⚠️ Uptrend Under Pressure Severe risk · 99 · Institutional selling is building — 6 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. · 6 distribution days (SPY) Full briefing → Jul 28
Simple research view

CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

$119.78 latest stored close
Detected setup Falling Wedge

Watch · Quality 22/100

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Scans / Process Industries / CF

$CF

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap Chemicals: Agricultural company in the Process Industries sector with a market cap of $18B.

Buy · 73 Process Industries Chemicals: Agricultural stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1 Data 0m ago
$119.78 latest close
Council read · 6 methods

Watch — evidence is building

0 buyable · 5 watch · 1 avoid. Review the observed passes and blockers before reading the chart.

Earnings-risk mode

Pre-earnings setup

Wednesday, August 5, 2026 Time not confirmed No sourced report session or clock time

Deterministic evidence

CF-4.23%
Broad market · SPY+0.02%
Same completed session window ending 2026-07-27. -4.25 points vs SPY.
CatalystUnavailable Stock reactionNegative Sector reactionUnavailable Opening surgeUnavailable Event riskEarnings-driven
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

AI interpretation (optional)

Ask a Legend to interpret the evidence only after reviewing the deterministic event timing and relative reaction.

Interpret this evidence AI output is commentary, not scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
Price $119.78 Jul 27 close
52W High $141.96 -15.6%
52W Low $75.42
Wks Since High 16w
Base Depth -29.1%
Base B1
SMA 50 $114.87
SMA 200 $102.38
Avg Vol 2,698,551
RS Rank 56
RS vs High -25.6%
RS Slope +13.9% ▲
Grp Rank #29/64
ADR% 3.1%
ATR(14) $4.29 (3.6%)
Rel Vol (today) 0.93×
Vol Pace N/A
U/D Vol 1.25
A/D Days 17A / 16D
A/D Rating B
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 6d
Earnings 8d
$75.42
$141.96 67%

CF Chart

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Setup Quality B+ 5/7 signals
Jul 24: 74 (Cup & Handle)Jul 27: 77 (Cup & Handle)Jul 27: 78 (Cup & Handle)Jul 28: 55 (Falling Wedge)55 Score trend
✓ Stage 2 · Advancing ✓ Power Trend 6d ✗ RS New High ✓ Trend 7/8 ✗ No Pattern ✓ CANSLIM 61.5 (C) ✓ Gatekeeper Base #1 (A)

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$CF · $119.78 · as of 2026-07-27 · multi-factor read
73
/ 100
Buy

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▬ Sideways / consolidating

Moving Averages

50-day$114.87 ↑
100-day$119.18 ↑
200-day$102.38 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading53.6 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.660

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width59% · 21.3%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.25 · Neutral
Rel volume0.93×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $130.43swing level
R · $137.44swing level
R · $141.9652-week high
Price · $119.78now
S · $115.22swing level
S · $113.31swing level
S · $110.68swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$129.58
38.2%$121.92
50.0%$115.72
61.8%$109.53
78.6%$100.72

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? 💬 Ask a Legend about CF
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 🟡 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 8/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $119.78, MA150 $109.10, MA200 $102.38
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $109.10 vs MA200 $102.38
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 55
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-9.7% QoQ
8/12 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +19.3% | ROE 35.2%
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 3.58%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-9.7% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 55
2/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $119.78 vs MA200 $102.38
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.93x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 55
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$119.78
Distance from 52-week high15.6% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 55
Volume vs average0.93x
3/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$119.78
Distance from 52-week high15.6% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 55
Volume vs average0.93x
3/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$119.78
Distance from 52-week high15.6% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 55
Volume vs average0.93x
3/6 checks
Breakout Health

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
112RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +1 B
A: 16 D: 15 Net: +165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini SEPA criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 SEPA
Separate score from the 8-point Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -10%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +19%
Gross margin ≥30% 39%
ROE ≥17% 35%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 55
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -15.6%

Method Playbook

📋 Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini O'Neil Livermore Weinstein Darvas Wyckoff
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish near confirmation
90% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~115.22 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~88.48. A push back above 139.45 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 141.96 invalidates it.

Confirms below 115.22
Invalidates at 141.96
Left Shoulder 137.44
Head 141.96
Right Shoulder 139.45
Neckline 115.22
Target 88.48

LS 137.44 / head 141.96 / RS 139.45, neckline ~115.22, vol_fading=yes

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Falling Wedge ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Extended past buy zone ⚠ Head & shoulders top forming ⚠ Not actionable yet
55.0 score
RS Score 55
Trend 7/8
CANSLIM 61.5* (C)
upper slope: -0.5548 lower slope: -0.3991 depth: 0.0664 narrowing ratio: 0.35 prior decline: 0.278 upper touches: 2 lower touches: 2 vol declining: ✓ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 8/8 confirmed
Why This Setup?
Falling Wedge

prior_decline=27.8%, converging=yes, narrowing=35%, touches=upper:2/lower:2, near_upper=yes | Strong trend (7/8) | High-confidence pattern (95%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 62/100 (early) | CANSLIM 61.5 (C) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Extended past buy zone; Head & shoulders top forming; Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check

The panel is uneasy

Too many universals unmet — this leans closer to a guess than a trade.

1/7 universals met
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $119.78 vs SMA150 $109.10 / SMA200 $102.38
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $109.10 vs SMA200 $102.38
SMA 200 trending up Slope +2.96 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $114.87
Price above SMA 50 $119.78 vs SMA50 $114.87
30%+ above 52W low +58.8% from $75.42
Within 25% of 52W high -15.6% from $141.96
RS score above 70 RS 55

Fundamentals

52W Range
67%
Mkt Cap SEC
18.4B
EPS QoQ
-10%
Rev YoY
+19%
ROE
35%
Gross Margin
39%
D/E
0.66
EPS TTM
$8.97
P/E TTM
13.4x
Float
154M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Legend AI snapshot
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
CF · NYSE · Process Industries · Chemicals: Agricultural
$119.78latest close $18.4Bmarket cap 56RS rank 55setup score
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
C 61.5* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
40
A · Annual EPS
91
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
55
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
84
W. Support
$88.78
W. Resist
$141.96
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Jul 24: 74 (Cup & Handle)Jul 27: 77 (Cup & Handle)Jul 27: 78 (Cup & Handle)Jul 28: 55 (Falling Wedge)55
Jul 28
Falling Wedge ✓ Gate
55
Jul 27
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
78 0.0%
Jul 27
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
77 0.0%
Jul 24
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
74 -4.2%

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