Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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Simple research view

COP · ConocoPhillips

$137.04 +0.37% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Cup & Handle · Setup Score 90/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 90, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$COP

ConocoPhillips

ConocoPhillips is a large-cap Oil & Gas Production company in the Energy Minerals sector with a market cap of $165B.

Energy Minerals Oil & Gas Production stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$137.04 latest close
Verdict · setup score 90/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 90, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

COP+0.37%
Sector proxy · XLE-0.58%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. COP was +0.95 points vs XLE. +0.97 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.37% From the open-1.23% Range position56% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $137.04 +0.4% Sep 10 close
52W High $138.89 1.3% below high
Wks Since High 0w
RS Rank 68 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $122.06
Avg Vol 6,472,121
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.86×
More stats
52W Low $85.57
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $113.45
RS Line vs High -14.3%
RS Line Slope +13.0% ▲
Group Rank #18/58
ADR% 1.9%
ATR(14) $2.86 (2.1%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 0.99
A/D Days 18A / 18D
A/D Rating C
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 25d
Position in 52-week range 97thpercentile of the 52-week range
$85.57low
$138.89high

COP Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$COP · $137.04 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
86
/ 100
Technicals 86/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$122.06 ↑
100-day$119.59 ↑
200-day$113.45 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading67.0 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.114

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width81% · 11.0%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Near the upper band — buyers in control. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.99 · Neutral
Rel volume0.86×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $138.8952-week high
Price · $137.04now
S · $128.00swing level
S · $114.71swing level
S · $113.28swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$130.35
38.2%$125.06
50.0%$120.79
61.8%$116.52
78.6%$110.44

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about COP
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini B

Trend-template read: 10/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $137.04, MA150 $119.50, MA200 $113.45
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $119.50 vs MA200 $113.45
Failing evidence
2. ROE ≥ 17%ROE 14.3%
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+7.7% YoY
10/12 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+71.4% QoQ
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high1.3% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 74
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +7.7% | ROE 14.3%
3/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $137.04 vs MA200 $113.45
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.86x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$137.04
Relative strengthRS 74
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.86x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$137.04
Relative strengthRS 74
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.86x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$137.04
Relative strengthRS 74
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.86x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
125RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +2 C
A: 18 D: 16 Net: +265 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +71%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +8%
Gross margin ≥30% 46%
ROE ≥17% 14%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 74
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -1.3%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Cup & Handle Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 21% (n=53) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +1.9% per setup (+0.24R) ⚠ 3rd-stage base
90 setup score
RS Score 74
Trend template 8/8
CANSLIM 81.2* (B)
23.6% cup depth 4.6% handle
Why This Setup?
cup handle Cup & Handle · schematic

depth=23.6%, handle_pb=4.6%, lips_diff=2.1%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (74) | High-confidence pattern (100%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 88/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 81.2 (B) | ⚠ 3rd-stage base

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 68 — middling
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.9× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $137.04 vs SMA150 $119.50 / SMA200 $113.45
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $119.50 vs SMA200 $113.45
SMA 200 trending up Slope +4.41 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $122.06
Price above SMA 50 $137.04 vs SMA50 $122.06
30%+ above 52-week low +60.1% from $85.57
Within 25% of 52-week high -1.3% from $138.89
RS score above 70 RS 74

Fundamentals

52W Range
97%
Mkt Cap SEC
164.6B
EPS QoQ
+71%
Rev YoY
+8%
ROE
14%
Gross Margin
46%
D/E
0.36
EPS TTM
$6.35
P/E TTM
21.6x
Float
1.2B

Company

Company profile
ConocoPhillips
COP · NYSE · Energy Minerals · Oil & Gas Production
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 81.2* CANSLIM * disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
70
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
80
L · Leader RS
74
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
82
W. Support
$102.69
W. Resist
$137.42
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 88 (Cup & Handle)Sep 10: 87 (Cup & Handle)Sep 10: 88 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 86 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 88 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 90 (Cup & Handle)90
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
90
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
88
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
86
Sep 10
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
88 0.0%
Sep 10
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
87 0.0%
Sep 09
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
88 +0.4%

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