Stage 2 Breakout Setup
Stan Weinstein's foundational setup: stock breaks out of a Stage 1 base (consolidation above the 30-week MA) with the 30-week MA turning up. The breakout marks the transition into Stage 2 (advancing) — Weinstein's primary buy phase.
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How this is measured →Setup Criteria
- › Stock has built a base above a flattening 30-week MA
- › 30-week MA is turning upward
- › Breakout above prior resistance on heavy volume
- › Relative strength line confirms — making new highs vs SPX
Breakout above the Stage 1 trading range high on volume.
Below the 30-week MA.
Worked Example
VGT — flagged as a Stage 2 Breakout on Oct 27, 2026 (score 55). 26 weekly bars with the 10-week SMA.
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Historical detection shown for education — not a current recommendation.
What Happened Next
Forward returns after the scanner first flagged a Stage 2 Breakout (score ≥ 70, gatekeeper passed, one signal per base) — computed from stored daily bars, no lookahead. 32 historical signals.
| After | Median Return | % Positive | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 sessions | -1.0% | 34.4% | 32 |
| 10 sessions | -1.4% | 39.3% | 28 |
| 20 sessions | -2.9% | 31.8% | 22 |
| 40 sessions | -1.3% | 38.9% | 18 |
Median best move inside 40 sessions: +5.3% · median worst drawdown: -5.7%. Past scanner behavior does not guarantee future outcomes. Not investment advice.
Today's Stage 2 Breakout Setups — 9 found
| Ticker | Setup score | RS score | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| AME AMETEK, Inc. | 55 | 63 | — |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | 55 | 63 | ✓ |
| FAST Fastenal Company | 55 | 73 | ✓ |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | 55 | 76 | ✓ |
| IEX IDEX Corporation | 55 | 70 | ✓ |
| QQQ | 55 | 62 | — |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 55 | 85 | ✓ |
| VGT | 55 | 78 | — |
| XLV | 55 | 73 | ✓ |
All Stage 2 Breakout Matches — 9 in the latest scan
Every match from the latest run, annotated with the detector's rails. Click any card for the full chart and trade plan.
