Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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LLY · Eli Lilly and Company

$1279.14 +0.45% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Cup & Handle · Setup Score 82/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 82, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

Eli Lilly and Company is a mega-cap Pharmaceuticals: Major company in the Health Technology sector with a market cap of $1.2T.

Health Technology Pharmaceuticals: Major stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 3+
$1279.14 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: downtrend
Latest event: structure_shift (bullish)
Support 1131.21–1139.00 · 5 touches · strong
Support 1109.15–1114.00 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 976.68–978.87 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 1232.00–1240.10 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 82/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 82, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$1,200$1,300AugSepOct$1,279

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +13.4% QoQ
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +13.4% QoQ
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.89x
  • Dennis S1: 20-day Donchian breakout
  • Dennis S2: 55-day Donchian breakout
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 11/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
69 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (69/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 88
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 58
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 40

RS rank 87: beating most of the market. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 58: neutral — no clear institutional conviction. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 40: weak fundamentals (sales growth 31, return on equity 44, leverage 60). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Thursday, October 29, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

LLY+0.45%
Sector proxy · XLV+0.00%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. LLY was +0.45 points vs XLV. -0.26 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionWeak Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Green but fading

Rule: closed up but below the open and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.45% From the open-0.46% Range position23% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -2 points.
  • Session closed below its open and in the lower third of the day's range — green on the day, but the move faded.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $1279.14 +0.5% Oct 26 close
52W High $1321.21 3.2% below high
Wks Since High 0w
Base Depth 4.8%
RS Rank 71 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $1188.58
Avg Vol 2,376,731
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.89× 0.86× on up days
More stats
52W Low $809.63
Tight Wks 0
Base B3
SMA 200 $1085.91
RS Line vs High -2.3%
RS Line Slope +7.8% ▲
Group Rank #12/66
ADR% 2.9%
ATR(14) $40.36 (3.2%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 17A / 14D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 7d
Earnings in 2d
Position in 52-week range 92ndpercentile of the 52-week range
$809.63low
$1321.21high

LLY Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$LLY · $1279.14 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
94
/ 100
Technicals 94/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$1188.58 ↑
100-day$1179.06 ↑
200-day$1085.91 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading63.0 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+9.379

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width82% · 18.0%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.86 · Neutral
Rel volume0.89×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol101%
Heavy vol up / down1 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

  • 1 heavy-volume up day vs 0 down in the last 20 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $1292.65swing level
R · $1321.2152-week high
Price · $1279.14now
S · $1163.50swing level
S · $1132.81swing level
S · $1111.22swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$1232.01
38.2%$1176.83
50.0%$1132.24
61.8%$1087.64
78.6%$1024.14

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 87 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about LLY
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (82/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 8 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch A Trend-template read: 11/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

mediumEnter on break of $1277.16 pivot with stop at $1232.90 (risk 3.5%). SEPA Grade A (6/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $1279.14, MA150 $1107.47, MA200 $1085.91
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $1107.47 vs MA200 $1085.91
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+13.4% QoQ
11/12 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

partialRule check says AVOID (4/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 87
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +44.7% | ROE 101.3%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+13.4% QoQ
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Weinstein Watch B Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $1279.14 vs MA200 $1085.91
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.89x
6/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $1,131.21
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $36.49 (2.85% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Watch B Zanger read: the structure is fine but the breakout quality is not there yet — wait for 150%+ volume on the break.

partialZanger would buy the Cup & Handle breakout only with 150-200% volume, never more than 5% above the breakout point, with a 2-3% stop set at entry. His edge over O'Neil is the exit plan: sell 20-30% of the position at +15-20%, then trail the rest on the 10/20-day moving average.

Passing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyCup & Handle
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Failing evidence
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageData unavailable
5/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 87 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.18 (2050 adv / 1742 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+13.4% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 55.7x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
3/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$1279.14
Relative strengthRS 87
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.89x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (3.2% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$1279.14
Relative strengthRS 87
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.89x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$1279.14
Relative strengthRS 87
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.89x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volume0.89x average volume — needs ≥1.4x
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
139RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 A
A: 14 D: 11 Net: +365 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 6/7 met
A 6/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +13%
✓ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +45%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 83%
✓ ROE ≥17% 101%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 87
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -3.2%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~1117.87 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~943.10. A push back above 1215.00 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 1292.65 invalidates it.

Confirms below 1117.87
Invalidates at 1292.65
Left Shoulder 1249.45
Head 1292.65
Right Shoulder 1215.00
Neckline 1117.87
Target 943.10

LS 1249.45 / head 1292.65 / RS 1215.00, neckline ~1117.87, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Cup & Handle Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 16% (n=376) · source bars 2024-11-01–2026-10-26 · avg +0.3% per setup (+0.03R) ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ 3rd-stage base
82 setup score
RS Score 87
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 80.7* (B)
12.9% cup depth 2.8% handle 5 sessions since breakout
  • Cup 12.9% deep from a $1278.47 left rim to a $1113.29 low
  • Rims 0.2% apart (ideal, within 10%)
  • Handle pulled back 2.8% over 1 bar from $1274.56 to $1239.10
  • Handle sits in the upper half of the cup
  • Rounded U-shaped bottom
  • Pivot $1275.88 fixed at the handle high
  • Breakout: 5 bars since the first close above the pivot
  • Handle volume did not dry up
Raw detector evidence · confidence is a heuristic match score, not a probability depth=12.9%, handle_pb=2.8%, lips_diff=0.2%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (87) | High-confidence pattern (83%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 75/100 (watch) | CANSLIM 80.7 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; 3rd-stage base setup_key=cup_handle|2026-09-11|2026-10-15|1275.88 · cup_handle/2026-10-03 anchors={"bottom": {"bar": 38, "bars_ago": 31, "date": "2026-09-11", "price": 1113.29}, "breakout": {"bar": 65, "bars_ago": 4, "date": "2026-10-20", "price": 1283.66}, "handle_high": {"bar": 63, "bars_ago": 6, "date": "2026-10-16", "price": 1274.5601}, "handle_low": {"bar": 64, "bars_ago": 5, "date": "2026-10-19", "price": 1239.1}, "left_lip": {"bar": 23, "bars_ago": 46, "date": "2026-08-20", "price": 1278.468}, "right_lip": {"bar": 62, "bars_ago": 7, "date": "2026-10-15", "price": 1275.88}}
Why This Setup?
cup handle Cup & Handle · schematic

depth=12.9%, handle_pb=2.8%, lips_diff=0.2%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (87) | High-confidence pattern (83%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 75/100 (watch) | CANSLIM 80.7 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; 3rd-stage base

Descending Triangle ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Extended past buy zone ⚠ 3rd-stage base ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 87
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 77.3* (B)
high slope: -0.002319 low slope: 0.000769 pattern bars: 89 tighten ratio: 0.055 apex bars ahead: 7.0 apex price: 1148.08 state: breakout direction: bullish pattern height: 179.34 ma len: 200 ma value: 1085.91 under ma: -0.1779 ma rising: ✗ near ma: ✓ ma touch bar ago: 119 triangle volume ratio: 0.833 volume dry up: ✓ signal volume ratio: 1.08 depth: 0.0214 geometry: {'resistance_rail': {'start': {'bar': 72, 'bars_ago': 47, 'price': 1292.65, 'date': '2026-08-19'}, 'end': {'bar': 119, 'bars_ago': 0, 'price': 1166.8034, 'date': '2026-10-26'}}, 'support_rail': {'start': {'bar': 18, 'bars_ago': 101, 'price': 1052.15, 'date': '2026-06-02'}, 'end': {'bar': 119, 'bars_ago': 0, 'price': 1141.8698, 'date': '2026-10-26'}}, 'apex': {'bar': 125.99, 'bars_ago': -6.99, 'price': 1148.0811, 'date': '2026-11-01'}, 'breakout_bar': {'bar': 115, 'bars_ago': 4, 'price': 1283.66, 'date': '2026-10-20'}, 'breakout_level': 1177.5138, 'ma_line': {'label': '200-day SMA', 'start': {'bar': 109, 'bars_ago': 10, 'price': 1077.0561, 'date': '2026-10-12'}, 'end': {'bar': 119, 'bars_ago': 0, 'price': 1085.9104, 'date': '2026-10-26'}}, 'ma_touch_bar': {'bar': 0, 'bars_ago': 119, 'price': 987.05, 'date': '2026-05-06'}, 'ma_value': 1085.91} confidence kind: heuristic_match detector version: descending_triangle/2026-09-27 findings: ['Resistance falling -0.23%/day into flat support (+0.08%/day) — sellers pressing, buyers defending', 'Rails tighten to 6% of the starting range; apex 7 bars ahead', 'Uptrend context: close $1279.14 vs 200-day SMA $1085.91 (-17.8%)', 'Pressing into the 200-day SMA — closest touch (2026-05-06) at $987.05', 'BREAKOUT above $1177.51', 'Volume drying up through the pattern'] not falling wedge: ✓ not falling wedge reason: no prior-downtrend requirement — this is an uptrend correction pressing into the long MA, the shape the Falling Wedge detector explicitly rejects validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly range widening last 3 weeks — unstable structure
Why This Setup?
Descending Triangle · schematic

Descending Triangle (breakout, bullish): resistance falling -0.23%/day into flat support near $1141.87, squeezing into the 200-day SMA ($1085.91) inside an uptrend. Broke out above $1177.51. Research/educational only, not a buy/sell recommendation. | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (87) | High-confidence pattern (93%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 58/100 (early) | CANSLIM 77.3 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Extended past buy zone; 3rd-stage base; Not actionable yet

Falling Wedge ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Extended past buy zone ⚠ 3rd-stage base ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 87
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 77.1* (B)
upper slope: -2.5808 lower slope: -0.8559 depth: 0.0523 narrowing ratio: 0.31 prior decline: 0.139 upper touches: 3 lower touches: 2 vol declining: ✓ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 8/8 confirmed
Why This Setup?
Falling Wedge · schematic

prior_decline=13.9%, converging=yes, narrowing=31%, touches=upper:3/lower:2, near_upper=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (87) | High-confidence pattern (90%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 57/100 (early) | CANSLIM 77.1 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Extended past buy zone; 3rd-stage base; Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

4/7 universals met
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 2 days — event risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 71 — middling
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.9× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $1279.14 vs SMA150 $1107.47 / SMA200 $1085.91
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $1107.47 vs SMA200 $1085.91
SMA 200 trending up Slope +14.80 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $1188.58
Price above SMA 50 $1279.14 vs SMA50 $1188.58
30%+ above 52-week low +58.0% from $809.63
Within 25% of 52-week high -3.2% from $1321.21
RS score above 70 RS 87

Fundamentals

52W Range
92%
Mkt Cap SEC
1.2T
EPS QoQ
+13%
Rev YoY
+45%
ROE
101%
Gross Margin
83%
D/E
1.60
EPS TTM
$22.95
P/E TTM
55.7x
Float
941M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY · NYSE · Health Technology · Pharmaceuticals: Major
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 80.7* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
75
A · Annual EPS
100
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
87
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
85
W. Support
$850.51
W. Resist
$1321.21
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 86 (Cup & Handle)Oct 26: 80 (Cup & Handle)Oct 26: 81 (Cup & Handle)Oct 27: 80 (Cup & Handle)Oct 27: 82 (Cup & Handle)82
Oct 27
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
82
Oct 27
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
80
Oct 26
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
81 0.0%
Oct 26
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
80 0.0%
Oct 23
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
86 +0.4%

Latest News

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