⚠️ Uptrend Under Pressure Severe risk · 99 · Institutional selling is building — 6 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. · 6 distribution days (SPY) Full briefing → Jul 28
Simple research view

AVB · AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

$187.56 latest stored close
Detected setup watchlist_candidate

Watch · Quality 0/100

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Scans / Finance / AVB

$AVB

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a large-cap Real Estate Investment Trusts company in the Finance sector with a market cap of $26B.

Neutral · 57 Finance Real Estate Investment Trusts stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1 Data 56m ago
$187.56 latest close
Council read · 6 methods

Watch — evidence is building

0 buyable · 4 watch · 2 avoid. Review the observed passes and blockers before reading the chart.

Earnings-risk mode

Pre-earnings setup

Wednesday, July 29, 2026 Time not confirmed No sourced report session or clock time

Deterministic evidence

AVB-1.08%
Broad market · SPY+0.02%
Same completed session window ending 2026-07-27. -1.10 points vs SPY.
CatalystUnavailable Stock reactionNegative Sector reactionUnavailable Opening surgeUnavailable Event riskEarnings-driven
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

AI interpretation (optional)

Ask a Legend to interpret the evidence only after reviewing the deterministic event timing and relative reaction.

Interpret this evidence AI output is commentary, not scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
Price $187.56 Jul 27 close
52W High $203.29 -7.7%
52W Low $160.10
Wks Since High 49w
Base Depth -21.2%
Tight Wks 2
Base B1
SMA 50 $187.40
SMA 200 $179.91
Avg Vol 1,082,199
RS Rank 5
RS vs High -20.6%
RS Slope -2.4% ▼
Grp Rank #43/64
ADR% 1.8%
ATR(14) $3.58 (1.9%)
Rel Vol (today) 0.50×
Vol Pace N/A
U/D Vol 1.00
A/D Days 11A / 14D
A/D Rating E
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings tmrw
$160.10
$203.29 64%

AVB Chart

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Setup Quality D 1/7 signals
Jul 24: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Jul 27: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Jul 28: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0 Score trend
✓ Stage 2 · Advancing ✗ Power Trend ✗ RS New High ✗ Trend 4/8 ✗ No Pattern ✗ Gatekeeper Base #1 (A)

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$AVB · $187.56 · as of 2026-07-27 · multi-factor read
57
/ 100
Neutral

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$187.40 ↑
100-day$180.26 ↑
200-day$179.91 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading46.1 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.721

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width6% · 4.8%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Near the lower band — under pressure or oversold. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.0 · Neutral
Rel volume0.5×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $190.89swing level
R · $197.92swing level
R · $203.2952-week high
Price · $187.56now
S · $180.35swing level
S · $175.56swing level
S · $172.07swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6% ◄ price here$189.54
38.2%$183.91
50.0%$179.37
61.8%$174.82
78.6%$168.35

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Monthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 6 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? 💬 Ask a Legend about AVB
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 🟡 4 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Avoid
Minervini C

Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $187.56, MA150 $179.70, MA200 $179.91
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $187.40, MA150 $179.70, MA200 $179.91
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $179.70 vs MA200 $179.91
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 6
6/10 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+99.1% QoQ
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high7.7% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 6
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +4.4% | ROE 9.7%
3/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein D

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $187.56 vs MA200 $179.91
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.50x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 6
3/6 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$187.56
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 6
Volume vs average0.50x
3/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$187.56
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 6
Volume vs average0.50x
3/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$187.56
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 6
Volume vs average0.50x
3/6 checks
Breakout Health

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▼ Falling
81RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net -1 E
A: 14 D: 15 Net: -165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini SEPA criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 SEPA
Separate score from the 8-point Trend Template (4/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +99%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +4%
Gross margin ≥30% 63%
ROE ≥17% 10%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 6
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -7.7%

Method Playbook

📋 Trade it like O'Neil EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini O'Neil Livermore Weinstein Darvas Wyckoff
O'Neil D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →

Pattern Analysis

RS Score 6
Trend 4/8
Why This Setup?
watchlist_candidate

Near-miss 4/8 — needs: sma150 above sma200, sma200 trending up, price above 30pct of 52w low, rs score above 70

The Universal Edge Check

The panel is uneasy

Too many universals unmet — this leans closer to a guess than a trade.

1/7 universals met
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

4/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $187.56 vs SMA150 $179.70 / SMA200 $179.91
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $179.70 vs SMA200 $179.91
SMA 200 trending up Slope -0.09 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $187.40
Price above SMA 50 $187.56 vs SMA50 $187.40
30%+ above 52W low +17.2% from $160.10
Within 25% of 52W high -7.7% from $203.29
RS score above 70 RS 6

Fundamentals

52W Range
64%
Mkt Cap SEC
26.1B
EPS QoQ
+99%
Rev YoY
+4%
ROE
10%
Gross Margin
63%
D/E
0.81
EPS TTM
$7.40
P/E TTM
25.3x
Float
139M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Legend AI snapshot
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
AVB · NYSE · Finance · Real Estate Investment Trusts
$187.56latest close $26.1Bmarket cap 5RS rank 0setup score

Scan History

20× streak
Jul 24: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Jul 27: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Jul 28: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0
Jul 28
watchlist_candidate
0
Jul 27
watchlist_candidate
0 0.0%
Jul 24
Wyckoff SOS
55 -1.1%

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