⚠️ Uptrend Under Pressure Severe risk · 99 · Institutional selling is building — 6 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. · 6 distribution days (SPY) Full briefing → Jul 28
Simple research view

CAT · Caterpillar, Inc.

$933.34 latest stored close
Detected setup Trend Only

Watch · Quality 80/100

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Scans / Producer Manufacturing / CAT

$CAT

Caterpillar, Inc.

Caterpillar, Inc. is a mega-cap Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery company in the Producer Manufacturing sector with a market cap of $430B.

Buy · 73 Producer Manufacturing Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2 Data 1h 0m ago
$933.34 latest close
Council read · 6 methods

Watch — evidence is building

0 buyable · 5 watch · 1 avoid. Review the observed passes and blockers before reading the chart.

Earnings-risk mode

Pre-earnings setup

Tuesday, August 4, 2026 Time not confirmed No sourced report session or clock time

Deterministic evidence

CAT+0.20%
Same completed session window ending 2026-07-14.
CatalystUnavailable Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionUnavailable Opening surgeUnavailable Event riskEarnings-driven
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

AI interpretation (optional)

Ask a Legend to interpret the evidence only after reviewing the deterministic event timing and relative reaction.

Interpret this evidence AI output is commentary, not scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
Price $933.34 Jul 14 close
52W High $1073.46 -13.1%
52W Low $402.23
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth -15.3%
Base B2
SMA 50 $928.95
SMA 200 $713.66
Avg Vol 3,164,208
RS Rank 89
RS vs High -13.8%
RS Slope +0.3% ▲
Grp Rank #21/64
ADR% 3.4%
ATR(14) $46.26 (5.0%)
Rel Vol (today) 0.64×
Vol Pace N/A
U/D Vol 0.82
A/D Days 7A / 9D
A/D Rating D
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings 7d
$402.23
$1073.46 79%

CAT Chart

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Setup Quality C 3/7 signals
Jul 10: 64 (Wyckoff SOS)Jul 13: 82 (Trend Only)Jul 13: 84 (Trend Only)Jul 14: 78 (Trend Only)Jul 14: 80 (Trend Only)Jul 15: 80 (Trend Only)80 Score trend
✓ Stage 2 · Advancing ✗ Power Trend ✗ RS New High ✓ Trend 8/8 ✗ No Pattern ✓ Gatekeeper Base #2 (B)

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$CAT · $933.34 · as of 2026-07-14 · multi-factor read
73
/ 100
Buy

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▬ Sideways / consolidating

Moving Averages

50-day$928.95 ↑
100-day$838.35 ↑
200-day$713.66 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading47.1 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-11.640

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width23% · 16.8%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.82 · Neutral
Rel volume0.64×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $946.83swing level
R · $1073.4652-week high
Price · $933.34now
S · $909.53swing level
S · $852.10swing level
S · $754.45swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$966.27
38.2%$899.96
50.0%$846.36
61.8%$792.76
78.6%$716.46

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Weekly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 87 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? 💬 Ask a Legend about CAT
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 🟡 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini B

Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $933.34, MA150 $772.40, MA200 $713.66
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $772.40 vs MA200 $713.66
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+7.4% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+4.3% YoY
8/10 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 87
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +4.3% | ROE 47.6%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+7.4% QoQ
S: Volume ≥ 40% above average on breakoutVolume ratio 0.64x
3/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $933.34 vs MA200 $713.66
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.64x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$933.34
Relative strengthRS 87
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.64x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$933.34
Relative strengthRS 87
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.64x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$933.34
Relative strengthRS 87
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.64x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Breakout Health

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
183RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +4 D
A: 18 D: 14 Net: +465 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini SEPA criteria · 5/7 met
B 5/7 SEPA
Separate score from the 8-point Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +7%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +4%
Gross margin ≥30% 34%
ROE ≥17% 48%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 87
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -13.1%

Method Playbook

📋 Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini O'Neil Livermore Weinstein Darvas Wyckoff
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
No active setup in the latest scan — showing last result from 13 days ago. Patterns may no longer be valid. Run a new scan →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish near confirmation
90% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~925.65 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~777.84. A push back above 983.16 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 1073.46 invalidates it.

Confirms below 925.65
Invalidates at 1073.46
Left Shoulder 946.83
Head 1073.46
Right Shoulder 983.16
Neckline 925.65
Target 777.84

LS 946.83 / head 1073.46 / RS 983.16, neckline ~925.65, vol_fading=yes

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis (historical · 13d ago)

79.6 score
RS Score 87
Trend 8/8
Why This Setup?
The Universal Edge Check

The panel is uneasy

Too many universals unmet — this leans closer to a guess than a trade.

2/7 universals met
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $933.34 vs SMA150 $772.40 / SMA200 $713.66
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $772.40 vs SMA200 $713.66
SMA 200 trending up Slope +53.91 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $928.95
Price above SMA 50 $933.34 vs SMA50 $928.95
30%+ above 52W low +132.0% from $402.23
Within 25% of 52W high -13.1% from $1073.46
RS score above 70 RS 87

Fundamentals

52W Range
79%
Mkt Cap SEC
429.9B
EPS QoQ
+7%
Rev YoY
+4%
ROE
48%
Gross Margin
34%
D/E
2.03
EPS TTM
$18.81
P/E TTM
49.6x
Float
461M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Legend AI snapshot
Caterpillar, Inc.
CAT · NYSE · Producer Manufacturing · Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery
$933.34latest close $429.9Bmarket cap 89RS rank 80setup score

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
100
W. Support
$612.96
W. Resist
$1073.46
Weekly Structure

Scan History

Jul 10: 64 (Wyckoff SOS)Jul 13: 82 (Trend Only)Jul 13: 84 (Trend Only)Jul 14: 78 (Trend Only)Jul 14: 80 (Trend Only)Jul 15: 80 (Trend Only)80
Jul 15
Trend Only ✓ Gate
80
Jul 14
Trend Only ✓ Gate
80 0.0%
Jul 14
Trend Only ✓ Gate
78 0.0%
Jul 13
Trend Only ✓ Gate
84 +0.2%
Jul 13
Trend Only ✓ Gate
82 +0.2%
Jul 10
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
64 -2.0%

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