Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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NVDA · NVIDIA Corporation

$218.36 -2.37% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Wyckoff SOS · Setup Score 60/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 60, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

NVIDIA Corporation is a mega-cap Semiconductors company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $5.3T.

Electronic Technology Semiconductors stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$218.36 latest close
Verdict · setup score 60/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 60, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

NVDA-2.37%
Semiconductor proxy · SMH-2.44%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. NVDA was +0.07 points vs SMH. -1.77 points vs SPY. Provider article-level bullish tag · Yahoo Finance UK: How SiTime’s (SITM) Silicon Timing Devices Power AI Data Centers

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-2.37% From the open-0.99% Range position31% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%) SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • Positive catalyst received negative stock confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $218.36 -2.4% Sep 10 close
52W High $236.54 7.7% below high
Wks Since High 16w
Base Depth 19.8%
RS Rank 29 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $212.17
Avg Vol 127,682,595
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.83×
More stats
52W Low $164.27
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $197.28
RS Line vs High -8.6%
RS Line Slope -0.5% ▼
Group Rank #17/58
ADR% 2.5%
ATR(14) $7.72 (3.5%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 0.69
A/D Days 18A / 16D
A/D Rating B
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Position in 52-week range 75thpercentile of the 52-week range
$164.27low
$236.54high

NVDA Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$NVDA · $218.36 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
62
/ 100
Technicals 62/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$212.17 ↑
100-day$211.08 ↑
200-day$197.28 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading49.8 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.150

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width41% · 11.2%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.69 · Neutral
Rel volume0.83×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $229.19swing level
R · $232.28swing level
R · $236.5452-week high
Price · $218.36now
S · $208.01swing level
S · $198.66swing level
S · $194.74swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6% ◄ price here$219.48
38.2%$208.93
50.0%$200.41
61.8%$191.88
78.6%$179.74

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 39 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about NVDA
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini B

Trend-template read: 9/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $218.36, MA150 $201.82, MA200 $197.28
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $201.82 vs MA200 $197.28
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 39
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
9/12 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade B
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +65.5%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 39
S: Volume ≥ 40% above average on breakoutVolume ratio 0.83x
4/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $218.36 vs MA200 $197.28
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.83x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 39
4/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$218.36
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.83x
3/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$218.36
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.83x
3/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$218.36
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.83x
3/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▼ Falling
106RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 B
A: 17 D: 14 Net: +365 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +65%
Gross margin ≥30%
ROE ≥17%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 39
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -7.7%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Inverse Head & Shoulders bullish forming
80% built

Possible inverse head & shoulders — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close above ~242.74 (neckline) to confirm, with a measured move toward ~295.47. A drop under the right shoulder near 216.20 weakens the structure; a close below the head near 190.01 invalidates it.

Confirms above 242.74
Invalidates at 190.01
Left Shoulder 197.97
Head 190.01
Right Shoulder 216.20
Neckline 242.74
Target 295.47

LS 197.97 / head 190.01 / RS 216.20, neckline ~242.74, 10.0% below confirmation

Cup & Handle bullish near confirmation
90% built

Cup complete, possible handle forming — watch for a quiet 5-15 bar drift on light volume holding above ~213.17 (mid-cup), then a breakout through ~234.76 on strong volume.

Confirms above 234.76
Invalidates at 213.17
Rim 236.54
Cup Low 189.80
Pivot 234.76
Mid Cup 213.17

Cup depth 20%, recovery 61%, handle=forming

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~194.74 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~152.94. A push back above 232.28 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 236.54 invalidates it.

Confirms below 194.74
Invalidates at 236.54
Left Shoulder 216.82
Head 236.54
Right Shoulder 232.28
Neckline 194.74
Target 152.94

LS 216.82 / head 236.54 / RS 232.28, neckline ~194.74, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Wyckoff SOS Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 27% (n=71) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +4.1% per setup (+0.52R) ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ 3rd-stage base
60 setup score
RS Score 39
Trend template 7/8
CANSLIM 71.0* (B)
range low: 178.748 range high: 221.915 range pct: 0.241 sos thrust: 0.027 sos vol ratio: 1.868 sos bars ago: 9 near lps: ✓ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup?
Wyckoff SOS · schematic

SOS: breakout above range_high=221.91, thrust=2.7%, vol=1.9x avg, lps=near, 9 bars ago | Strong trend (7/8) | High-confidence pattern (75%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 72/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 71.0 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; 3rd-stage base

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 29 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.8× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $218.36 vs SMA150 $201.82 / SMA200 $197.28
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $201.82 vs SMA200 $197.28
SMA 200 trending up Slope +2.72 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $212.17
Price above SMA 50 $218.36 vs SMA50 $212.17
30%+ above 52-week low +32.9% from $164.27
Within 25% of 52-week high -7.7% from $236.54
RS score above 70 RS 39

Fundamentals

52W Range
75%
Mkt Cap SEC
5.3T
Rev YoY
+65%
EPS TTM
$4.90
P/E TTM
44.6x
Float
24.1B

Company

Company profile
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA · NASDAQ · Electronic Technology · Semiconductors
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 71.0* CANSLIM * disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
70
A · Annual EPS
100
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
39
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
78
W. Support
$164.27
W. Resist
$236.54
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 10: 72 (Trend Only)Sep 10: 74 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 11: 60 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 11: 60 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 11: 60 (Wyckoff SOS)60
Sep 11
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
60
Sep 11
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
60
Sep 11
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
60
Sep 11
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
74 0.0%
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
72 0.0%

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