Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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PYPL · PayPal Holdings, Inc.

$54.99 -3.56% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Partial Move · Setup Score 55/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PayPal Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap Miscellaneous Commercial Services company in the Commercial Services sector with a market cap of $48B.

Commercial Services Miscellaneous Commercial Services stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$54.99 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: uptrend
Latest event: bos (bullish)
Resistance 57.55–58.00 · 7 touches · strong
Support 44.17–44.51 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 43.32–43.55 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 45.79–45.99 · 3 touches · moderate
Resistance 59.85–60.13 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 55/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$55.00$60.00AugSepOct$54.99

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.5 Price > 50-day MA — Price $54.99 vs MA50 $55.72
  • Minervini 1.7 Price within 25% of 52-week high — 30.6% below 52-week high
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +3.0% QoQ
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 24
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 1.01x
  • Weinstein Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below) — 30.6% below 52-week high
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails Price > 50-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.
44 Weak
Legend Score · rates the stock Weak (44/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 24
  • Trend Template (25%) 50
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 73
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 44

RS rank 24: lagging the market — leaders don't look like this. Trend template 4/8: mixed — some uptrend elements, some missing. Institutional score 73: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 44: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Post-earnings setup

Next earnings Tuesday, October 27, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

PYPL-3.56%
Sector proxy · XLI+1.42%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. PYPL was -4.98 points vs XLI. -4.27 points vs SPY.
CatalystUnavailable Stock reactionNegative Sector reactionSupportive Opening surge— Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-3.56% From the open-3.17% Range position22% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%) SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $54.99 -3.6% Oct 26 close
52W High $79.22 30.6% below high
Wks Since High 49w
Base Depth 51.4%
RS Rank 0 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $55.72
Avg Vol 12,048,574
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 1.01× 2.05× on up days
More stats
52W Low $38.46
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $49.99
RS Line vs High -32.4%
RS Line Slope +1.9% ▲
Group Rank #33/66
ADR% 2.1%
ATR(14) $1.17 (2.1%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 8A / 7D
A/D Rating B
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings TODAY
Position in 52-week range 41stpercentile of the 52-week range
$38.46low
$79.22high

PYPL Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$PYPL · $54.99 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
81
/ 100
Technicals 81/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$55.72 ↓
100-day$52.89 ↑
200-day$49.99 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading46.3 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.070

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width42% · 11.2%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol2.05 · Accumulation
Rel volume1.01×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol81%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 1

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • 1 heavy-volume down day vs 0 up in the last 20 sessions — supply is showing.

Support & Resistance

R · $55.54swing level
R · $57.67swing level
R · $59.47swing level
Price · $54.99now
S · $51.87swing level
S · $50.80swing level
S · $42.93swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$57.41
38.2%$54.12
50.0%$51.47
61.8%$48.81
78.6%$45.02

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulationRS 24 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about PYPL
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (55/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 6 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid D Trend-template read: fails Price > 50-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $54.99, MA150 $50.76, MA200 $49.99
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $50.76 vs MA200 $49.99
Failing evidence
1.5 Price > 50-day MAPrice $54.99 vs MA50 $55.72
1.7 Price within 25% of 52-week high30.6% below 52-week high
7/13 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +15.0% | ROE 24.4%
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.13%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+3.0% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 24
2/8 checks
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumStage 2 uptrend in progress — hold as long as price stays above the 30-week moving average.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $54.99 vs MA200 $49.99
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.01x
Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below)30.6% below 52-week high
4/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $52.29
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $1.40 (2.54% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/8 checks
zanger Avoid C Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $63.24-$65.99; trail the rest
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyPartial Move is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
4/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying; Price strength (RS ≥ 70) — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 9.7x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.18 (2050 adv / 1742 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+3.0% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
3/8 checks
Livermore Watch C Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$54.99
Detected patternPartial Move
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 24
Volume vs average1.01x
2/6 checks
Darvas Watch C Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$54.99
Detected patternPartial Move
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 24
Volume vs average1.01x
2/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch C Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$54.99
Detected patternPartial Move
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 24
Volume vs average1.01x
2/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
70RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +6 B
A: 15 D: 9 Net: +665 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (4/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +3%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +15%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 40%
✓ ROE ≥17% 24%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 24
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✗ Within 25% of 52W high -30.6%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Darvas EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Darvas C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the top of the active Darvas box near the high as the mechanical breakout boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require price to clear the box top with volume confirmation; movement inside the box remains observation, not a trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the active box support or the canonical structural stop that proves the breakout failed.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: As higher boxes form, raise the stop beneath the newest confirmed box floor; the stop moves up only.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price breaks the active box floor or decisively falls back through the breakout structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~51.92 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~41.11. A push back above 56.96 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 62.73 invalidates it.

Confirms below 51.92
Invalidates at 62.73
Left Shoulder 59.47
Head 62.73
Right Shoulder 56.96
Neckline 51.92
Target 41.11

LS 59.47 / head 62.73 / RS 56.96, neckline ~51.92, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Partial Move ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 24
Trend template 4/8
CANSLIM 52.4* (D)
predictor: ✓ predicted direction: down probability: 0.67 retrace pct: 59.9 formation low: 50.8 formation high: 62.73 volume ratio: 0.838 depth pct: 19.02 validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 5/8 confirmed
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Partial Move · schematic

Partial rise stalled at 59.9% of range (50.80–62.73) without touching the top; predicts downward break ~67% of the time. Predictor — breakout not confirmed. | Weak trend (4/8) | Moderate pattern (67%) | Accumulation (2.0× up/dn vol) | Stage 2 | Readiness 40/100 (early) | CANSLIM 52.4 (D) | ⚠ Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

4/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS score 24 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 0 days — event risk
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 4/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

4/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $54.99 vs SMA150 $50.76 / SMA200 $49.99
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $50.76 vs SMA200 $49.99
SMA 200 trending up Slope -0.43 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $55.72
Price above SMA 50 $54.99 vs SMA50 $55.72
30%+ above 52-week low +43.0% from $38.46
Within 25% of 52-week high -30.6% from $79.22
RS score above 70 RS 24

Fundamentals

52W Range
41%
Mkt Cap SEC
47.7B
EPS QoQ
+3%
Rev YoY
+15%
ROE
24%
Gross Margin
40%
D/E
0.56
EPS TTM
$5.30
P/E TTM
10.4x
Float
882M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
PYPL · NASDAQ · Commercial Services · Miscellaneous Commercial Services
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
D 52.4* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
60
A · Annual EPS
81
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
24
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
5/8
W. RS
47
W. Support
$40.20
W. Resist
$62.73
W. Patterns
Symmetrical Triangle
Weekly Structure

Scan History

3× streak
Oct 22: 55 (Record Volume)Oct 23: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Oct 23: 55 (Record Volume)Oct 26: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Oct 27: 55 (Partial Move)55
Oct 27
Partial Move
55
Oct 26
watchlist_candidate
0 0.0%
Oct 23
Record Volume
55 -3.6%
Oct 23
watchlist_candidate
0 -3.6%
Oct 22
Record Volume
55 -4.4%

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