Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 76, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
SMCI · Super Micro Computer, Inc.
$32.69 -0.76% Oct 26 close
2 independent risk warnings also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a large-cap Computer Processing Hardware company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $21B.
⚠ Risk Signals
Bearish RSI Divergence
Price higher high ($39.84→$44.94) but RSI lower high (71→65) — momentum diverging
Bearish MACD Divergence
Price higher high ($39.84→$44.94) but MACD lower high (2.34→1.83) — momentum diverging
Bearish structure on the daily chart — a heads-up for anyone holding, not a short signal. Does not affect the bullish setup score.
Market Structure
Trend structure: downtrend
Latest event: structure_shift
(bearish)
Support
29.68–29.94
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
29.35–29.49
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
29.02–29.12
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
30.92–31.03
· 3 touches · moderate
Historical verdict · setup score 76/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 76, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Recent price action · daily
What would change this verdict
What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:
- Minervini 1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA — Price $32.69, MA150 $33.12, MA200 $32.56
- Minervini 1.5 Price > 50-day MA — Price $32.69 vs MA50 $38.44
- O'Neil N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high — 39.6% below high | RS line new high: False
- O'Neil S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%) — ATR% 8.20%
- Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.62x
- Weinstein Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below) — 39.6% below 52-week high
Minority view — the council disagrees here
- Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.
- O'Neil: watch CANSLIM read: 3/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
- Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
69
Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock
Strong (69/100) — held back by eps growth
Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.
- Relative Strength (25%) 90
- Trend Template (25%) 88
- Institutional Footprint (20%) 65
- EPS Growth (15%) 32
- Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 45
RS rank 89: beating most of the market. Trend template 7/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 65: mild accumulation. EPS up +1% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 45: weak fundamentals (sales growth 31, return on equity 40, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-14.
Earnings
Pre-earnings setup
Next earnings
Monday, November 2, 2026
Report time not confirmed by the source
Deterministic evidence
SMCI-0.76%
Sector proxy · XLK+1.69%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
CatalystPending
Stock reactionNegative
Sector reactionSupportive
Opening surgePending
Event riskEarnings-driven
Session internals Weak
Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close-0.76%
From the open-1.15%
Range position12%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%)
SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -2 points.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.
- QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
- A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$19.48
Tight Wks
0
Base
B3
SMA 200
$32.56
RS Line vs High
-39.2%
RS Line Slope
+2.8% ▲
Group Rank
#3/66
ADR%
5.4%
ATR(14)
$2.68 (8.2%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
A/D Days
19A / 11D
A/D Rating
A+
VDU Bars
0/10 d
Earnings
in 6d
SMCI Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$SMCI · $32.69 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
42
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▼ Downtrend
Weekly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Moving Averages
50-day$38.44 ↓
100-day$34.63 ↓
200-day$32.56 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading37.5 · Bearish
Bearish momentum — sellers in control.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateBearish
Histogram-0.807
Bearish — MACD below its signal line and below zero. Histogram expanding.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width20% · 48.6%
Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol0.45 · Distribution
Rel volume0.62×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol102%
Heavy vol up / down1 / 0
Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.
- 1 heavy-volume up day vs 0 down in the last 20 sessions.
Support & Resistance
R · $36.58swing level
R · $39.47swing level
R · $41.53swing level
Price · $32.69now
S · $29.46swing level
S · $27.71swing level
S · $25.56swing level
Fibonacci · Downtrend swing
23.6%$29.99
38.2%$34.08
50.0%$37.39
61.8%$40.70
78.6%$45.40
Retracement resistance zones measured from the recent swing high down to the low.
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Daily downtrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume distributionRS 89 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice?
Ask a Legend about SMCI
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (76/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.
Council consensus:
7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Avoid
C
Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.
partialRule check says AVOID (6/10 checks passed) — Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $33.12 vs MA200 $32.56
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $38.44, MA150 $33.12, MA200 $32.56
Failing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $32.69, MA150 $33.12, MA200 $32.56
1.5 Price > 50-day MAPrice $32.69 vs MA50 $38.44
O'Neil
Watch
D
CANSLIM read: 3/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+97.1% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 89
Failing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high39.6% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 8.20%
Weinstein
Watch
C
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $32.69 vs MA200 $32.56
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.62x
Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below)39.6% below 52-week high
dennis
Watch
C
Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $30.92
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $2.43 (7.43% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
zanger
Avoid
D
Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $37.59-$39.23; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $34.11 · 20-day MA $38.25 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyTrend Only is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
zweig
Watch
B
Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+97.1% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 10.0x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Monetary conditions: don't fight the FedFed series stored but too thin to read direction
Livermore
Watch
B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$32.69
Relative strengthRS 89
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.62x
Distance from 52-week high39.6% below high
Darvas
Watch
B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$32.69
Relative strengthRS 89
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.62x
Distance from 52-week high39.6% below high
Wyckoff
Watch
B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$32.69
Relative strengthRS 89
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.62x
Distance from 52-week high39.6% below high
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▲ Rising
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net +11
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C
3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (5/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
+97%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+78%
Gross margin ≥30%
8%
ROE ≥17%
13%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
89
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 1
Within 25% of 52W high
-42.2%
Method Playbook
Trade it like O'Neil
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
O'Neil D · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Pattern Analysis (historical)
76
setup score
RS Score
89
Trend template
5/8
Why This Setup?
D+W Confluence
Trend Only · schematic
Gatekeeper 7/8 | Strong trend (7/8) | Top RS (89) | Volume drying up (bullish) | Stage 2
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
0/7
universals met
- Clear of earnings — not met in 6 days — event risk
- Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
- A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 76 — middling
- Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
- In a confirmed uptrend — partly met Stage 1 · Trend template 5/8 — not yet Stage 2
- Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
- Volume confirms — partly met 0.6× average — light
Minervini Trend Template
5/8Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$32.69 vs SMA150 $33.12 / SMA200 $32.56
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $33.12 vs SMA200 $32.56
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +0.73 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $38.44
Price above SMA 50
$32.69 vs SMA50 $38.44
30%+ above 52-week low
+67.8% from $19.48
Within 25% of 52-week high
-42.2% from $56.60
RS score above 70
RS 89
Fundamentals
52W Range
36%
Mkt Cap SEC
21.5B
EPS QoQ
+97%
Rev YoY
+78%
ROE
13%
Gross Margin
8%
D/E
0.76
EPS TTM
$3.26
P/E TTM
10.0x
Float
657M
Insider
No Buy
Company
Company profile
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
7/8
W. RS
96
W. Support
$23.38
W. Resist
$51.40
W. Patterns
Symmetrical Triangle
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
0
Confirmation
Neutral
Scan History
Oct 14
Trend Only
✓ Gate
76
Oct 13
Trend Only
✓ Gate
75
-16.3%
Oct 12
Trend Only
✓ Gate
82
-18.2%
Oct 10
Trend Only
✓ Gate
82
-18.2%
Oct 09
Trend Only
✓ Gate
83
-21.9%
Latest News
Headlines for SMCILoading headlines…
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