⚠️ Uptrend Under Pressure Severe risk · 99 · Institutional selling is building — 6 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. · 6 distribution days (SPY) Full briefing → Jul 28
Simple research view

UPS · United Parcel Service, Inc.

$112.95 latest stored close
Detected setup Darvas Box

Watch · Quality 22/100

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Scans / Transportation / UPS

$UPS

United Parcel Service, Inc.

United Parcel Service, Inc. is a large-cap Air Freight/Couriers company in the Transportation sector with a market cap of $81B.

Buy · 67 Transportation Air Freight/Couriers stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1 Data 51m ago
$112.95 latest close
Council read · 6 methods

Watch — evidence is building

0 buyable · 5 watch · 1 avoid. Review the observed passes and blockers before reading the chart.

Earnings-risk mode

Pre-earnings setup

Tuesday, July 28, 2026 Time not confirmed No sourced report session or clock time

Deterministic evidence

UPS-1.60%
Broad market · SPY+0.02%
Same completed session window ending 2026-07-27. -1.62 points vs SPY.
CatalystUnavailable Stock reactionNegative Sector reactionUnavailable Opening surgeUnavailable Event riskEarnings-driven
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

AI interpretation (optional)

Ask a Legend to interpret the evidence only after reviewing the deterministic event timing and relative reaction.

Interpret this evidence AI output is commentary, not scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
Price $112.95 Jul 27 close
52W High $122.41 -7.7%
52W Low $82.00
Wks Since High 22w
Base Depth -23.3%
Base B1
SMA 50 $108.13
SMA 200 $102.91
Avg Vol 5,173,007
RS Rank 35
RS vs High -12.6%
RS Slope +4.8% ▲
ADR% 2.4%
ATR(14) $2.98 (2.6%)
Rel Vol (today) 1.30×
Vol Pace N/A
U/D Vol 1.08
A/D Days 18A / 13D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 23d
Earnings TODAY
$82.00
$122.41 77%

UPS Chart

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Setup Quality B+ 5/7 signals
Jul 23: 75 (Trend Only)Jul 24: 55 (Darvas Box)Jul 27: 69 (Trend Only)Jul 27: 69 (Trend Only)Jul 28: 55 (Darvas Box)55 Score trend
✓ Stage 2 · Advancing ✓ Power Trend 23d ✗ RS New High ✓ Trend 7/8 ✗ No Pattern ✓ CANSLIM 62.0 (C) ✓ Gatekeeper Base #1 (A)

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$UPS · $112.95 · as of 2026-07-27 · multi-factor read
67
/ 100
Buy

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$108.13 ↑
100-day$104.60 ↑
200-day$102.91 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading52.7 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.188

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width53% · 10.3%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.08 · Neutral
Rel volume1.3×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $118.42swing level
R · $122.4152-week high
Price · $112.95now
S · $103.22swing level
S · $98.41swing level
S · $95.98swing level

Fibonacci · Downtrend swing

23.6%$100.60
38.2%$104.77
50.0%$108.13
61.8% ◄ price here$111.50
78.6%$116.30

Retracement resistance zones measured from the recent swing high down to the low.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 34 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? 💬 Ask a Legend about UPS
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 🟡 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $112.95, MA150 $106.19, MA200 $102.91
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $106.19 vs MA200 $102.91
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 34
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-55.0% QoQ
9/13 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev -2.6% | ROE 33.0%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high7.7% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-55.0% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 34
3/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $112.95 vs MA200 $102.91
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.30x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 34
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$112.95
Volume vs average1.30x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 34
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$112.95
Volume vs average1.30x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 34
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$112.95
Volume vs average1.30x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 34
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Breakout Health

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

🕯 Latest candle: Bearish Engulfing — Today's down candle engulfs yesterday's up candle — a bearish reversal warning, most significant after an extended advance.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
96RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +4 A+
A: 18 D: 14 Net: +465 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini SEPA criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 SEPA
Separate score from the 8-point Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -55%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY -3%
Gross margin ≥30% 83%
ROE ≥17% 33%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 34
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -7.7%

Method Playbook

📋 Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini O'Neil Livermore Weinstein Darvas Wyckoff
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
No active setup in the latest scan — showing last result from 1 day ago. Patterns may no longer be valid. Run a new scan →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Cup & Handle bullish near confirmation
90% built

Cup complete, possible handle forming — watch for a quiet 5-15 bar drift on light volume holding above ~108.13 (mid-cup), then a breakout through ~118.42 on strong volume.

Pivot Watch 4.62% away
Tightness / volume Stable · No VDU
Recent-pace band 3–10 sessions
Confirms above 118.42
Invalidates at 108.13
Rim 122.41
Cup Low 93.86
Pivot 118.42
Mid Cup 108.13

Cup depth 23%, recovery 67%, handle=forming

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~88.05 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~53.68. A push back above 118.42 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 122.41 invalidates it.

Confirms below 88.05
Invalidates at 122.41
Left Shoulder 112.67
Head 122.41
Right Shoulder 118.42
Neckline 88.05
Target 53.68

LS 112.67 / head 122.41 / RS 118.42, neckline ~88.05, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis (historical · 1d ago)

Darvas Box ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Not actionable yet
55.0 score
RS Score 34
Trend 7/8
CANSLIM 62.0* (C)
box top: 118.42 box bottom: 112.66 box height pct: 0.051 vol ratio: 1.299 is breakout: ✗ pct from 52w high: 0.033 validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: within 15% of 52-week high (Darvas box territory)
Why This Setup?
Darvas Box

Box: top=118.42, bottom=112.66, height=5.1%, breakout=no, vol_ratio=1.3x, 3% from 52w high | Strong trend (7/8) | Moderate pattern (65%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 64/100 (early) | CANSLIM 62.0 (C) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check

The panel is uneasy

Too many universals unmet — this leans closer to a guess than a trade.

1/7 universals met
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $112.95 vs SMA150 $106.19 / SMA200 $102.91
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $106.19 vs SMA200 $102.91
SMA 200 trending up Slope +2.80 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $108.13
Price above SMA 50 $112.95 vs SMA50 $108.13
30%+ above 52W low +37.7% from $82.00
Within 25% of 52W high -7.7% from $122.41
RS score above 70 RS 34

Fundamentals

52W Range
77%
Mkt Cap SEC
80.6B
EPS QoQ
-55%
Rev YoY
-3%
ROE
33%
Gross Margin
83%
D/E
1.49
EPS TTM
$6.56
P/E TTM
17.2x
Float
714M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Legend AI snapshot
United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS · NYSE · Transportation · Air Freight/Couriers
$112.95latest close $80.6Bmarket cap 35RS rank 55setup score
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
C 62.0* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
20
A · Annual EPS
76
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
100
L · Leader RS
34
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
70
W. Support
$93.86
W. Resist
$122.41
Weekly Structure

Scan History

Jul 23: 75 (Trend Only)Jul 24: 55 (Darvas Box)Jul 27: 69 (Trend Only)Jul 27: 69 (Trend Only)Jul 28: 55 (Darvas Box)55
Jul 28
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
55
Jul 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
69 0.0%
Jul 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
69 0.0%
Jul 24
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
55 -1.6%
Jul 23
Trend Only ✓ Gate
75 -1.0%

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