Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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VLO · Valero Energy Corporation

$426.76 +1.78% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 86/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 86, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

2 independent risk warnings also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$VLO

Valero Energy Corporation

Valero Energy Corporation is a large-cap Oil Refining/Marketing company in the Energy Minerals sector with a market cap of $123B.

Energy Minerals Oil Refining/Marketing stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$426.76 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift (bearish)
Support 194.35–194.58 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 232.72–233.23 · 3 touches · moderate
Join to Watchlist $VLO Share card
Historical record

No active setup in the latest scan — this page shows the last detection Legend AI made for $VLO. Every level, score and criterion below is computed from the Oct 26 close session (latest session), and may no longer hold.

Historical verdict · setup score 86/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 86, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Recent price action · daily
$300$400AugSepOct$427

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +10.5% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — -2.8% YoY
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +10.5% QoQ
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.74x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
74 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (74/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 98
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 64
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 44

RS rank 97: top 3% of all stocks — true leadership. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 64: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 44: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Thursday, October 22, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

Reported EPS 23.9 vs estimate 21.2818 · surprise +12.3%

VLO+1.78%
Sector proxy · XLE+0.45%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. VLO was +1.33 points vs XLE. +1.07 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+1.78% From the open+2.44% Range position49% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $426.76 +1.8% Oct 26 close
52W High $461.52 7.5% below high
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth 8.8% 9.8% today
RS Rank 96 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $394.11
Avg Vol 2,980,372
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.74× 1.00× on up days
More stats
52W Low $159.90
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $281.58
RS Line vs High -6.7%
RS Line Slope +9.9% ▲
Group Rank #1/66
ADR% 3.9%
ATR(14) $17.69 (4.1%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 12A / 9D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 1d
Earnings past
Position in 52-week range 88thpercentile of the 52-week range
$159.90low
$461.52high

VLO Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$VLO · $426.76 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
80
/ 100
Technicals 80/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$394.11 ↑
100-day$339.11 ↑
200-day$281.58 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading54.7 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-4.064

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width49% · 18.2%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.0 · Neutral
Rel volume0.74×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol82%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $461.5252-week high
Price · $426.76now
S · $364.96swing level
S · $335.00swing level
S · $292.83swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$406.23
38.2%$372.03
50.0%$344.38
61.8%$316.74
78.6%$277.38

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 97 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about VLO
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (86/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialMonitor Trend Only for tighter volatility contraction before entry. SEPA Grade B (4/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $426.76, MA150 $307.44, MA200 $281.58
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $307.44 vs MA200 $281.58
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+10.5% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY-2.8% YoY
8/10 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 97
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev -2.8% | ROE 17.6%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+10.5% QoQ
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $426.76 vs MA200 $281.58
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.74x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $379.57
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $16.27 (3.81% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $490.77-$512.11; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $438.08 · 20-day MA $427.36 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyTrend Only is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 97 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (2025 adv / 1725 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+10.5% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 56.4x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
3/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$426.76
Relative strengthRS 97
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.74x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (7.5% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$426.76
Relative strengthRS 97
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.74x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$426.76
Relative strengthRS 97
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.74x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
219RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 A
A: 14 D: 11 Net: +365 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +10%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY -3%
✗ Gross margin ≥30% 6%
✓ ROE ≥17% 18%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 97
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -7.5%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish near confirmation
90% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~421.31 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~381.10. A push back above 439.55 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 461.52 invalidates it.

Confirms below 421.31
Invalidates at 461.52
Left Shoulder 419.04
Head 461.52
Right Shoulder 439.55
Neckline 421.31
Target 381.10

LS 419.04 / head 461.52 / RS 439.55, neckline ~421.31, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis (historical)

Trend Only
86 setup score
RS Score 97
Trend template 8/8 ✓
Why This Setup?
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

2/7 universals met
  • Clear of earnings — not met in -5 days — event risk
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.7× average — light
  • A relative-strength leader — met RS rank 96
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $426.76 vs SMA150 $307.44 / SMA200 $281.58
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $307.44 vs SMA200 $281.58
SMA 200 trending up Slope +25.82 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $394.11
Price above SMA 50 $426.76 vs SMA50 $394.11
30%+ above 52-week low +166.9% from $159.90
Within 25% of 52-week high -7.5% from $461.52
RS score above 70 RS 97

Fundamentals

52W Range
88%
Mkt Cap SEC
122.9B
EPS QoQ
+10%
Rev YoY
-3%
ROE
18%
Gross Margin
6%
D/E
0.45
EPS TTM
$7.57
P/E TTM
56.4x
Float
288M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Valero Energy Corporation
VLO · NYSE · Energy Minerals · Oil Refining/Marketing
Track all markets on TradingView

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
100
W. Support
$227.25
W. Resist
$461.52
Weekly Structure

Scan History

Oct 23: 55 (Momentum Flag)Oct 23: 70 (Momentum Flag)Oct 26: 55 (Momentum Flag)Oct 27: 86 (Trend Only)86
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
86
Oct 26
Momentum Flag ✓ Gate
55 0.0%
Oct 23
Momentum Flag ✓ Gate
70 +1.8%
Oct 23
Momentum Flag ✓ Gate
55 +1.8%

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