Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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MPC · Marathon Petroleum Corporation

$470.64 +2.94% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 93/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 93, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is a large-cap Oil Refining/Marketing company in the Energy Minerals sector with a market cap of $132B.

Energy Minerals Oil Refining/Marketing stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$470.64 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: uptrend
Latest event: bos (bullish)
Support 190.32–190.44 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 255.77–257.61 · 3 touches · moderate
Join to Watchlist $MPC Share card
Verdict · setup score 93/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 93, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Recent price action · daily
$300$400$500AugSepOct$471

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — -59.5% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — -4.4% YoY
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — -59.5% QoQ
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.58x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
74 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (74/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 99
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 67
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 38

RS rank 98: top 2% of all stocks — true leadership. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 67: mild accumulation. EPS -1% last quarter — no earnings momentum. Quality 38: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 60). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Monday, November 2, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

MPC+2.94%
Sector proxy · XLE+0.45%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. MPC was +2.49 points vs XLE. +2.23 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionWeak Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+2.94% From the open+2.98% Range position64% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $470.64 +2.9% Oct 26 close
52W High $493.98 4.7% below high
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth 5.7% 9.2% today
RS Rank 97 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $411.60
Avg Vol 2,509,537
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.58× 1.23× on up days
More stats
52W Low $161.93
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $285.26
RS Line vs High -2.4%
RS Line Slope +19.9% ▲
Group Rank #1/66
ADR% 3.6%
ATR(14) $17.55 (3.7%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 12A / 8D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 20d
Earnings in 6d
Position in 52-week range 93rdpercentile of the 52-week range
$161.93low
$493.98high

MPC Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MPC · $470.64 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
87
/ 100
Technicals 87/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$411.60 ↑
100-day$349.69 ↑
200-day$285.26 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading65.0 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-2.401

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width67% · 24.4%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.23 · Neutral
Rel volume0.58×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol74%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $493.9852-week high
Price · $470.64now
S · $378.80swing level
S · $347.67swing level
S · $290.36swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$432.66
38.2%$394.72
50.0%$364.06
61.8%$333.40
78.6%$289.75

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 98 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MPC
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (93/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialMonitor Trend Only for tighter volatility contraction before entry. SEPA Grade B (4/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $470.64, MA150 $313.80, MA200 $285.26
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $313.80 vs MA200 $285.26
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-59.5% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY-4.4% YoY
8/10 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 98
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev -4.4% | ROE 27.3%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-59.5% QoQ
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $470.64 vs MA200 $285.26
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.58x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $380.00
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $16.03 (3.41% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $541.24-$564.77; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $472.07 · 20-day MA $451.80 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyTrend Only is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 98 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (1995 adv / 1699 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)-59.5% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 35.6x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
3/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$470.64
Relative strengthRS 98
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.58x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (4.7% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$470.64
Relative strengthRS 98
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.58x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$470.64
Relative strengthRS 98
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.58x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Bullish Engulfing — Today's up candle fully engulfs yesterday's down candle — a classic bullish reversal, strongest after a pullback to support.

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
215RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +2 A
A: 15 D: 13 Net: +265 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -59%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY -4%
✗ Gross margin ≥30% 12%
✓ ROE ≥17% 27%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 98
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -4.7%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

VCP bullish forming
75% built

Possible VCP forming — contractions 12% → 9%. Watch for a final tighter contraction with volume drying up, then a move through ~493.98 on strong volume. A break below ~378.80 invalidates the base.

Pivot Watch 4.72% away
Tightness / volume Expanding · VDU
Recent-pace band 2–7 sessions
Confirms above 493.98
Invalidates at 378.80
Pivot 493.98
Support 448.38
Base High 431.08

2 tightening contractions (12% → 9%), depth 12%, vol_dry=yes, near_pivot=yes

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Trend Only
93 setup score
RS Score 98
Trend template 8/8 ✓
Why This Setup?
Trend Only · schematic

Gatekeeper 8/8 | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (98) | Volume drying up (bullish) | Power Trend | Stage 2

Ask a Legend ▾
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

2/7 universals met
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 6 days — event risk
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.6× average — light
  • A relative-strength leader — met RS rank 97
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $470.64 vs SMA150 $313.80 / SMA200 $285.26
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $313.80 vs SMA200 $285.26
SMA 200 trending up Slope +27.94 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $411.60
Price above SMA 50 $470.64 vs SMA50 $411.60
30%+ above 52-week low +190.6% from $161.93
Within 25% of 52-week high -4.7% from $493.98
RS score above 70 RS 98

Fundamentals

52W Range
93%
Mkt Cap SEC
132.2B
EPS QoQ
-59%
Rev YoY
-4%
ROE
27%
Gross Margin
12%
D/E
1.90
EPS TTM
$13.22
P/E TTM
35.6x
Float
281M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
MPC · NYSE · Energy Minerals · Oil Refining/Marketing
Track all markets on TradingView

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
100
W. Support
$224.10
W. Resist
$493.98
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 55 (Momentum Flag)Oct 23: 70 (Momentum Flag)Oct 26: 93 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 93 (Trend Only)93
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
93
Oct 26
Trend Only ✓ Gate
93 0.0%
Oct 23
Momentum Flag ✓ Gate
70 +2.9%
Oct 23
Momentum Flag ✓ Gate
55 +2.9%

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