Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
PKG · Packaging Corporation of America
$253.74 +2.61% Oct 26 close
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$PKG
Packaging Corporation of AmericaPackaging Corporation of America is a large-cap Containers/Packaging company in the Process Industries sector with a market cap of $23B.
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift
(bearish)
Support
214.18–216.03
· 5 touches · strong
Support
201.25–201.87
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
202.93–204.58
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
233.81–234.27
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
222.74–223.90
· 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 55/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Recent price action · daily
What would change this verdict
What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:
- Minervini 1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85) — RS rank 64
- Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +3.4% QoQ
- O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +3.4% QoQ
- O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 64
- Dennis S2: 55-day Donchian breakout
- Zanger Named Zanger pattern only — Record Volume is not one of Zanger's six
Minority view — the council disagrees here
- Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
- O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
- Weinstein: buyable Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 with 7/7 measured criteria passing.
63
Neutral
Legend Score · rates the stock
Neutral (63/100) — held back by eps growth
Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.
- Relative Strength (25%) 64
- Trend Template (25%) 88
- Institutional Footprint (20%) 71
- EPS Growth (15%) 30
- Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 44
RS rank 64: above-average strength. Trend template 7/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 71: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 44: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.
Earnings
Normal technical setup
Next earnings
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
After market close
Exact clock time not supplied by source
Deterministic evidence
Reported EPS 3.04 vs estimate 2.9468 · surprise +3.2%
PKG+2.61%
Sector proxy · XLB+0.14%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Session internals Strong momentum
Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close+2.61%
From the open+2.13%
Range position96%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%)
SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$191.50
Tight Wks
1
Base
B2
SMA 200
$228.72
RS Line vs High
-8.2%
RS Line Slope
+8.6% ▲
Group Rank
#39/65
ADR%
1.9%
ATR(14)
$4.90 (1.9%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
A/D Days
14A / 8D
A/D Rating
A+
VDU Bars
0/10 d
Power Trend
1d
Earnings
past
PKG Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$PKG · $253.74 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
84
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▲ Recovering / early uptrend
Weekly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Moving Averages
50-day$237.21 ↑
100-day$237.49 ↑
200-day$228.72 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading72.0 · Overbought
Overbought — buyers extended; watch for a pause or pullback.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateBullish
Histogram+2.665
Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram expanding.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width114% · 12.9%
Riding the upper band — strong momentum, but stretched.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol1.92 · Accumulation
Rel volume1.49×
Pocket pivots · 10d5
5d vs 50d vol168%
Heavy vol up / down4 / 0
Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.
- Pocket pivot today — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
- 4 heavy-volume up days vs 0 down in the last 20 sessions.
Support & Resistance
R · $255.60swing level
R · $259.3952-week high
Price · $253.74now
S · $224.56swing level
S · $214.18swing level
S · $202.32swing level
Fibonacci · Uptrend swing
23.6%$246.52
38.2%$238.19
50.0%$231.46
61.8%$224.72
78.6%$215.14
Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.
The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
Unlock the exact entry, stop-loss, profit target, and reward-to-risk for PKG — plus the full 500+ symbol scanner and Ask-the-Legends chat.
Start your 7-day free trial →
Daily uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRSI overboughtVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice?
Ask a Legend about PKG
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (55/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.
Council consensus:
1 legend rates this Buyable · 6 watching · 2 avoid.
Minervini
Watch
C
Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $253.74, MA150 $229.80, MA200 $228.72
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $229.80 vs MA200 $228.72
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 64
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+3.4% QoQ
O'Neil
Avoid
D
CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
partialRule check says AVOID (3/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high2.4% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 1.93%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+3.4% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 64
Weinstein
Buyable
A
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 with 7/7 measured criteria passing.
highClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $253.74 vs MA200 $228.72
Failing evidence
No failing criteria.
dennis
Watch
A
Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $224.80
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $5.22 (2.06% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
zanger
Avoid
C
Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $291.80-$304.49; trail the rest
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyRecord Volume is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
zweig
Watch
D
Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying; Price strength (RS ≥ 70) — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 29.6x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (2025 adv / 1725 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+3.4% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Livermore
Watch
B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$253.74
Volume vs average1.49x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 64
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
Darvas
Watch
B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
mediumStock is at the top of its box — Darvas would wait for a decisive breakout on volume.
Passing evidence
Price$253.74
Volume vs average1.49x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 64
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
Wyckoff
Watch
B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
mediumSign of Strength — breakout above trading range on expanding volume. Accumulation phase complete, markup beginning. RS 64.
Passing evidence
Price$253.74
Volume vs average1.49x
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 64
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▲ Rising
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net +0
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C
2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
+3%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+7%
Gross margin ≥30%
20%
ROE ≥17%
16%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
64
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-2.4%
Method Playbook
Trade it like Dennis
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Dennis A · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the 20-day channel high (System 1) or 55-day channel high (System 2) as the breakout trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Buy the breakout print mechanically — no prediction, no hesitation, no chasing below the channel high.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Place the stop at 2N (N = 20-day ATR) below entry, set before the trade and never moved except up on winners.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Add at 0.5N intervals up to 4 units; trail the stop beneath each new add level, never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit System 1 at the 10-day low and System 2 at the 20-day low — the exit is part of the system, not a decision.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)
Cup & Handle
bullish
early
60%
built
Cup base building — 82% of the 14%-deep cup recovered. Watch for the right side to reach ~259.98, then a handle.
Pivot Watch
2.40% away
Tightness / volume
Stable · No VDU
Recent-pace band
1–5 sessions
Confirms above
259.98
Invalidates at
242.39
Rim
259.98
Cup Low
224.80
Pivot
259.98
Mid Cup
242.39
Cup depth 14%, recovery 82%, handle=not yet
Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.
Pattern Analysis
55
setup score
RS Score
64
Trend template
7/8
CANSLIM
67.0* (B)
cadence: daily
lookback bars: 260
detector version: record_volume/2026-09-27
record bar ago: 2
record volume: 1470664
volume multiple: 2.58
volume ratio: 2.577
rare tier: ✗
bars since bigger: 65
since date: 2026-07-22
callout text: Highest daily volume since 2026-07-22
up day: ✓
absorbed: ✓
low held: ✓
day gain pct: 3.09
depth pct: 3.09
day range pct: 3.09
geometry: {'record_bar': {'bar': 257, 'bars_ago': 2, 'price': 248.92, 'date': '2026-10-22'}, 'record_volume': 1470664, 'callout_text': 'Highest daily volume since 2026-07-22', 'arrow_target': {'bar': 257, 'bars_ago': 2, 'price': 248.92, 'date': '2026-10-22'}}
confidence kind: heuristic_match
findings: ['Highest daily volume since 2026-07-22: 1,470,664 shares (2.6x the trailing average)', 'Price action constructive — closed up on the day (record bar $241.46 -> $248.92, now $253.74)']
validation reason: valid generic setup
multi tf evaluated: ✓
multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup?
D+W Confluence
Record Volume · schematic
Highest daily volume since 2026-07-22 — 1,470,664 shares (2.6x average), 2 bars ago, and price action is constructive (closed up on the day). Big volume with holding prices means institutions are involved. Research/educational only, not a buy/sell recommendation. | Strong trend (7/8) | Good RS (64) | High-confidence pattern (80%) | Accumulation (1.9× up/dn vol) | Stage 2 | Readiness 63/100 (early) | CANSLIM 67.0 (B) | ⚠ 3rd-stage base; Not actionable yet
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
5/7
universals met
- A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 26 — laggard
- Clear of earnings — not met in -6 days — event risk
- Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
- Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- Volume confirms — met 1.5× average
Minervini Trend Template
7/8Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$253.74 vs SMA150 $229.80 / SMA200 $228.72
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $229.80 vs SMA200 $228.72
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +2.76 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $237.21
Price above SMA 50
$253.74 vs SMA50 $237.21
30%+ above 52-week low
+32.5% from $191.50
Within 25% of 52-week high
-2.4% from $259.98
RS score above 70
RS 64
Fundamentals
52W Range
91%
Mkt Cap SEC
22.6B
EPS QoQ
+3%
Rev YoY
+7%
ROE
16%
Gross Margin
20%
D/E
0.86
EPS TTM
$8.58
P/E TTM
29.6x
Float
89M
Insider
No Buy
Company
Company profile
Packaging Corporation of America
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B
67.0* CANSLIM
* disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
60
A · Annual EPS
70
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
100
L · Leader RS
64
I · Inst. Spons.
50
M · Market
30
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
6/8
W. RS
65
W. Support
$202.93
W. Resist
$259.98
W. Patterns
Cup & Handle
Basing
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
1
Confirmation
Neutral
Scan History
20× streakOct 27
Record Volume
✓ Gate
55
Oct 26
Record Volume
✓ Gate
55
0.0%
Oct 23
Trend Only
✓ Gate
68
+2.6%
Oct 23
Record Volume
✓ Gate
55
+2.6%
Latest News
Headlines for PKGLoading headlines…
Get the full picture on PKG
Pro members see entry/stop/target levels, R:R ratios, intraday alerts, and every setup detected across 500+ symbols daily.
Start 7-Day Free Trial