Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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EXPD · Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

$189.32 +0.54% Sep 10 close
Detected setup VCP · Setup Score 96/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 96, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$EXPD

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is a large-cap Air Freight/Couriers company in the Transportation sector with a market cap of $25B.

Transportation Air Freight/Couriers stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$189.32 latest close
Join to Watchlist $EXPD Share card
Verdict · setup score 96/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 96, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

EXPD+0.54%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. +1.14 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.54% From the open+0.24% Range position49% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $189.32 +0.5% Sep 10 close
52W High $192.28 1.5% below high
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth 4.2%
RS Rank 69 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $179.86
Avg Vol 1,068,452
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.87×
More stats
52W Low $112.94
Tight Wks 2
Base B2
SMA 200 $159.45
RS Line vs High +0.0%
RS Line Slope +3.9% ▲
Group Rank #13/58
ADR% 1.8%
ATR(14) $3.26 (1.7%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 0.90
A/D Days 16A / 10D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 27d
Position in 52-week range 96thpercentile of the 52-week range
$112.94low
$192.28high

EXPD Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$EXPD · $189.32 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
86
/ 100
Technicals 86/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$179.86 ↑
100-day$168.39 ↑
200-day$159.45 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading60.0 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.624

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width71% · 3.4%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.9 · Neutral
Rel volume0.87×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $192.2852-week high
Price · $189.32now
S · $164.35swing level
S · $158.96swing level
S · $156.29swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$179.03
38.2%$170.83
50.0%$164.20
61.8%$157.58
78.6%$148.15

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about EXPD
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Watch
Minervini B

Trend-template read: 9/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $189.32, MA150 $161.15, MA200 $159.45
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $161.15 vs MA200 $159.45
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
2. ROE ≥ 17%From SEPA scan
9/12 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade B
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high1.5% below high | RS line new high: True
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 75
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +4.4%
3/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $189.32 vs MA200 $159.45
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.87x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$189.32
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.87x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$189.32
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.87x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$189.32
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.87x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH NH
NH134RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +11 A+
A: 19 D: 8 Net: +1165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ —
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +4%
✗ Gross margin ≥30% —
✗ ROE ≥17% —
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 75
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -1.5%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

VCP
96 setup score
RS Score 75
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 77.8* (B)
C1 5.9%
→
C2 4.2%
2 contractions 5.9% depth ✓ tightening✓ vol dry✓ near pivot✓ right side Base Structure Grade 88
Why This Setup?
VCP · schematic

2T: 6% → 4% (tightening, higher lows), depth=5.9%, vdu=0.71, state=actionable, quality=88 | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (75) | High-confidence pattern (100%) | RS at new high | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Tight base (2 tight wks) | Readiness 79/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 77.8 (B)

Ask a Legend ▾
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 69 — middling
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.9× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $189.32 vs SMA150 $161.15 / SMA200 $159.45
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $161.15 vs SMA200 $159.45
SMA 200 trending up Slope +5.59 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $179.86
Price above SMA 50 $189.32 vs SMA50 $179.86
30%+ above 52-week low +67.6% from $112.94
Within 25% of 52-week high -1.5% from $192.28
RS score above 70 RS 75

Fundamentals

52W Range
96%
Mkt Cap SEC
24.6B
Rev YoY
+4%
EPS TTM
$5.95
P/E TTM
31.8x
Float
130M

Company

Company profile
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
EXPD · NYSE · Transportation · Air Freight/Couriers
Track all markets on TradingView
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 77.8* CANSLIM * disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
60
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
75
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
84
W. Support
$136.13
W. Resist
$192.28
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 88 (Cup & Handle)Sep 09: 89 (Cup & Handle)Sep 10: 94 (VCP)Sep 10: 94 (VCP)Sep 11: 95 (VCP)Sep 11: 96 (VCP)96
Sep 11
VCP ✓ Gate
96
Sep 11
VCP ✓ Gate
95
Sep 10
VCP ✓ Gate
94 0.0%
Sep 10
VCP ✓ Gate
94 0.0%
Sep 09
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
89 +0.5%
Sep 09
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
88 +0.5%

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