Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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ULTA · Ulta Beauty, Inc.

$625.33 +0.14% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Ascending Triangle · Setup Score 68/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 68, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$ULTA

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a large-cap Specialty Stores company in the Retail Trade sector with a market cap of $27B.

Retail Trade Specialty Stores stock Stage 3 · Topping Base 2
$625.33 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: uptrend
Latest event: structure_shift (bullish)
Support 527.00–530.79 · 5 touches · strong
Support 493.00–494.64 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 540.00–543.56 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 611.90–616.34 · 4 touches · moderate
Resistance 656.30–660.00 · 3 touches · moderate
Join to Watchlist $ULTA Share card
Verdict · setup score 68/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 68, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Recent price action · daily
$500$600AugSepOct$625

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MA — MA150 $521.47 vs MA200 $553.50
  • Minervini Stage 2 confirmed (Weinstein cross-check) — Stage 3
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 74
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmed — Stage 3 (Topping)
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.81x
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).
  • Weinstein: avoid Stage-analysis read: topping (Stage 3) is not an advancing Stage 2.
63 Neutral
Legend Score · rates the stock Neutral (63/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 74
  • Trend Template (25%) 75
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 71
  • EPS Growth (15%) 31
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 45

RS rank 74: above-average strength. Trend template 6/8: passes the uptrend screen, structure intact. Institutional score 71: mild accumulation. EPS up +1% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 45: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 42, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Thursday, December 3, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

ULTA+0.14%
Sector proxy · XLY+1.03%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. ULTA was -0.89 points vs XLY. -0.57 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.14% From the open+0.14% Range position45% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $625.33 +0.1% Oct 26 close
52W High $714.97 12.5% below high
Wks Since High 34w
Base Depth 38.0%
RS Rank 45 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $555.21
Avg Vol 561,620
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.81× 1.62× on up days
More stats
52W Low $443.60
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $553.50
RS Line vs High -21.1%
RS Line Slope +14.0% ▲
Group Rank #29/66
ADR% 2.6%
ATR(14) $17.08 (2.7%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 14A / 11D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 15d
Earnings in 37d
Position in 52-week range 67thpercentile of the 52-week range
$443.60low
$714.97high

ULTA Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$ULTA · $625.33 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
100
/ 100
Technicals 100/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$555.21 ↑
100-day$520.53 ↑
200-day$553.50 ↑
Golden Cross (fresh)

RSI (14)

Reading69.4 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+4.930

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width87% · 21.9%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.62 · Accumulation
Rel volume0.81×
Pocket pivots · 10d3
5d vs 50d vol90%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 2 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $714.9752-week high
Price · $625.33now
S · $531.53swing level
S · $512.91swing level
S · $503.05swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$591.56
38.2%$563.28
50.0%$540.43
61.8%$517.58
78.6%$485.04

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about ULTA
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (68/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 6 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid B Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

partialRule check says AVOID (9/12 checks passed) — Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $625.33, MA150 $521.47, MA200 $553.50
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $555.21, MA150 $521.47, MA200 $553.50
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $521.47 vs MA200 $553.50
Stage 2 confirmed (Weinstein cross-check)Stage 3
9/12 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).

partialRule check says AVOID (4/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+55.8% QoQ
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +9.7% | ROE 44.1%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 74
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein Avoid C Stage-analysis read: topping (Stage 3) is not an advancing Stage 2.
Passing evidence
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $625.33 vs MA200 $553.50
30-week MA trending upwardFrom weekly scan context
Failing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 3 (Topping)
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.81x
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $534.05
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $16.27 (2.60% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zanger Watch B Zanger read: the structure is fine but the breakout quality is not there yet — wait for 150%+ volume on the break.

partialZanger would buy the Ascending Triangle breakout only with 150-200% volume, never more than 5% above the breakout point, with a 2-3% stop set at entry. His edge over O'Neil is the exit plan: sell 20-30% of the position at +15-20%, then trail the rest on the 10/20-day moving average.

Passing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyAscending Triangle
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Failing evidence
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageData unavailable
5/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zweig Watch B Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+55.8% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 24.4x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Monetary conditions: don't fight the FedFed series stored but too thin to read direction
5/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$625.33
Relative strengthRS 74
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.81x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

partialConsolidating within the box (12.5% from 52W high) — patience until it approaches the prior high.

Passing evidence
Price$625.33
Relative strengthRS 74
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.81x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$625.33
Relative strengthRS 74
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.81x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volume0.81x average volume — needs ≥1.4x
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Doji — Open and close nearly equal — indecision. After a strong move it can signal a pause or pending reversal; wait for confirmation.

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
107RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net -2 A
A: 14 D: 16 Net: -265 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (6/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✓ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +56%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +10%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 39%
✓ ROE ≥17% 44%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 74
✗ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 3
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -12.5%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Ascending Triangle ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Rising wedge ⚠ Weinstein Stage 3 (topping)
68 setup score
RS Score 74
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM 70.1* (B)
high slope: 0.2853 low slope: 1.5233 triangle height: 44.97 depth: 0.0735 triangle volume ratio: 0.705 validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly range widening last 3 weeks — unstable structure
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Ascending Triangle · schematic

Flat resistance (slope=0.2853), rising lows (slope=1.5233) | Moderate trend (6/8) | Good RS (74) | High-confidence pattern (80%) | Accumulation (1.6× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Readiness 66/100 (watch) | CANSLIM 70.1 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Rising wedge; Weinstein Stage 3 (topping)

Ask a Legend ▾
Golden Cross ⚠ Rising wedge ⚠ Weinstein Stage 3 (topping) ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 74
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM 67.9* (B)
fast len: 50 slow len: 200 detector version: golden_cross/2026-09-27 cross bar ago: 0 cross price: 555.21 fast now: 555.21 slow now: 553.5 separation pct: 0.31 volume ratio: 0.788 depth pct: 2.22 geometry: {'cross_point': {'bar': 372, 'bars_ago': 0, 'price': 555.21, 'date': '2026-10-26'}, 'ring': {'bar': 372, 'bars_ago': 0, 'price': 555.21, 'date': '2026-10-26', 'color': 'gold', 'label': 'Golden Cross'}, 'fast_ma_line': {'label': '50-day SMA', 'start': {'bar': 313, 'bars_ago': 59, 'price': 479.911, 'date': '2026-08-03'}, 'end': {'bar': 372, 'bars_ago': 0, 'price': 555.2058, 'date': '2026-10-26'}}, 'slow_ma_line': {'label': '200-day SMA', 'start': {'bar': 313, 'bars_ago': 59, 'price': 554.7277, 'date': '2026-08-03'}, 'end': {'bar': 372, 'bars_ago': 0, 'price': 553.5028, 'date': '2026-10-26'}}} confidence kind: heuristic_match findings: ['50-day SMA crossed above the 200-day SMA at ~$555.21 (2026-10-26, 0 bars ago)', 'Now: 50-day SMA $555.21 vs 200-day SMA $553.50; price $625.33 holding above the slow line', 'The fast average fell 2.2% from its pre-cross peak — this cross resolves that consolidation'] validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 5/8 confirmed
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Golden Cross · schematic

Golden Cross: the 50-day SMA just crossed above the 200-day SMA (~$555.21, 0 bars ago) — the classic long-term trend-turn signal. Price is holding above the slow line. Research/educational only, not a buy/sell recommendation. | Moderate trend (6/8) | Good RS (74) | High-confidence pattern (76%) | Accumulation (1.6× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Readiness 55/100 (early) | CANSLIM 67.9 (B) | ⚠ Rising wedge; Weinstein Stage 3 (topping); Not actionable yet

Ask a Legend ▾
Pocket Pivot ⚠ Rising wedge ⚠ Weinstein Stage 3 (topping) ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 74
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM 67.3* (B)
volume ratio: 1.5 near moving avg: ✓ upper close: ✓ shooting star: ✗ price past buy range: ✗ vol beats down: ✓ bars since signal: 2 signal close: 635.01 validation reason: valid pocket-pivot multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 5/8 confirmed + no fresh 13-week low
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Pocket Pivot · schematic

Up vol 816,523 vs max down vol 544,349 (near MA), upper_close=yes, bars_ago=2 | Moderate trend (6/8) | Good RS (74) | Moderate pattern (65%) | Accumulation (1.6× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Readiness 52/100 (early) | CANSLIM 67.3 (B) | ⚠ Rising wedge; Weinstein Stage 3 (topping); Not actionable yet

Ask a Legend ▾
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

4/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 45 — laggard
  • Asymmetric reward — not met Not met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.8× average — light
  • Clear of earnings — met in 37 days
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 3 · Trend template 6/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

6/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $625.33 vs SMA150 $521.47 / SMA200 $553.50
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $521.47 vs SMA200 $553.50
SMA 200 trending up Slope -3.22 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $555.21
Price above SMA 50 $625.33 vs SMA50 $555.21
30%+ above 52-week low +41.0% from $443.60
Within 25% of 52-week high -12.5% from $714.97
RS score above 70 RS 74

Fundamentals

52W Range
67%
Mkt Cap SEC
26.7B
EPS QoQ
+56%
Rev YoY
+10%
ROE
44%
Gross Margin
39%
D/E
0.02
EPS TTM
$25.64
P/E TTM
24.4x
Float
43M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
ULTA · NASDAQ · Retail Trade · Specialty Stores
Track all markets on TradingView
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 70.1* CANSLIM * disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
92
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
80
L · Leader RS
74
I · Inst. Spons.
56
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
5/8
W. RS
69
W. Support
$443.60
W. Resist
$637.26
W. Patterns
Cup & Handle Golden Cross
Weekly Structure

Scan History

12× streak
Oct 26: 55 (Base Breakout)Oct 27: 68 (Ascending Triangle)68
Oct 27
Ascending Triangle ✓ Gate
68
Oct 26
Base Breakout
55 0.0%

Latest News

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