Base Breakout Setup
A simple horizontal consolidation that resolves with a breakout above the range high on heavy volume. The catch-all for breakouts that don't fit a more specific pattern (VCP, Cup & Handle, etc.) but show clean accumulation.
Historical replay numbers are unavailable because the artifact is stale (source bars are 15 days old). The page does not substitute zeros or older results.
How this is measured →Setup Criteria
- › Defined horizontal trading range (5–20% deep)
- › Range duration 3+ weeks
- › Volume contracts during the range
- › Breakout above the range high on 40%+ volume surge
Breakout above the consolidation high.
Below the bottom of the range.
What Happened Next
Forward returns after the scanner first flagged a Base Breakout (score ≥ 70, gatekeeper passed, one signal per base) — computed from stored daily bars, no lookahead. 45 historical signals.
| After | Median Return | % Positive | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 sessions | -0.8% | 33.3% | 45 |
| 10 sessions | -0.6% | 47.6% | 42 |
| 20 sessions | -2.6% | 37.9% | 29 |
| 40 sessions | +2.8% | 61.5% | 13 |
Median best move inside 40 sessions: +5.4% · median worst drawdown: -8.1%. Past scanner behavior does not guarantee future outcomes. Not investment advice.
