Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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SMCI · Super Micro Computer, Inc.

$37.38 -3.98% Sep 10 close
Detected setup watchlist_candidate · Setup Score 0/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a large-cap Computer Processing Hardware company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $25B.

Electronic Technology Computer Processing Hardware stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 3+
$37.38 latest close
Verdict · setup score 0/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

SMCI-3.98%
Sector proxy · XLK-1.41%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. SMCI was -2.57 points vs XLK. -3.38 points vs SPY.

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-3.98% From the open-1.48% Range position1% GapHeld
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%) SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $37.38 -4.0% Sep 10 close
52W High $58.78 36.4% below high
Wks Since High 46w
Base Depth 65.0% 66.9% today
RS Rank 15 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $32.28
Avg Vol 46,691,201
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.57×
More stats
52W Low $19.48
Tight Wks 0
Base B3
SMA 200 $31.45
RS Line vs High -43.4%
RS Line Slope -2.0% ▼
Group Rank #4/58
ADR% 5.6%
ATR(14) $2.09 (5.6%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 1.33
A/D Days 16A / 14D
A/D Rating B
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 20d
Position in 52-week range 46thpercentile of the 52-week range
$19.48low
$58.78high

SMCI Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$SMCI · $37.38 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
50
/ 100
Technicals 50/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▬ Sideways / consolidating

Moving Averages

50-day$32.28 ↑
100-day$32.89 ↑
200-day$31.45 ↑
Golden Cross (fresh)

RSI (14)

Reading53.8 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.158

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width41% · 13.5%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.33 · Neutral
Rel volume0.57×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $39.47swing level
R · $42.31swing level
R · $51.40swing level
Price · $37.38now
S · $35.63swing level
S · $34.09swing level
S · $29.55swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$43.87
38.2%$39.21
50.0%$35.44
61.8%$31.67
78.6%$26.31

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Above 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 24 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about SMCI
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 4 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Avoid
Minervini C

Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $37.38, MA150 $31.44, MA200 $31.45
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $32.28, MA150 $31.44, MA200 $31.45
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $31.44 vs MA200 $31.45
1.7 Price within 25% of 52-week high36.4% below 52-week high
5/8 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +77.8%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 24
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
1/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein D

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 4 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $37.38 vs MA200 $31.45
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.57x
Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below)36.4% below 52-week high
2/6 checks
Watch
Livermore C

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$37.38
Detected patternwatchlist_candidate
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 24
Volume vs average0.57x
2/6 checks
Watch
Darvas C

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$37.38
Detected patternwatchlist_candidate
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 24
Volume vs average0.57x
2/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff C

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$37.38
Detected patternwatchlist_candidate
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 24
Volume vs average0.57x
2/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Shooting Star — Long upper shadow with a small body near the low — sellers rejected higher prices. A caution flag when price is extended above a pivot.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▼ Falling
73RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 B
A: 15 D: 12 Net: +365 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (4/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +78%
Gross margin ≥30%
ROE ≥17%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 24
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -36.4%

Method Playbook

Trade it like O'Neil EXACT LEVELS · PRO
O'Neil D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

0 setup score
RS Score 24
Trend template 4/8
Why This Setup?
watchlist_candidate · schematic

Near-miss 4/8 — needs: sma150 above sma200, sma200 trending up, price within 25pct of 52w high, rs score above 70

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 15 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.6× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 4/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

4/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $37.38 vs SMA150 $31.44 / SMA200 $31.45
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $31.44 vs SMA200 $31.45
SMA 200 trending up Slope -0.47 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $32.28
Price above SMA 50 $37.38 vs SMA50 $32.28
30%+ above 52-week low +91.9% from $19.48
Within 25% of 52-week high -36.4% from $58.78
RS score above 70 RS 24

Fundamentals

52W Range
46%
Mkt Cap SEC
24.6B
Rev YoY
+78%
EPS TTM
$3.26
P/E TTM
11.5x
Float
657M

Company

Company profile
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI · NASDAQ · Electronic Technology · Computer Processing Hardware

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Sep 10: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Sep 11: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0
Sep 11
watchlist_candidate
0
Sep 10
watchlist_candidate
0 0.0%
Sep 09
watchlist_candidate
0 -4.0%

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