Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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UNP · Union Pacific Corporation

$296.97 +1.40% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Pocket Pivot · Setup Score 55/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$UNP

Union Pacific Corporation

Union Pacific Corporation is a large-cap Railroads company in the Transportation sector with a market cap of $176B.

Transportation Railroads stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$296.97 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: uptrend
Latest event: structure_shift (bearish)
Support 273.74–274.79 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 231.50–232.04 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 236.88–238.13 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 261.04–261.94 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 263.92–265.37 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 55/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$280$300$320AugSepOct$297

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +2.4% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — +1.1% YoY
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +2.4% QoQ
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 73
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.83x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 10/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
68 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (68/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 74
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 70
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 39

RS rank 73: above-average strength. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 70: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 39: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 42, leverage 60). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Thursday, October 22, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

Reported EPS 3.53 vs estimate 3.5078 · surprise +0.6%

UNP+1.40%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. +0.69 points vs SPY.

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+1.40% From the open+0.92% Range position90% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $296.97 +1.4% Oct 26 close
52W High $315.99 6.0% below high
Wks Since High 13w
Base Depth 15.1%
RS Rank 44 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $287.49
Avg Vol 2,472,091
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.83× 1.47× on up days
More stats
52W Low $215.53
Tight Wks 4
Base B2
SMA 200 $268.94
RS Line vs High -6.7%
RS Line Slope +8.2% ▲
Group Rank #30/66
ADR% 1.8%
ATR(14) $5.66 (1.9%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 12A / 13D
A/D Rating D
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings past
Position in 52-week range 81stpercentile of the 52-week range
$215.53low
$315.99high

UNP Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$UNP · $296.97 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
89
/ 100
Technicals 89/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Recovering / early uptrend
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$287.49 ↑
100-day$285.16 ↑
200-day$268.94 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading65.7 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+2.103

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width94% · 11.2%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.47 · Neutral
Rel volume0.83×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol132%
Heavy vol up / down2 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 2 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
  • 2 heavy-volume up days vs 0 down in the last 20 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $315.0752-week high
Price · $296.97now
S · $284.79swing level
S · $268.47swing level
S · $259.85swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$301.65
38.2% ◄ price here$292.78
50.0%$285.61
61.8%$278.43
78.6%$268.22

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about UNP
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (55/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 10/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialEnter on break of $296.97 pivot with stop at $277.20 (risk 6.7%). SEPA Grade B (4/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $296.97, MA150 $276.29, MA200 $268.94
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $276.29 vs MA200 $268.94
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+2.4% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+1.1% YoY
10/12 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

partialRule check says AVOID (3/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +1.1% | ROE 40.4%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high6.0% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+2.4% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 73
3/8 checks
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $296.97 vs MA200 $268.94
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.83x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $268.68
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $5.59 (1.88% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Avoid C Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $341.52-$356.36; trail the rest
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyPocket Pivot is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageData unavailable
4/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 24.8x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 73 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+2.4% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
4/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$296.97
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.83x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (6.0% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$296.97
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.83x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$296.97
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.83x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
122RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +0 D
A: 14 D: 14 Net: +065 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +2%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +1%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 79%
✓ ROE ≥17% 40%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 73
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -6.0%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Minervini EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the tight base's structural pivot; the setup must retain Trend Template leadership into the trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a decisive move through the pivot with volume confirmation, and do not initiate more than 5% above it.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start at the tighter structural invalidation; the initial loss limit must not exceed roughly 7–8% from entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Hold the initial stop until the trade proves itself; near +1R move to breakeven, then trail a higher low or rising 10/21-day average once well extended.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when the structural stop or a meaningful higher-low/short-term trend violation fires; never widen the stop.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Cup & Handle bullish early
60% built

Cup base building — 60% of the 15%-deep cup recovered. Watch for the right side to reach ~315.99, then a handle.

Confirms above 315.99
Invalidates at 292.12
Rim 315.99
Cup Low 268.26
Pivot 315.99
Mid Cup 292.12

Cup depth 15%, recovery 60%, handle=not yet

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Pocket Pivot ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 73
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 71.2* (B)
volume ratio: 2.87 near moving avg: ✓ upper close: ✓ shooting star: ✗ price past buy range: ✗ vol beats down: ✓ bars since signal: 2 signal close: 298.09 validation reason: valid pocket-pivot multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 7/8 confirmed + no fresh 13-week low
Why This Setup?
Pocket Pivot · schematic

Up vol 4,989,711 vs max down vol 1,738,575 (near MA), upper_close=yes, bars_ago=2 | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (73) | High-confidence pattern (80%) | Stage 2 | Tight base (4 tight wks) | Readiness 61/100 (early) | CANSLIM 71.2 (B) | ⚠ Not actionable yet

Record Volume ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 73
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 70.8* (B)
cadence: daily lookback bars: 260 detector version: record_volume/2026-09-27 record bar ago: 2 record volume: 4989711 volume multiple: 2.09 volume ratio: 2.088 rare tier: ✗ bars since bigger: 23 since date: 2026-09-21 callout text: Highest daily volume since 2026-09-21 up day: ✓ absorbed: ✓ low held: ✓ day gain pct: 6.73 depth pct: 6.73 day range pct: 7.46 geometry: {'record_bar': {'bar': 257, 'bars_ago': 2, 'price': 298.09, 'date': '2026-10-22'}, 'record_volume': 4989711, 'callout_text': 'Highest daily volume since 2026-09-21', 'arrow_target': {'bar': 257, 'bars_ago': 2, 'price': 298.09, 'date': '2026-10-22'}} confidence kind: heuristic_match findings: ['Highest daily volume since 2026-09-21: 4,989,711 shares (2.1x the trailing average)', 'Price action constructive — closed up on the day (record bar $279.30 -> $298.09, now $296.97)'] validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup?
Record Volume · schematic

Highest daily volume since 2026-09-21 — 4,989,711 shares (2.1x average), 2 bars ago, and price action is constructive (closed up on the day). Big volume with holding prices means institutions are involved. Research/educational only, not a buy/sell recommendation. | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (73) | High-confidence pattern (74%) | Stage 2 | Tight base (4 tight wks) | Readiness 59/100 (early) | CANSLIM 70.8 (B) | ⚠ Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

3/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 44 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in -5 days — event risk
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.8× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $296.97 vs SMA150 $276.29 / SMA200 $268.94
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $276.29 vs SMA200 $268.94
SMA 200 trending up Slope +4.90 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $287.49
Price above SMA 50 $296.97 vs SMA50 $287.49
30%+ above 52-week low +37.8% from $215.53
Within 25% of 52-week high -6.0% from $315.99
RS score above 70 RS 73

Fundamentals

52W Range
81%
Mkt Cap SEC
176.5B
EPS QoQ
+2%
Rev YoY
+1%
ROE
40%
Gross Margin
79%
D/E
1.72
EPS TTM
$11.98
P/E TTM
24.8x
Float
594M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Union Pacific Corporation
UNP · NYSE · Transportation · Railroads
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 71.2* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
59
A · Annual EPS
84
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
73
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
7/8
W. RS
69
W. Support
$255.22
W. Resist
$315.99
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 88 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 23: 88 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 26: 84 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 27: 55 (Pocket Pivot)55
Oct 27
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
55
Oct 26
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
84 0.0%
Oct 23
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
88 +1.4%
Oct 23
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
88 +1.4%

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