71 | 27% | +4.1% | +0.52R | 40 sessions |
| Darvas Box | 60 | 18% | -0.2% | -0.03R | 40 sessions |
| Cup & Handle | 53 | 21% | +1.9% | +0.24R | 40 sessions |
| Base Breakout | 37 | 30% | +1.9% | +0.24R | 40 sessions |
Historical replay: +20% target before −8% stop within 40 sessions, after an executable post-signal fill; sample and source-bar window are shown above. Avg Return and Avg R include targets, stops, and full-window timeouts. Historical and illustrative, not predictive. Each pattern's page in the Pattern Library also shows stored-bar follow-up observations.
Methodology Splits
| Legend / Methodology | Sample size | Target Before Stop | Avg Return | Avg R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O'Neil | 217 | 24% | +2.3% | +0.29R |
| Darvas | 123 | 24% | +1.2% | +0.15R |
| Wyckoff | 71 | 27% | +4.1% | +0.52R |
| Minervini | 41 | 20% | +1.6% | +0.20R |
Live attempts logged before pattern metadata was captured appear as "Unclassified" in the splits below. These rows use the last-30-day window shown at the top and display the resolved denominator beside every rate.
Live Attempt Splits
Splits arrive with the first live attempts
Once breakout attempts land in the 30-day window above, they are split here by pattern, legend, and market regime — with the resolved denominator shown beside every rate.
Recent Attempts
No breakout attempts logged yet
The day the scanner logs a pivot-level setup it lands in this table, then gets tracked for 30 sessions until it resolves as held or failed.
See today's scanCaveats
Sample size matters. A 30-day live audit can be thin, and the historical replay is a fixed-window model of setup rules, not brokerage fills, slippage, taxes, liquidity, or individualized risk. Past scanner behavior does not guarantee future outcomes. For educational research only. Not investment advice.