Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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Simple research view

XOM · ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation

$165.23 +0.61% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Cup & Handle · Setup Score 79/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 79, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$XOM

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is a mega-cap Integrated Oil company in the Energy Minerals sector with a market cap of $679B.

Energy Minerals Integrated Oil stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$165.23 latest close
Verdict · setup score 79/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 79, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

XOM+0.61%
Sector proxy · XLE-0.58%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. XOM was +1.19 points vs XLE. +1.21 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.61% From the open-1.06% Range position49% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $165.23 +0.6% Sep 10 close
52W High $176.41 6.3% below high
Wks Since High 22w
Base Depth 23.5%
RS Rank 58 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $154.58
Avg Vol 14,238,255
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 1.17×
More stats
52W Low $110.39
Tight Wks 1
Base B1
SMA 200 $145.42
RS Line vs High -19.6%
RS Line Slope +6.9% ▲
Group Rank #22/58
ADR% 1.8%
ATR(14) $3.43 (2.1%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 1.11
A/D Days 15A / 18D
A/D Rating E
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 3d
Position in 52-week range 83rdpercentile of the 52-week range
$110.39low
$176.41high

XOM Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$XOM · $165.23 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
86
/ 100
Technicals 86/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$154.58 ↑
100-day$151.46 ↑
200-day$145.42 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading60.4 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.171

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width77% · 7.6%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.11 · Neutral
Rel volume1.17×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $168.64swing level
R · $176.4152-week high
Price · $165.23now
S · $155.32swing level
S · $148.38swing level
S · $144.73swing level

Fibonacci · Downtrend swing

23.6%$144.73
38.2%$150.79
50.0%$155.68
61.8%$160.57
78.6% ◄ price here$167.54

Retracement resistance zones measured from the recent swing high down to the low.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about XOM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 8/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $165.23, MA150 $152.54, MA200 $145.42
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $152.54 vs MA200 $145.42
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 66
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
8/13 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high6.3% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.08%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade N/A
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 66
2/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $165.23 vs MA200 $145.42
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.17x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$165.23
Distance from 52-week high6.3% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 66
Volume vs average1.17x
3/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$165.23
Distance from 52-week high6.3% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 66
Volume vs average1.17x
3/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$165.23
Distance from 52-week high6.3% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 66
Volume vs average1.17x
3/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
126RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +1 E
A: 17 D: 16 Net: +165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
Gross margin ≥30%
ROE ≥17%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 66
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -6.3%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Cup & Handle Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 21% (n=53) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +1.9% per setup (+0.24R)
79 setup score
RS Score 66
Trend template 7/8
CANSLIM (N/A)
19.9% cup depth 5.2% handle
Why This Setup?
cup handle Cup & Handle · schematic

depth=19.9%, handle_pb=5.2%, lips_diff=0.1%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (7/8) | Good RS (66) | High-confidence pattern (100%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 77/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A)

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 58 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.2× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $165.23 vs SMA150 $152.54 / SMA200 $145.42
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $152.54 vs SMA200 $145.42
SMA 200 trending up Slope +4.54 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $154.58
Price above SMA 50 $165.23 vs SMA50 $154.58
30%+ above 52-week low +49.7% from $110.39
Within 25% of 52-week high -6.3% from $176.41
RS score above 70 RS 66

Fundamentals

52W Range
83%
Mkt Cap SEC
679.4B
Float
4.1B

Company

Company profile
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
XOM · NYSE · Energy Minerals · Integrated Oil
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
N/A — CANSLIM
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
100
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
100
L · Leader RS
66
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
73
W. Support
$134.95
W. Resist
$176.41
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 10: 74 (Trend Only)Sep 10: 75 (Trend Only)Sep 10: 78 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 77 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 78 (Cup & Handle)Sep 11: 79 (Cup & Handle)79
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
79
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
78
Sep 11
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
77
Sep 10
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
78 0.0%
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
75 0.0%
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
74 0.0%

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