Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
← All Patterns · Darvas · Beginner

Darvas Box Setup

Nicolas Darvas's mechanical method. Identify a 'box' as a horizontal range bounded by a recent new high and the subsequent pullback low. Buy the breakout above the box top; sell if it breaks below the box bottom.

Historical replay

Target before stop: 18% reached +20% before −8% within 40 sessions. Sample: n=60 eligible setups. Average: -0.2% per setup (-0.03R).

Source-bar window: 2025-03-17–2026-09-04. Entry requires an executable breakout fill after the signal; unresolved setups receive the full replay window. Historical and illustrative, not predictive. No brokerage slippage, fees, taxes, or individualized sizing.

How this is measured →

Setup Criteria

  • Stock making new 52-week highs
  • Defines a box: high (resistance) + 3% buffer below (support)
  • Box typically forms over 1–4 weeks
  • Volume should expand on breakout
  • Buy near 52W high, not on dips
Entry

Breakout above the box high with volume.

Stop Loss

Below the box low — strict, no exceptions.

Worked Example

ADM — flagged as a Darvas Box on Sep 11, 2026 (score 80). 26 weekly bars with the 10-week SMA.

$70.00$80.00$90.00Vol 34MVol 18MMarJunSep '26

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Historical detection shown for education — not a current recommendation.

Today's Darvas Box Setups — 2 found

Ticker Setup score RS score Trend
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company 80 70
VGT 55 69
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Pattern Diagram
Pattern Info
LegendDarvas
Difficulty Beginner
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