Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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Simple research view

MPC · Marathon Petroleum Corporation

$392.42 -1.76% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Wyckoff SOS · Setup Score 70/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 70, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a large-cap Oil Refining/Marketing company in the Energy Minerals sector with a market cap of $110B.

Energy Minerals Oil Refining/Marketing stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$392.42 latest close
Verdict · setup score 70/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 70, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

MPC-1.76%
Sector proxy · XLE-0.58%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. MPC was -1.18 points vs XLE. -1.16 points vs SPY.

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-1.76% From the open-3.11% Range position2% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%) SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $392.42 -1.8% Sep 10 close
52W High $405.13 3.1% below high
Wks Since High 0w
RS Rank 92 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $330.39
Avg Vol 2,266,094
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 1.13×
More stats
52W Low $161.93
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $244.71
RS Line vs High -1.2%
RS Line Slope +13.0% ▲
Group Rank #1/58
ADR% 2.7%
ATR(14) $10.73 (2.7%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 1.26
A/D Days 13A / 13D
A/D Rating C
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 23d
Position in 52-week range 95thpercentile of the 52-week range
$161.93low
$405.13high

MPC Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MPC · $392.42 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
98
/ 100
Technicals 98/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$330.39 ↑
100-day$289.84 ↑
200-day$244.71 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading73.1 · Overbought

Overbought — buyers extended; watch for a pause or pullback.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.713

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width84% · 16.5%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.26 · Neutral
Rel volume1.13×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $405.1352-week high
Price · $392.42now
S · $347.67swing level
S · $290.36swing level
S · $241.36swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$359.23
38.2%$330.83
50.0%$307.88
61.8%$284.94
78.6%$252.26

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRSI overbought
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MPC
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 6 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 8/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $392.42, MA150 $266.69, MA200 $244.71
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $266.69 vs MA200 $244.71
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
2. ROE ≥ 17%From SEPA scan
8/13 checks
Watch
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: 4/8 pass; improvement is still needed.

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade B
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 94
Failing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev -4.4%
S: Volume ≥ 40% above average on breakoutVolume ratio 1.13x
4/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $392.42 vs MA200 $244.71
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.13x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$392.42
Relative strengthRS 94
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.13x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$392.42
Relative strengthRS 94
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.13x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$392.42
Relative strengthRS 94
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.13x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volume1.13x average volume — needs ≥1.4x
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
186RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +1 C
A: 15 D: 14 Net: +165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY -4%
Gross margin ≥30%
ROE ≥17%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 94
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -3.1%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Wyckoff SOS Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 27% (n=71) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +4.1% per setup (+0.52R) ⚠ Extended past buy zone ⚠ Late-stage base (#4) ⚠ Bearish RSI divergence
70 setup score
RS Score 94
Trend template 8/8
CANSLIM 76.7* (B)
range low: 223.799 range high: 269.413 range pct: 0.204 sos thrust: 0.386 sos vol ratio: 1.502 sos bars ago: 7 near lps: ✗ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup?
Wyckoff SOS · schematic

SOS: breakout above range_high=269.41, thrust=38.6%, vol=1.5x avg, lps=extended, 7 bars ago | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (94) | High-confidence pattern (70%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 68/100 (watch) | CANSLIM 76.7 (B) | ⚠ Extended past buy zone; Late-stage base (#4); Bearish RSI divergence

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

2/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.1× average — light
  • A relative-strength leader — met RS rank 92
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $392.42 vs SMA150 $266.69 / SMA200 $244.71
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $266.69 vs SMA200 $244.71
SMA 200 trending up Slope +17.74 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $330.39
Price above SMA 50 $392.42 vs SMA50 $330.39
30%+ above 52-week low +142.3% from $161.93
Within 25% of 52-week high -3.1% from $405.13
RS score above 70 RS 94

Fundamentals

52W Range
95%
Mkt Cap SEC
110.2B
Rev YoY
-4%
EPS TTM
$13.22
P/E TTM
29.7x
Float
281M

Company

Company profile
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
MPC · NYSE · Energy Minerals · Oil Refining/Marketing
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 76.7* CANSLIM * disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
70
A · Annual EPS
50
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
100
L · Leader RS
94
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
100
W. Support
$210.64
W. Resist
$398.52
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 09: 70 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 10: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 11: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 11: 70 (Wyckoff SOS)70
Sep 11
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
70
Sep 11
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55
Sep 10
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55 0.0%
Sep 09
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
70 -1.8%
Sep 09
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55 -1.8%

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