Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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XLE

$64.93 -0.58% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Cup & Handle · Setup Score 92/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 92, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$XLE

etf Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$64.93 latest close
Join to Watchlist $XLE Share card
Verdict · setup score 92/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 92, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Price $64.93 -0.6% Sep 10 close
52W High $66.17 1.9% below high
Wks Since High 0w
RS Rank 80 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $59.89
Avg Vol 28,031,136
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 1.31×
More stats
52W Low $42.35
Tight Wks 1
Base B2
SMA 200 $55.13
RS Line vs High -13.2%
RS Line Slope +9.2% ▲
ADR% 1.6%
ATR(14) $1.20 (1.9%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 0.74
A/D Days 16A / 14D
A/D Rating B
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 23d
Position in 52-week range 95thpercentile of the 52-week range
$42.35low
$66.17high

XLE Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$XLE · $64.93 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
91
/ 100
Technicals 91/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$59.89 ↑
100-day$58.49 ↑
200-day$55.13 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading65.2 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.009

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width79% · 7.6%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.74 · Neutral
Rel volume1.31×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $66.1752-week high
Price · $64.93now
S · $61.31swing level
S · $57.11swing level
S · $55.99swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$62.97
38.2%$60.99
50.0%$59.39
61.8%$57.80
78.6%$55.52

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 84 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about XLE
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $64.93, MA150 $57.99, MA200 $55.13
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $57.99 vs MA200 $55.13
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
2. ROE ≥ 17%From SEPA scan
9/13 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 84
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high1.9% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade N/A
S: Volume ≥ 40% above average on breakoutVolume ratio 1.31x
3/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $64.93 vs MA200 $55.13
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.31x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: 5/6 structural checks pass; awaiting volume confirmation.

Passing evidence
Price$64.93
Relative strengthRS 84
Failing evidence
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
5/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: 5/6 structural checks pass; awaiting volume confirmation.

Passing evidence
Price$64.93
Relative strengthRS 84
Failing evidence
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
5/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: 5/6 structural checks pass; awaiting volume confirmation.

Passing evidence
Price$64.93
Relative strengthRS 84
Failing evidence
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
5/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
125RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +1 B
A: 16 D: 15 Net: +165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ —
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY —
✗ Gross margin ≥30% —
✗ ROE ≥17% —
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 84
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -1.9%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Cup & Handle Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 21% (n=53) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +1.9% per setup (+0.24R)
92 setup score
RS Score 84
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM — (N/A)
15.9% cup depth 7.3% handle
Why This Setup?
cup handle Cup & Handle · schematic

depth=15.9%, handle_pb=7.3%, lips_diff=2.7%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (84) | High-confidence pattern (100%) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 95/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A)

Ask a Legend ▾
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

2/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.3× average — light
  • A relative-strength leader — met RS rank 80
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $64.93 vs SMA150 $57.99 / SMA200 $55.13
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $57.99 vs SMA200 $55.13
SMA 200 trending up Slope +1.89 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $59.89
Price above SMA 50 $64.93 vs SMA50 $59.89
30%+ above 52-week low +53.3% from $42.35
Within 25% of 52-week high -1.9% from $66.17
RS score above 70 RS 84

Company

Company profile
XLE
XLE
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O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
N/A — CANSLIM
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
100
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
100
L · Leader RS
84
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
80
W. Support
$52.62
W. Resist
$65.52
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 91 (Cup & Handle)Sep 10: 91 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 90 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 92 (Cup & Handle)92
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
92
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
90
Sep 10
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
91 0.0%
Sep 09
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
91 -0.6%

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