Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 74, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
ARM · Arm Holdings plc
$254.18 -3.80% Sep 10 close
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$ARM
Arm Holdings plcArm Holdings plc is a mega-cap Semiconductors company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $278B.
Historical verdict · setup score 74/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 74, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Earnings
Normal technical setup
No sourced report date
Event risk is not modelled for this symbol
Deterministic evidence
ARM-3.80%
Semiconductor proxy · SMH-2.44%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Session internals Mixed
Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close-3.80%
From the open+0.36%
Range position44%
GapFaded
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%)
SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$100.02
Tight Wks
0
Base
B1
SMA 200
$203.64
RS Line vs High
-42.0%
RS Line Slope
-2.2% ▼
Group Rank
#17/58
ADR%
4.8%
ATR(14)
$12.93 (5.1%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
U/D Vol
1.12
A/D Days
15A / 21D
A/D Rating
E
VDU Bars
0/10 d
ARM Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$ARM · $254.18 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
59
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly
▼ Weak / rolling over
Monthly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Moving Averages
50-day$268.53 ↓
100-day$280.60 ↓
200-day$203.64 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading48.6 · Neutral
Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateImproving
Histogram+3.102
Improving — MACD crossed above its signal line but still below zero. Histogram contracting.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width54% · 21.3%
Squeeze — volatility compressing
Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol1.12 · Neutral
Rel volume0.74×
Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.
Support & Resistance
R · $267.69swing level
R · $299.29swing level
R · $427.99swing level
Price · $254.18now
S · $243.12swing level
S · $233.29swing level
S · $219.39swing level
Fibonacci · Uptrend swing
23.6%$376.88
38.2%$329.97
50.0%$292.06
61.8% ◄ price here$254.15
78.6%$200.17
Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.
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Weekly downtrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 89 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice?
Ask a Legend about ARM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
Council consensus:
4 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Avoid
Minervini C
Trend-template read: fails Price > 50-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $261.53, MA150 $229.72, MA200 $202.40
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $229.72 vs MA200 $202.40
Failing evidence
1.5 Price > 50-day MAPrice $261.53 vs MA50 $272.12
1.7 Price within 25% of 52-week high42.2% below 52-week high
Avoid
O'Neil D
CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 89
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade N/A
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +22.8%
Watch
Weinstein C
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $261.53 vs MA200 $202.40
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.98x
Not extended from 52-week high (≤ 30% below)42.2% below 52-week high
Watch
Livermore B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$261.53
Relative strengthRS 89
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.98x
Distance from 52-week high42.2% below high
Watch
Darvas B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$261.53
Relative strengthRS 89
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.98x
Distance from 52-week high42.2% below high
Watch
Wyckoff B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$261.53
Relative strengthRS 89
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.98x
Distance from 52-week high42.2% below high
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▼ Falling
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net +2
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C
3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (6/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
—
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+23%
Gross margin ≥30%
—
ROE ≥17%
—
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
89
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-43.9%
Method Playbook
Trade it like O'Neil
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
O'Neil D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)
Inverse Head & Shoulders
bullish
forming
80%
built
Possible inverse head & shoulders — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close above ~308.65 (neckline) to confirm, with a measured move toward ~397.91. A drop under the right shoulder near 233.29 weakens the structure; a close below the head near 219.39 invalidates it.
Confirms above
308.65
Invalidates at
219.39
Left Shoulder
243.12
Head
219.39
Right Shoulder
233.29
Neckline
308.65
Target
397.91
LS 243.12 / head 219.39 / RS 233.29, neckline ~308.65, 17.6% below confirmation
Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.
Pattern Analysis (historical)
Pocket Pivot
Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 27% (n=139) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +3.0% per setup (+0.37R)
74
setup score
RS Score
89
Trend template
6/8
CANSLIM
— (N/A)
volume ratio: 1.06
near moving avg: ✓
upper close: ✓
shooting star: ✗
price past buy range: ✗
vol beats down: ✓
bars since signal: 1
signal close: 252.09
validation reason: valid pocket-pivot
multi tf evaluated: ✓
multi tf reason: weekly trend template 6/8 confirmed + no fresh 13-week low
Why This Setup?
Pocket Pivot · schematic
Up vol 4,132,412 vs max down vol 3,898,502 (near MA), upper_close=yes, bars_ago=1 | Moderate trend (6/8) | Top RS (89) | Moderate pattern (65%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 69/100 (watch) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A)
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
2/7
universals met
- Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
- Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
- Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
- Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
- Volume confirms — partly met 0.7× average — light
- A relative-strength leader — met RS rank 87
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 6/8
Minervini Trend Template
6/8Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$254.18 vs SMA150 $231.78 / SMA200 $203.64
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $231.78 vs SMA200 $203.64
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +9.65 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $268.53
Price above SMA 50
$254.18 vs SMA50 $268.53
30%+ above 52-week low
+154.1% from $100.02
Within 25% of 52-week high
-43.9% from $452.70
RS score above 70
RS 89
Fundamentals
52W Range
44%
Mkt Cap SEC
278.3B
Rev YoY
+23%
EPS TTM
$0.85
P/E TTM
299.0x
Float
1.1B
Company
Company profile
Arm Holdings plc
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
N/A
— CANSLIM
C · Curr. EPS
40
A · Annual EPS
82
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
45
L · Leader RS
89
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
6/8
W. RS
98
W. Support
$111.26
W. Resist
$452.70
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
0
Confirmation
Neutral
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