Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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AES · The AES Corporation

$14.80 -0.13% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 67/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 67, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$AES

The AES Corporation

The AES Corporation is a large-cap Electric Utilities company in the Utilities sector with a market cap of $11B.

Utilities Electric Utilities stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$14.80 latest close
Verdict · setup score 67/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 67, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

AES-0.13%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. +0.47 points vs SPY.

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-0.13% From the open-0.07% Range position0% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%) SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $14.80 -0.1% Sep 10 close
52W High $17.65 16.1% below high
Wks Since High 26w
Base Depth 19.0% 20.7% today
RS Rank 9 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $14.75
Avg Vol 7,722,465
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 1.22×
More stats
52W Low $12.33
Tight Wks 13
Base B2
SMA 200 $14.61
RS Line vs High -22.5%
RS Line Slope +3.1% ▲
Group Rank #55/58
ADR% 0.3%
ATR(14) $0.04 (0.3%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 1.71
A/D Days 12A / 13D
A/D Rating D
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 8d
Position in 52-week range 46thpercentile of the 52-week range
$12.33low
$17.65high

AES Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$AES · $14.80 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
95
/ 100
Technicals 95/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$14.75 ↑
100-day$14.66 ↑
200-day$14.61 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading56.2 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.007

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width78% · 0.9%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.71 · Accumulation
Rel volume1.22×

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $16.78swing level
R · $17.6552-week high
Price · $14.80now
S · $14.70swing level
S · $14.24swing level
S · $14.05swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6% ◄ price here$14.67
38.2%$14.54
50.0%$14.44
61.8%$14.33
78.6%$14.18

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulationRS 14 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about AES
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 7/11 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $14.80, MA150 $14.74, MA200 $14.61
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $14.74 vs MA200 $14.61
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 14
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-34.3% QoQ
7/11 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev -0.4% | ROE 43.3%
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 0.29%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-34.3% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 14
2/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $14.80 vs MA200 $14.61
Failing evidence
30-week MA trending upwardFrom weekly scan context
Stage 1→2 breakout on expanding volume1.22x on the fresh 30-week MA breakout — needs ≥1.4x to confirm
4/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$14.80
Distance from 52-week high16.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 14
Volume vs average1.22x
3/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$14.80
Distance from 52-week high16.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 14
Volume vs average1.22x
3/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$14.80
Distance from 52-week high16.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 14
Volume vs average1.22x
3/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Shooting Star — Long upper shadow with a small body near the low — sellers rejected higher prices. A caution flag when price is extended above a pivot.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
100RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 D
A: 7 D: 4 Net: +365 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (6/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -34%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY -0%
Gross margin ≥30% 20%
ROE ≥17% 43%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 14
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -16.1%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

67 setup score
RS Score 14
Trend template 6/8
Why This Setup?
Trend Only · schematic

Gatekeeper 6/8 | Moderate trend (6/8) | Accumulation (1.7× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Tight base (13 tight wks)

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 9 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.2× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 6/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

6/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $14.80 vs SMA150 $14.74 / SMA200 $14.61
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $14.74 vs SMA200 $14.61
SMA 200 trending up Slope +0.07 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $14.75
Price above SMA 50 $14.80 vs SMA50 $14.75
30%+ above 52-week low +20.0% from $12.33
Within 25% of 52-week high -16.1% from $17.65
RS score above 70 RS 14

Fundamentals

52W Range
46%
Mkt Cap SEC
10.6B
EPS QoQ
-34%
Rev YoY
-0%
ROE
43%
Gross Margin
20%
D/E
7.36
EPS TTM
$1.26
P/E TTM
11.7x
Float
713M

Company

Company profile
The AES Corporation
AES · NYSE · Utilities · Electric Utilities

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
5/8
W. RS
55
W. Support
$13.99
W. Resist
$14.88
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Sep 10: 66 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 66 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 66 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 67 (Trend Only)67
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
67
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
66
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
66
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
66 0.0%
Sep 09
watchlist_candidate
0 -0.1%

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