Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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ADP · Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

$301.12 -1.00% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Pocket Pivot · Setup Score 94/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 94, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$ADP

Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. is a large-cap Packaged Software company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $120B.

Technology Services Packaged Software stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$301.12 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: downtrend
Latest event: bos (bearish)
Support 204.56–206.54 · 5 touches · strong
Support 254.19–256.83 · 5 touches · strong
Support 260.00–261.31 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 215.60–216.55 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 264.86–266.46 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 94/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 94, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$260$280$300AugSepOct$301

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — +6.7% YoY
  • Minervini 4. Breakout volume ≥ 40% above average
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • O'Neil S: Volume ≥ 40% above average on breakout
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 1.22x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 11/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: watch CANSLIM read: 5/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
70 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (70/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 81
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 70
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 39

RS rank 80: beating most of the market. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 70: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 39: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 43, leverage 60). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Tuesday, October 27, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

ADP-1.00%
Sector proxy · XLK+1.69%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. ADP was -2.69 points vs XLK. -1.71 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionNegative Sector reactionSupportive Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-1.00% From the open-1.09% Range position31% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%) SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -2 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $301.12 -1.0% Oct 26 close
52W High $309.40 2.7% below high
Wks Since High 0w
Base Depth 3.4%
RS Rank 57 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $275.92
Avg Vol 2,097,635
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 1.22× 1.77× on up days
More stats
52W Low $188.16
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $239.80
RS Line vs High -5.2%
RS Line Slope +14.8% ▲
Group Rank #12/66
ADR% 2.0%
ATR(14) $6.25 (2.1%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 18A / 15D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 6d
Earnings TODAY
Position in 52-week range 93rdpercentile of the 52-week range
$188.16low
$309.40high

ADP Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$ADP · $301.12 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
100
/ 100
Technicals 100/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$275.92 ↑
100-day$260.52 ↑
200-day$239.80 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading70.1 · Overbought

Overbought — buyers extended; watch for a pause or pullback.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+3.372

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width85% · 23.4%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.77 · Accumulation
Rel volume1.22×
Pocket pivots · 10d4
5d vs 50d vol120%
Heavy vol up / down1 / 0

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 2 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
  • 1 heavy-volume up day vs 0 down in the last 20 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $309.4052-week high
Price · $301.12now
S · $265.34swing level
S · $255.96swing level
S · $240.40swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$284.66
38.2%$269.35
50.0%$256.98
61.8%$244.61
78.6%$227.00

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRSI overbought
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about ADP
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (94/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 8 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 11/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialEnter on break of $301.12 pivot with stop at $278.70 (risk 7.5%). SEPA Grade A (6/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $301.12, MA150 $243.29, MA200 $239.80
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $243.29 vs MA200 $239.80
Failing evidence
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+6.7% YoY
4. Breakout volume ≥ 40% above averageNot confirmed
11/13 checks
O'Neil Watch C CANSLIM read: 5/8 pass; improvement is still needed.

mediumPocket Pivot still forming in a top industry group — ideal buy point at $301.12 on big volume. CANSLIM 84.

Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+29.0% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 80
Failing evidence
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
S: Volume ≥ 40% above average on breakoutNot confirmed
5/8 checks
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $301.12 vs MA200 $239.80
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.22x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
dennis Watch B Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $255.96
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $6.24 (2.07% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
6/8 checks
zanger Avoid C Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $346.29-$361.34; trail the rest
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyPocket Pivot is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
4/6 checks
zweig Watch B Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+29.0% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 27.5x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Monetary conditions: don't fight the FedFed series stored but too thin to read direction
5/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$301.12
Relative strengthRS 80
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.22x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumStock is at the top of its box — Darvas would wait for a decisive breakout on volume.

Passing evidence
Price$301.12
Relative strengthRS 80
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.22x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$301.12
Relative strengthRS 80
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.22x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
96RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +5 A
A: 17 D: 12 Net: +565 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 6/7 met
A 6/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✓ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +29%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +7%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 46%
✓ ROE ≥17% 69%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 80
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -2.7%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Dennis EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Dennis B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the 20-day channel high (System 1) or 55-day channel high (System 2) as the breakout trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Buy the breakout print mechanically — no prediction, no hesitation, no chasing below the channel high.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the stop at 2N (N = 20-day ATR) below entry, set before the trade and never moved except up on winners.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Add at 0.5N intervals up to 4 units; trail the stop beneath each new add level, never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit System 1 at the 10-day low and System 2 at the 20-day low — the exit is part of the system, not a decision.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

94 setup score
RS Score 80
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 83.9* (B)
volume ratio: 2.4 near moving avg: ✓ upper close: ✓ shooting star: ✗ price past buy range: ✗ vol beats down: ✓ bars since signal: 2 signal close: 307.94 validation reason: valid pocket-pivot multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 8/8 confirmed + no fresh 13-week low
Why This Setup?
Pocket Pivot · schematic

Up vol 3,271,037 vs max down vol 1,362,932 (near MA), upper_close=yes, bars_ago=2 | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (80) | High-confidence pattern (80%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 66/100 (watch) | CANSLIM 83.9 (B)

Wyckoff SOS ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Extended past buy zone ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 80
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 81.1* (B)
range low: 215.483 range high: 274.773 range pct: 0.275 sos thrust: 0.121 sos vol ratio: 1.237 sos bars ago: 2 near lps: ✗ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup?
Wyckoff SOS · schematic

SOS: breakout above range_high=274.77, thrust=12.1%, vol=1.2x avg, lps=extended, 2 bars ago | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (80) | Moderate pattern (63%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 52/100 (early) | CANSLIM 81.1 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Extended past buy zone; Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

3/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 57 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 0 days — event risk
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.2× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $301.12 vs SMA150 $243.29 / SMA200 $239.80
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $243.29 vs SMA200 $239.80
SMA 200 trending up Slope +1.76 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $275.92
Price above SMA 50 $301.12 vs SMA50 $275.92
30%+ above 52-week low +60.0% from $188.16
Within 25% of 52-week high -2.7% from $309.40
RS score above 70 RS 80

Fundamentals

52W Range
93%
Mkt Cap SEC
119.6B
EPS QoQ
+29%
Rev YoY
+7%
ROE
69%
Gross Margin
46%
D/E
1.41
EPS TTM
$10.94
P/E TTM
27.5x
Float
397M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
ADP · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Packaged Software
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 83.9* CANSLIM * disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
98
A · Annual EPS
100
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
100
L · Leader RS
80
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
81
W. Support
$195.70
W. Resist
$309.40
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 94 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 26: 94 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 26: 95 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 27: 92 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 27: 94 (Pocket Pivot)94
Oct 27
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
94
Oct 27
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
92
Oct 26
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
95 0.0%
Oct 26
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
94 0.0%
Oct 23
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
94 -1.0%

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