Uptrend Under Pressure 100
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← All Patterns · Weinstein · Beginner

MA Pullback Setup

Weinstein's core add-on setup. In an established Stage 2 uptrend, the stock pulls back to the 10-week or 30-week moving average on declining volume — a normal correction within the trend. Offers a lower-risk entry close to a well-defined stop with the trend behind you.

Historical replay

Target before stop: 9% reached +20% before −8% within 40 sessions. Sample: n=103 eligible setups. Average: -0.5% per setup (-0.07R).

Source-bar window: 2024-11-01–2026-10-26. Entry requires an executable breakout fill after the signal; unresolved setups receive the full replay window. Historical and illustrative, not predictive. No brokerage slippage, fees, taxes, or individualized sizing.

How this is measured →

Setup Criteria

  • › Stock in confirmed Stage 2 uptrend
  • › 10-week or 30-week MA is trending upward
  • › Pullback to the MA on declining volume
  • › The MA acts as support — buyers show up at the line
  • › Relative strength line holds up vs market
Entry

Buy as price tests and bounces off the moving average.

Stop Loss

A close below the 30-week MA — if that breaks, Stage 2 may be over.

Worked Example

COP — flagged as a MA Pullback on Sep 24, 2026 (score 55). 26 weekly bars with the 10-week SMA.

$120$140Vol 49MVol 32MMayAugOct '26

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Historical detection shown for education — not a current recommendation.

What Happened Next

Forward returns after the scanner first flagged a MA Pullback (score ≥ 70, gatekeeper passed, one signal per base) — computed from stored daily bars, no lookahead. 47 historical signals.

AfterMedian Return% PositiveSample
5 sessions -0.1% 46.8% 47
10 sessions +1.1% 59.6% 47
20 sessions +2.9% 63.8% 47
40 sessions -1.5% 48.8% 41

Median best move inside 40 sessions: +8.1% · median worst drawdown: -7.1%. Past scanner behavior does not guarantee future outcomes. Not investment advice.

No MA Pullback setups in the latest scan

Market conditions may not be producing this pattern right now — the scanner re-checks every trading day.

Pattern Diagram
Pattern Info
LegendWeinstein
Difficulty Beginner
Scanner ✓ Active