Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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PTC · PTC Inc.

$194.25 +0.23% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 98/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 98, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$PTC

PTC Inc.

PTC Inc. is a large-cap Packaged Software company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $21B.

Technology Services Packaged Software stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$194.25 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: bos (bullish)
Support 132.76–133.89 · 5 touches · strong
Support 179.32–180.66 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 137.23–137.95 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 142.70–143.78 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 146.72–147.14 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 98/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 98, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$150$175AugSepOct$194

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MA — MA150 $142.62 vs MA200 $146.58
  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — -44.7% QoQ
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — -44.7% QoQ
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.53x
  • Dennis S1: 20-day Donchian breakout
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
66 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (66/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 89
  • Trend Template (25%) 88
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 51
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 44

RS rank 88: beating most of the market. Trend template 7/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 51: neutral — no clear institutional conviction. EPS -0% last quarter — no earnings momentum. Quality 44: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Wednesday, November 4, 2026 After market close Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

PTC+0.23%
Sector proxy · XLK+1.69%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. PTC was -1.46 points vs XLK. -0.48 points vs SPY.

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.23% From the open+0.13% Range position88% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $194.25 +0.2% Oct 26 close
52W High $206.67 6.0% below high
Wks Since High 50w
Base Depth 45.2% 47.5% today
RS Rank 73 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $159.30
Avg Vol 2,690,881
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.53× 0.43× on up days
More stats
52W Low $108.50
Tight Wks 3
Base B2
SMA 200 $146.58
RS Line vs High -16.1%
RS Line Slope +41.0% ▲
Group Rank #12/66
ADR% 1.1%
ATR(14) $0.91 (0.5%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 9A / 5D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 16d
Earnings in 8d
Position in 52-week range 87thpercentile of the 52-week range
$108.50low
$206.67high

PTC Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$PTC · $194.25 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
79
/ 100
Technicals 79/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$159.30 ↑
100-day$143.49 ↑
200-day$146.58 ↑
Golden Cross (fresh)

RSI (14)

Reading78.6 · Overbought

Overbought — buyers extended; watch for a pause or pullback.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.714

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width63% · 46.3%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.43 · Distribution
Rel volume0.53×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol73%
Heavy vol up / down5 / 2

Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • 5 heavy-volume up days vs 2 down in the last 20 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $196.05swing level
R · $206.6752-week high
Price · $194.25now
S · $192.76swing level
S · $145.37swing level
S · $137.95swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$175.39
38.2%$162.61
50.0%$152.28
61.8%$141.94
78.6%$127.24

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRSI overbought
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about PTC
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (98/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 6 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid C Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

partialRule check says AVOID (7/10 checks passed) — Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $194.25, MA150 $142.62, MA200 $146.58
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $159.30, MA150 $142.62, MA200 $146.58
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $142.62 vs MA200 $146.58
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-44.7% QoQ
7/10 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 88
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +19.2% | ROE 22.5%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-44.7% QoQ
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Weinstein Watch B Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $194.25 vs MA200 $146.58
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.53x
6/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $133.67
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $3.90 (2.01% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $223.39-$233.10; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $193.66 · 20-day MA $183.32 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyTrend Only is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 31.9x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 88 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)-44.7% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
4/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$194.25
Relative strengthRS 88
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.53x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (6.0% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$194.25
Relative strengthRS 88
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.53x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$194.25
Relative strengthRS 88
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.53x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
86RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +8 A
A: 18 D: 10 Net: +865 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 5/7 met
B 5/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -45%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +19%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 84%
✓ ROE ≥17% 22%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 88
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -6.0%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

98 setup score
RS Score 88
Trend template 7/8
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Trend Only · schematic

Gatekeeper 7/8 | Strong trend (7/8) | Top RS (88) | Volume drying up (bullish) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Tight base (3 tight wks)

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 73 — middling
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met in 8 days — size down
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.5× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $194.25 vs SMA150 $142.62 / SMA200 $146.58
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $142.62 vs SMA200 $146.58
SMA 200 trending up Slope +0.79 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $159.30
Price above SMA 50 $194.25 vs SMA50 $159.30
30%+ above 52-week low +79.0% from $108.50
Within 25% of 52-week high -6.0% from $206.67
RS score above 70 RS 88

Fundamentals

52W Range
87%
Mkt Cap SEC
21.1B
EPS QoQ
-45%
Rev YoY
+19%
ROE
22%
Gross Margin
84%
D/E
0.31
EPS TTM
$6.08
P/E TTM
31.9x
Float
109M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
PTC Inc.
PTC · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Packaged Software

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
7/8
W. RS
88
W. Support
$108.50
W. Resist
$196.05
W. Patterns
Symmetrical Triangle Golden Cross Record Volume
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 91 (Darvas Box)Oct 23: 92 (Trend Only)Oct 26: 97 (Trend Only)Oct 26: 98 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 96 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 98 (Trend Only)98
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
98
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
96
Oct 26
Trend Only ✓ Gate
98 0.0%
Oct 26
Trend Only ✓ Gate
97 0.0%
Oct 23
Trend Only ✓ Gate
92 +0.2%
Oct 23
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
91 +0.2%

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