Uptrend Under Pressure 95
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 95/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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EXPD · Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

$199.64 +1.63% Oct 27 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 94/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 94, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$EXPD

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is a large-cap Air Freight/Couriers company in the Transportation sector with a market cap of $26B.

Transportation Air Freight/Couriers stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$199.64 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift (bearish)
Support 148.38–149.14 · 6 touches · strong
Support 156.29–157.36 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 146.74–147.88 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 167.19–168.52 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 183.36–184.29 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 94/100 · data Oct 27 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 94, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$180$200AugSepOct$200

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +14.8% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — +4.4% YoY
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +14.8% QoQ
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.85x
  • Dennis S1: 20-day Donchian breakout
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
72 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (72/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 91
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 64
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 45

RS rank 90: top 10% of all stocks — true leadership. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 64: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 45: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 42, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-28.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Tuesday, November 3, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

EXPD+1.63%
Broad market · SPY+0.56%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-27. +1.07 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionUnavailable Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+1.63% From the open+1.68% Range position98% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.27%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+3.02%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $199.64 +1.6% Oct 27 close
52W High $200.66 2.1% below high
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth 1.4% 3.5% today
RS Rank 78 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $191.04
Avg Vol 994,016
Rel Vol (Oct 27) 0.85× 1.16× on up days
More stats
52W Low $117.45
Tight Wks 3 4 today
Base B2
SMA 200 $166.34
RS Line vs High -0.6%
RS Line Slope +4.2% ▲
Group Rank #55/64
ADR% 2.0%
ATR(14) $3.94 (2.0%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 14A / 11D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 18d
Earnings in 6d
Position in 52-week range 99thpercentile of the 52-week range
$117.45low
$200.66high

EXPD Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$EXPD · $199.64 · as of 2026-10-27 · multi-factor read
100
/ 100
Technicals 100/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$191.04 ↑
100-day$181.16 ↑
200-day$166.34 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading63.6 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.101

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width85% · 7.6%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.16 · Neutral
Rel volume0.85×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol109%
Heavy vol up / down3 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 8 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
  • 3 heavy-volume up days vs 0 down in the last 20 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $200.6652-week high
Price · $199.64now
S · $183.82swing level
S · $164.35swing level
S · $158.96swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$188.50
38.2%$180.98
50.0%$174.90
61.8%$168.82
78.6%$160.17

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 90 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about EXPD
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (94/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialMonitor Trend Only for tighter volatility contraction before entry. SEPA Grade B (5/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $199.64, MA150 $170.98, MA200 $166.34
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $170.98 vs MA200 $166.34
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+14.8% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+4.4% YoY
8/10 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 90
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +4.4% | ROE 36.7%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+14.8% QoQ
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Weinstein Watch B Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $199.64 vs MA200 $166.34
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.85x
6/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $184.32
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $3.92 (1.96% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $229.59-$239.57; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $197.16 · 20-day MA $194.44 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyTrend Only is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 33.5x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 90 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+14.8% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
4/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$199.64
Relative strengthRS 90
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.85x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumStock is at the top of its box — Darvas would wait for a decisive breakout on volume.

Passing evidence
Price$199.64
Relative strengthRS 90
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.85x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$199.64
Relative strengthRS 90
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.85x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Bullish Engulfing — Today's up candle fully engulfs yesterday's down candle — a classic bullish reversal, strongest after a pullback to support.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
NH149RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +6 A
A: 18 D: 12 Net: +665 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 5/7 met
B 5/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +15%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +4%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 34%
✓ ROE ≥17% 37%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 90
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -0.5%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Minervini EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the tight base's structural pivot; the setup must retain Trend Template leadership into the trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a decisive move through the pivot with volume confirmation, and do not initiate more than 5% above it.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start at the tighter structural invalidation; the initial loss limit must not exceed roughly 7–8% from entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Hold the initial stop until the trade proves itself; near +1R move to breakeven, then trail a higher low or rising 10/21-day average once well extended.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when the structural stop or a meaningful higher-low/short-term trend violation fires; never widen the stop.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

94 setup score
RS Score 90
Trend template 8/8 ✓
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Trend Only · schematic

Gatekeeper 8/8 | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (90) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Tight base (3 tight wks)

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 6 days — event risk
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 78 — middling
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $199.64 vs SMA150 $170.98 / SMA200 $166.34
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $170.98 vs SMA200 $166.34
SMA 200 trending up Slope +4.16 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $191.04
Price above SMA 50 $199.64 vs SMA50 $191.04
30%+ above 52-week low +70.0% from $117.45
Within 25% of 52-week high -0.5% from $200.66
RS score above 70 RS 90

Fundamentals

52W Range
99%
Mkt Cap SEC
26.0B
EPS QoQ
+15%
Rev YoY
+4%
ROE
37%
Gross Margin
34%
D/E
0.00
EPS TTM
$5.95
P/E TTM
33.6x
Float
130M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
EXPD · NYSE · Transportation · Air Freight/Couriers

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
92
W. Support
$136.13
W. Resist
$200.66
W. Patterns
Cup & Handle Base Breakout
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 100 (Trend Only)Oct 26: 100 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 94 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 97 (Trend Only)Oct 28: 94 (Trend Only)94
Oct 28
Trend Only ✓ Gate
94
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
97 0.0%
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
94 0.0%
Oct 26
Trend Only ✓ Gate
100 +1.6%
Oct 23
Trend Only ✓ Gate
100 +1.7%

Latest News

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