Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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ADM · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

$86.91 +0.42% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Darvas Box · Setup Score 80/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 80, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is a large-cap Agricultural Commodities/Milling company in the Process Industries sector with a market cap of $42B.

Process Industries Agricultural Commodities/Milling stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$86.91 latest close
Verdict · setup score 80/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 80, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

ADM+0.42%
Sector proxy · XLB-1.23%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. ADM was +1.65 points vs XLB. +1.02 points vs SPY.

Session internals Green but fading

Rule: closed up but below the open and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.42% From the open-1.20% Range position22% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -2 points.
  • Session closed below its open and in the lower third of the day's range — green on the day, but the move faded.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $86.91 +0.4% Sep 10 close
52W High $88.75 2.1% below high
Wks Since High 0w
RS Rank 64 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $81.53
Avg Vol 3,673,842
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 1.01×
More stats
52W Low $55.58
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $72.53
RS Line vs High -2.0%
RS Line Slope +11.3% ▲
Group Rank #14/58
ADR% 3.1%
ATR(14) $2.90 (3.3%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 1.33
A/D Days 11A / 13D
A/D Rating D
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 9d
Position in 52-week range 94thpercentile of the 52-week range
$55.58low
$88.75high

ADM Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$ADM · $86.91 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
98
/ 100
Technicals 98/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$81.53 ↑
100-day$79.51 ↑
200-day$72.53 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading65.4 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.632

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width96% · 12.6%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.33 · Neutral
Rel volume1.01×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $88.4652-week high
Price · $86.91now
S · $76.85swing level
S · $75.81swing level
S · $71.62swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$83.16
38.2%$79.70
50.0%$76.91
61.8%$74.12
78.6%$70.14

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about ADM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini B

Trend-template read: 10/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $86.91, MA150 $76.16, MA200 $72.53
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $76.16 vs MA200 $72.53
Failing evidence
2. ROE ≥ 17%ROE 7.7%
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY-6.2% YoY
10/13 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+159.2% QoQ
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high2.1% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 70
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev -6.2% | ROE 7.7%
3/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $86.91 vs MA200 $72.53
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.01x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$86.91
Relative strengthRS 70
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.01x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$86.91
Relative strengthRS 70
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.01x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$86.91
Relative strengthRS 70
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.01x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
122RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +0 D
A: 13 D: 13 Net: +065 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +159%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY -6%
Gross margin ≥30% 7%
ROE ≥17% 8%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 70
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -2.1%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~78.85 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~69.24. A push back above 83.83 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 88.46 invalidates it.

Confirms below 78.85
Invalidates at 88.46
Left Shoulder 85.37
Head 88.46
Right Shoulder 83.83
Neckline 78.85
Target 69.24

LS 85.37 / head 88.46 / RS 83.83, neckline ~78.85, vol_fading=no

Cup & Handle bullish forming
75% built

Right side of cup nearly rebuilt (88% recovered). Watch for a shallow handle to form near ~88.46 before a breakout attempt — buying here, ahead of the handle, is premature.

Pivot Watch 1.75% away
Tightness / volume Stable · No VDU
Recent-pace band 1–4 sessions
Confirms above 88.46
Invalidates at 82.11
Rim 88.46
Cup Low 75.77
Pivot 88.46
Mid Cup 82.11

Cup depth 14%, recovery 88%, handle=not yet

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Darvas Box Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 18% (n=60) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg -0.2% per setup (-0.03R) ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout
80 setup score
RS Score 70
Trend template 7/8
CANSLIM 78.5* (B)
box top: 88.46 box bottom: 75.77 box height pct: 0.167 vol ratio: 1.013 is breakout: ✗ pct from 52w high: 0.0 validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: within 15% of 52-week high (Darvas box territory)
Why This Setup?
Darvas Box · schematic

Box: top=88.46, bottom=75.77, height=16.7%, breakout=no, vol_ratio=1.0x, 0% from 52w high | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (70) | High-confidence pattern (80%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 84/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 78.5 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 64 — middling
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $86.91 vs SMA150 $76.16 / SMA200 $72.53
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $76.16 vs SMA200 $72.53
SMA 200 trending up Slope +2.30 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $81.53
Price above SMA 50 $86.91 vs SMA50 $81.53
30%+ above 52-week low +56.4% from $55.58
Within 25% of 52-week high -2.1% from $88.75
RS score above 70 RS 70

Fundamentals

52W Range
94%
Mkt Cap SEC
41.9B
EPS QoQ
+159%
Rev YoY
-6%
ROE
8%
Gross Margin
7%
D/E
0.37
EPS TTM
$2.23
P/E TTM
39.0x
Float
482M

Company

Company profile
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
ADM · NYSE · Process Industries · Agricultural Commodities/Milling
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 78.5* CANSLIM * disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
57
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
80
L · Leader RS
70
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
76
W. Support
$65.07
W. Resist
$88.46
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 74 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 10: 76 (Darvas Box)Sep 10: 76 (Darvas Box)Sep 10: 76 (Darvas Box)Sep 11: 76 (Darvas Box)Sep 11: 80 (Darvas Box)80
Sep 11
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
80
Sep 11
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
76
Sep 10
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
76 0.0%
Sep 10
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
76 0.0%
Sep 10
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
76 0.0%
Sep 09
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
74 +0.4%

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