Stage 2 Breakout Setup
Stan Weinstein's foundational setup: stock breaks out of a Stage 1 base (consolidation above the 30-week MA) with the 30-week MA turning up. The breakout marks the transition into Stage 2 (advancing) — Weinstein's primary buy phase.
Historical replay numbers are unavailable because the artifact is stale (source bars are 15 days old). The page does not substitute zeros or older results.
How this is measured →Setup Criteria
- › Stock has built a base above a flattening 30-week MA
- › 30-week MA is turning upward
- › Breakout above prior resistance on heavy volume
- › Relative strength line confirms — making new highs vs SPX
Breakout above the Stage 1 trading range high on volume.
Below the 30-week MA.
What Happened Next
Forward returns after the scanner first flagged a Stage 2 Breakout (score ≥ 70, gatekeeper passed, one signal per base) — computed from stored daily bars, no lookahead. 17 historical signals.
| After | Median Return | % Positive | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 sessions | -1.6% | 23.5% | 17 |
| 10 sessions | -1.8% | 35.3% | 17 |
| 20 sessions | -3.2% | 25.0% | 12 |
| 40 sessions | +6.2% | 60.0% | 5 |
Median best move inside 40 sessions: +4.9% · median worst drawdown: -5.8%. Past scanner behavior does not guarantee future outcomes. Not investment advice.
