Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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MPWR · Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

$1167.27 +2.38% Oct 26 close
Detected setup watchlist_candidate · Setup Score 0/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. is a large-cap Semiconductors company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $57B.

Electronic Technology Semiconductors stock Stage 1 · Basing Base 2
$1167.27 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift (bullish)
Resistance 1405.00–1412.89 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 904.06–909.00 · 3 touches · moderate
Resistance 1250.00–1256.22 · 3 touches · moderate
Momentum Turn Watch
Bollinger Lower-Band Support Price ($1167.27) is holding just above the lower Bollinger band ($1108.70; %B 14) — support at the bottom of the bands.
Early technical context only. Wait for price, volume, and the canonical setup trigger to confirm; this signal does not change readiness or the setup score.
Historical record

No active setup in the latest scan — this page shows the last detection Legend AI made for $MPWR. Every level, score and criterion below is computed from the Oct 26 close session (latest session), and may no longer hold.

Historical verdict · setup score 0/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$1,200$1,400AugSepOct$1,167

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA — Price $1167.27, MA150 $1379.37, MA200 $1311.53
  • Minervini 1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA — MA50 $1285.22, MA150 $1379.37, MA200 $1311.53
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +6.5% QoQ
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 69
  • Weinstein Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmed — Stage 1 (Basing)
  • Weinstein Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy) — Price $1167.27 vs MA200 $1311.53
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: avoid Stage-analysis read: basing (Stage 1) is not an advancing Stage 2.
57 Neutral
Legend Score · rates the stock Neutral (57/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 69
  • Trend Template (25%) 62
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 70
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 35

RS rank 69: above-average strength. Trend template 5/8: mixed — some uptrend elements, some missing. Institutional score 70: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 35: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41). Updated 2026-10-14.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Wednesday, October 28, 2026 After market close Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

MPWR+2.38%
Semiconductor proxy · SMH+2.74%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. MPWR was -0.36 points vs SMH. +1.67 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionSupportive Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+2.38% From the open+2.23% Range position74% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $1167.27 +2.4% Oct 26 close
52W High $1714.09 23.0% below high
Wks Since High 18w 21w today
Base Depth 32.4% 34.3% today
RS Rank 33 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $1285.22
Avg Vol 710,036
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 1.30× 0.64× on up days
More stats
52W Low $833.18
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $1311.53
RS Line vs High -25.8%
RS Line Slope +11.4% ▲
Group Rank #11/65
ADR% 3.7%
ATR(14) $63.40 (5.4%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 11A / 16D
A/D Rating E
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings tomorrow
Position in 52-week range 38thpercentile of the 52-week range
$833.18low
$1714.09high

MPWR Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MPWR · $1167.27 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
2
/ 100
Technicals 2/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▼ Downtrend
Monthly ▼ Downtrend

Moving Averages

50-day$1285.22 ↓
100-day$1342.63 ↓
200-day$1311.53 ↓
Death Cross (fresh)

RSI (14)

Reading38.4 · Bearish

Bearish momentum — sellers in control.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBearish
Histogram-22.030

Bearish — MACD below its signal line and below zero. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width14% · 31.0%

Near the lower band — under pressure or oversold.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.64 · Distribution
Rel volume1.3×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol124%
Heavy vol up / down1 / 2

Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

  • 2 heavy-volume down days vs 1 up in the last 20 sessions — supply is showing.

Support & Resistance

R · $1387.45swing level
R · $1413.51swing level
R · $1464.99swing level
Price · $1167.27now
S · $1133.83swing level
S · $833.1852-week low

Fibonacci · Downtrend swing

23.6%$1265.22
38.2%$1351.00
50.0%$1420.33
61.8%$1489.66
78.6%$1588.36

Retracement resistance zones measured from the recent swing high down to the low.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Weekly downtrendMonthly downtrendBelow 200-day MA50/200 bearishVolume distribution
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MPWR
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (0/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 5 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid D Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $1379.37 vs MA200 $1311.53
2. ROE ≥ 17%ROE 19.2%
Failing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $1167.27, MA150 $1379.37, MA200 $1311.53
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $1285.22, MA150 $1379.37, MA200 $1311.53
3/11 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +26.4% | ROE 19.2%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+6.5% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 69
1/8 checks
Weinstein Avoid D Stage-analysis read: basing (Stage 1) is not an advancing Stage 2.
Passing evidence
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 69
Failing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 1 (Basing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $1167.27 vs MA200 $1311.53
1/6 checks
dennis Watch B Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $1,126.57
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $59.69 (5.11% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
6/8 checks
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $1,342.36-$1,400.72; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $1,228.38 · 20-day MA $1,312.13 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlywatchlist_candidate is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
3/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying; Price strength (RS ≥ 70) — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (2025 adv / 1725 dec) — participation expanding
4% Model (breadth proxy)63% of universe above 50-day — broad strength (adapted from Ned Davis 4% Model)
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+6.5% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 90.8x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
2/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$1167.27
Volume vs average1.30x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 69
Distance from 52-week high31.9% below high
3/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$1167.27
Volume vs average1.30x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 69
Distance from 52-week high31.9% below high
3/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$1167.27
Volume vs average1.30x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 69
Distance from 52-week high31.9% below high
3/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
95RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net -1 E
A: 17 D: 18 Net: -165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (3/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +6%
✓ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +26%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 55%
✓ ROE ≥17% 19%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 69
✗ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 1
✗ Within 25% of 52W high -31.9%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Inverse Head & Shoulders bullish forming
80% built

Possible inverse head & shoulders — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close above ~1468.34 (neckline) to confirm, with a measured move toward ~1802.84. A drop under the right shoulder near 1195.00 weakens the structure; a close below the head near 1133.83 invalidates it.

Confirms above 1468.34
Invalidates at 1133.83
Left Shoulder 1240.02
Head 1133.83
Right Shoulder 1195.00
Neckline 1468.34
Target 1802.84

LS 1240.02 / head 1133.83 / RS 1195.00, neckline ~1468.34, 20.5% below confirmation

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis (historical)

0 setup score
RS Score 69
Trend template 3/8
Why This Setup?
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

0/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 33 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 1 days — event risk
  • In a confirmed uptrend — not met Stage 1 · Trend template 3/8 — no uptrend; don't bottom-fish
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.1× average — light
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

3/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $1167.27 vs SMA150 $1379.37 / SMA200 $1311.53
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $1379.37 vs SMA200 $1311.53
SMA 200 trending up Slope +36.46 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $1285.22
Price above SMA 50 $1167.27 vs SMA50 $1285.22
30%+ above 52-week low +40.1% from $833.18
Within 25% of 52-week high -31.9% from $1714.09
RS score above 70 RS 69

Fundamentals

52W Range
38%
Mkt Cap SEC
57.4B
EPS QoQ
+6%
Rev YoY
+26%
ROE
19%
Gross Margin
55%
EPS TTM
$12.86
P/E TTM
90.8x
Float
49M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
MPWR · NASDAQ · Electronic Technology · Semiconductors

Scan History

Oct 09: 74 (Descending Triangle)Oct 10: 80 (Trend Only)Oct 12: 80 (Trend Only)Oct 13: 62 (Descending Triangle)Oct 13: 62 (Descending Triangle)Oct 14: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0
Oct 14
watchlist_candidate
0
Oct 13
Descending Triangle ✓ Gate
62 -11.5%
Oct 13
Descending Triangle ✓ Gate
62 -11.5%
Oct 12
Trend Only ✓ Gate
80 -11.5%
Oct 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
80 -11.5%
Oct 09
Descending Triangle ✓ Gate
74 -15.8%

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