Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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MSTR · Strategy Inc

$139.82 -4.24% Oct 26 close
Detected setup watchlist_candidate · Setup Score 0/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$MSTR

Strategy Inc

Strategy Inc is a Internet Software/Services company in the Technology Services sector.

Technology Services Internet Software/Services stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$139.82 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: downtrend
Latest event: bos (bearish)
Resistance 154.69–156.11 · 5 touches · strong
Support 104.17–104.78 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 89.76–90.06 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 132.76–133.59 · 3 touches · moderate
Momentum Turn Watch
Bollinger Lower-Band Support Price ($139.82) is holding just above the lower Bollinger band ($134.21; %B 17) — support at the bottom of the bands.
Early technical context only. Wait for price, volume, and the canonical setup trigger to confirm; this signal does not change readiness or the setup score.
Historical record

No active setup in the latest scan — this page shows the last detection Legend AI made for $MSTR. Every level, score and criterion below is computed from the Oct 26 close session (latest session), and may no longer hold.

Historical verdict · setup score 0/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$100$150AugSepOct$140

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MA — MA150 $132.62 vs MA200 $135.12
  • Minervini 1.5 Price > 50-day MA — Price $139.82 vs MA50 $140.63
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 56
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.65x
  • Weinstein Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below) — 53.4% below 52-week high
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 4 supporting checks need improvement.
45 Weak
Legend Score · rates the stock Weak (45/100) — held back by quality (smr-like)

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 56
  • Trend Template (25%) 50
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 30
  • EPS Growth (15%) 50
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 30

RS rank 56: middle of the pack — no leadership yet. Trend template 4/8: mixed — some uptrend elements, some missing. Institutional score 30: mild distribution — sellers active. No recent earnings growth data — scored neutral. Quality 30: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30). Updated 2026-10-26.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Wednesday, October 28, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

MSTR-4.24%
Sector proxy · XLK+1.69%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. MSTR was -5.93 points vs XLK. -4.95 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionNegative Sector reactionSupportive Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-4.24% From the open-1.30% Range position34% GapHeld
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%) SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -2 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $139.82 -4.2% Oct 26 close
52W High $299.80 51.3% below high
Wks Since High 49w 50w today
Base Depth 72.2% at Oct 26 detection
RS Rank 19 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $140.63
Avg Vol 24,268,803
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.65× 0.72× on up days
More stats
52W Low $81.81
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $135.12
RS Line vs High -55.5%
RS Line Slope -6.4% ▼
Group Rank #16/66
ADR% 6.0%
ATR(14) $10.07 (7.2%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 10A / 4D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings tomorrow
Position in 52-week range 27thpercentile of the 52-week range
$81.81low
$299.80high

MSTR Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MSTR · $139.82 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
60
/ 100
Technicals 60/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▬ Sideways / consolidating

Moving Averages

50-day$140.63 ↓
100-day$121.04 ↑
200-day$135.12 ↑
Golden Cross (fresh)

RSI (14)

Reading45.5 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBearish
Histogram-2.027

Bearish — MACD below its signal line and below zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width17% · 22.0%

Near the lower band — under pressure or oversold.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.72 · Neutral
Rel volume0.65×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol80%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $144.92swing level
R · $170.68swing level
R · $183.25swing level
Price · $139.82now
S · $123.33swing level
S · $116.40swing level
S · $91.67swing level

Fibonacci · Downtrend swing

23.6%$108.99
38.2%$125.81
50.0% ◄ price here$139.41
61.8%$153.00
78.6%$172.35

Retracement resistance zones measured from the recent swing high down to the low.

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Above 200-day MA50/200 bullish2.8:1 reward-to-risk
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MSTR
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (0/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 6 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid D Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $139.82, MA150 $132.62, MA200 $135.12
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $140.63, MA150 $132.62, MA200 $135.12
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $132.62 vs MA200 $135.12
1.5 Price > 50-day MAPrice $139.82 vs MA50 $140.63
3/10 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
No passing evidence available.
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 56
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
0/8 checks
Weinstein Watch D Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 4 supporting checks need improvement.

partialStage 2 uptrend in progress — hold as long as price stays above the 30-week moving average.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $139.82 vs MA200 $135.12
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.65x
Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below)53.4% below 52-week high
2/6 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $133.59
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $9.46 (6.77% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $160.79-$167.78; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $144.74 · 20-day MA $150.83 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlywatchlist_candidate is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying; Price strength (RS ≥ 70) — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.18 (2050 adv / 1742 dec) — participation expanding
4% Model (breadth proxy)61% of universe above 50-day — broad strength (adapted from Ned Davis 4% Model)
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 56 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
2/8 checks
Livermore Watch C Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$139.82
Detected patternwatchlist_candidate
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 56
Volume vs average0.65x
2/6 checks
Darvas Watch C Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$139.82
Detected patternwatchlist_candidate
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 56
Volume vs average0.65x
2/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch C Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$139.82
Detected patternwatchlist_candidate
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 56
Volume vs average0.65x
2/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▼ Falling
42RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +1 A+
A: 13 D: 12 Net: +165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 1/7 met
D 1/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (3/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ —
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +3%
✗ Gross margin ≥30% —
✗ ROE ≥17% —
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 56
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✗ Within 25% of 52W high -53.4%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Dennis EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Dennis C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the 20-day channel high (System 1) or 55-day channel high (System 2) as the breakout trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Buy the breakout print mechanically — no prediction, no hesitation, no chasing below the channel high.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the stop at 2N (N = 20-day ATR) below entry, set before the trade and never moved except up on winners.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Add at 0.5N intervals up to 4 units; trail the stop beneath each new add level, never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit System 1 at the 10-day low and System 2 at the 20-day low — the exit is part of the system, not a decision.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~81.81 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~-33.38. A push back above 171.19 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 197.00 invalidates it.

Confirms below 81.81
Invalidates at 197.00
Left Shoulder 183.25
Head 197.00
Right Shoulder 171.19
Neckline 81.81
Target -33.38

LS 183.25 / head 197.00 / RS 171.19, neckline ~81.81, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis (historical)

0 setup score
RS Score 56
Trend template 3/8
Why This Setup?
watchlist_candidate · schematic

Near-miss 4/8 — needs: sma150 above sma200, sma200 trending up, price within 25pct of 52w high, rs score above 70

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 19 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 1 days — event risk
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.8× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 3/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

3/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $139.82 vs SMA150 $132.62 / SMA200 $135.12
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $132.62 vs SMA200 $135.12
SMA 200 trending up Slope -1.26 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $140.63
Price above SMA 50 $139.82 vs SMA50 $140.63
30%+ above 52-week low +70.9% from $81.81
Within 25% of 52-week high -53.4% from $299.80
RS score above 70 RS 56

Fundamentals

52W Range
27%
Rev YoY
+3%
EPS TTM
$-15.23
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Strategy Inc
MSTR · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Internet Software/Services

Scan History

Oct 22: 54 (Golden Cross)Oct 23: 44 (Golden Cross)Oct 23: 46 (Golden Cross)Oct 23: 54 (Golden Cross)Oct 26: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0
Oct 26
watchlist_candidate
0
Oct 23
Golden Cross
54 -4.2%
Oct 23
Golden Cross
46 -4.2%
Oct 23
Golden Cross
44 -4.2%
Oct 22
Golden Cross
54 -4.1%

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