Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 81, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
CF · CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
$135.11 -2.17% Sep 10 close
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap Chemicals: Agricultural company in the Process Industries sector with a market cap of $20B.
Verdict · setup score 81/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 81, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Earnings
Normal technical setup
No sourced report date
Event risk is not modelled for this symbol
Deterministic evidence
CF-2.17%
Sector proxy · XLB-1.23%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Session internals Weak
Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close-2.17%
From the open-3.49%
Range position7%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%)
SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$75.42
Tight Wks
0
Base
B2
SMA 200
$108.93
RS Line vs High
-18.1%
RS Line Slope
+18.5% ▲
Group Rank
#6/58
ADR%
3.7%
ATR(14)
$5.49 (4.1%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
U/D Vol
1.35
A/D Days
22A / 11D
A/D Rating
A+
VDU Bars
0/10 d
Power Trend
17d
CF Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$CF · $135.11 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
99
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▲ Uptrend
Weekly
▲ Uptrend
Monthly
▲ Uptrend
Moving Averages
50-day$122.95 ↑
100-day$119.66 ↑
200-day$108.93 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading60.3 · Bullish
Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateBullish
Histogram+0.651
Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width74% · 22.6%
Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol1.35 · Neutral
Rel volume1.14×
Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.
Support & Resistance
R · $137.44swing level
R · $141.9652-week high
Price · $135.11now
S · $115.22swing level
S · $113.31swing level
S · $110.64swing level
Fibonacci · Downtrend swing
23.6%$110.44
38.2%$116.46
50.0%$121.33
61.8%$126.20
78.6% ◄ price here$133.13
Retracement resistance zones measured from the recent swing high down to the low.
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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 82 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice?
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Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
Council consensus:
6 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini B
Trend-template read: 11/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $135.11, MA150 $117.79, MA200 $108.93
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $117.79 vs MA200 $108.93
Failing evidence
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+19.3% YoY
4. Breakout volume ≥ 40% above averageVolume ratio 1.14x
Watch
O'Neil C
CANSLIM read: 5/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+99.6% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 82
Failing evidence
S: Volume ≥ 40% above average on breakoutVolume ratio 1.14x
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
Watch
Weinstein C
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $135.11 vs MA200 $108.93
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.14x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
Watch
Livermore B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$135.11
Relative strengthRS 82
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.14x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
Watch
Darvas B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$135.11
Relative strengthRS 82
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.14x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
Watch
Wyckoff B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$135.11
Relative strengthRS 82
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.14x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
Latest candle: Bearish Engulfing — Today's down candle engulfs yesterday's up candle — a bearish reversal warning, most significant after an extended advance.
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▲ Rising
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net +5
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 6/7 met
A
6/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
+100%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+19%
Gross margin ≥30%
42%
ROE ≥17%
40%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
82
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-4.8%
Method Playbook
Trade it like O'Neil
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
O'Neil C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)
Inverse Head & Shoulders
bullish
near confirmation
90%
built
Possible inverse head & shoulders — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close above ~135.68 (neckline) to confirm, with a measured move toward ~161.93. A drop under the right shoulder near 122.19 weakens the structure; a close below the head near 109.43 invalidates it.
Confirms above
135.68
Invalidates at
109.43
Left Shoulder
119.14
Head
109.43
Right Shoulder
122.19
Neckline
135.68
Target
161.93
LS 119.14 / head 109.43 / RS 122.19, neckline ~135.68, 0.4% below confirmation
Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.
Pattern Analysis
Cup & Handle
Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 21% (n=53) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +1.9% per setup (+0.24R)
⚠ Volatility widening into breakout
⚠ 3rd-stage base
81
setup score
RS Score
82
Trend template
8/8 ✓
CANSLIM
84.1* (B)
26.7% cup depth
7.1% handle
Why This Setup?
Cup & Handle · schematic
depth=26.7%, handle_pb=7.1%, lips_diff=2.8%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=no, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (82) | High-confidence pattern (98%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 82/100 (actionable) | CANSLIM 84.1 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; 3rd-stage base
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
1/7
universals met
- Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
- A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 77 — middling
- Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
- Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
- Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
- Volume confirms — partly met 1.1× average — light
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Minervini Trend Template
8/8 ✓Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$135.11 vs SMA150 $117.79 / SMA200 $108.93
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $117.79 vs SMA200 $108.93
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +4.49 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $122.95
Price above SMA 50
$135.11 vs SMA50 $122.95
30%+ above 52-week low
+79.1% from $75.42
Within 25% of 52-week high
-4.8% from $141.96
RS score above 70
RS 82
Fundamentals
52W Range
90%
Mkt Cap SEC
20.4B
EPS QoQ
+100%
Rev YoY
+19%
ROE
40%
Gross Margin
42%
D/E
0.66
EPS TTM
$8.97
P/E TTM
15.1x
Float
151M
Company
Company profile
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B
84.1* CANSLIM
* disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
95
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
82
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
8/8
W. RS
94
W. Support
$100.70
W. Resist
$141.96
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
0
Confirmation
Neutral
Scan History
20× streakSep 11
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
81
Sep 11
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
81
Sep 11
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
79
Sep 10
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
70
0.0%
Sep 09
Inverse Head & Shoulders
✓ Gate
70
-2.2%
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