Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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ARM · Arm Holdings plc

$223.35 +6.19% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 78/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 78, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$ARM

Arm Holdings plc

Arm Holdings plc is a mega-cap Semiconductors company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $238B.

Electronic Technology Semiconductors stock Stage 1 · Basing Base 1
$223.35 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: bos (bullish)
Historical record

No active setup in the latest scan — this page shows the last detection Legend AI made for $ARM. Every level, score and criterion below is computed from the Oct 26 close session (latest session), and may no longer hold.

Historical verdict · setup score 78/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 78, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$250$300AugSepOct$223

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA — Price $223.35, MA150 $262.50, MA200 $226.62
  • Minervini 1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA — MA50 $261.28, MA150 $262.50, MA200 $226.62
  • O'Neil A: Annual earnings & revenue quality — Rev +22.8% | ROE 11.9%
  • O'Neil N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high — 50.7% below high | RS line new high: False
  • Weinstein Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy) — Price $223.35 vs MA200 $226.62
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.96x
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: watch CANSLIM read: 2/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.
69 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (69/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 95
  • Trend Template (25%) 88
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 61
  • EPS Growth (15%) 31
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 44

RS rank 94: top 6% of all stocks — true leadership. Trend template 7/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 61: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 44: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 40, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-09.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Wednesday, November 4, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

ARM+6.19%
Semiconductor proxy · SMH+2.74%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. ARM was +3.45 points vs SMH. +5.48 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionSupportive Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+6.19% From the open+5.56% Range position84% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $223.35 +6.2% Oct 26 close
52W High $452.70 39.2% below high
Wks Since High 15w 17w today
Base Depth 48.8% 54.0% today
RS Rank 88 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $261.28
Avg Vol 4,906,677
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.96× 0.65× on up days
More stats
52W Low $100.02
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $226.62
RS Line vs High -39.6%
RS Line Slope +2.7% ▲
Group Rank #10/66
ADR% 4.8%
ATR(14) $14.77 (6.6%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 13A / 13D
A/D Rating C
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings in 8d
Position in 52-week range 35thpercentile of the 52-week range
$100.02low
$452.70high

ARM Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$ARM · $223.35 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
10
/ 100
Technicals 10/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▼ Downtrend
Weekly ▼ Downtrend
Monthly ▼ Downtrend

Moving Averages

50-day$261.28 ↓
100-day$286.29 ↓
200-day$226.62 ↓
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading38.2 · Bearish

Bearish momentum — sellers in control.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBearish
Histogram-5.591

Bearish — MACD below its signal line and below zero. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width24% · 52.8%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.65 · Distribution
Rel volume0.96×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol89%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 9 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $238.59swing level
R · $267.69swing level
R · $274.80swing level
Price · $223.35now
S · $219.39swing level
S · $200.89swing level
S · $100.0252-week low

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$393.27
38.2%$356.51
50.0%$326.79
61.8%$297.08
78.6%$254.78

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily downtrendWeekly downtrendMonthly downtrendBelow 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume distribution
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about ARM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (78/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid D Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.

partialRule check says AVOID (5/10 checks passed) — Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $262.50 vs MA200 $226.62
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 94
Failing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $223.35, MA150 $262.50, MA200 $226.62
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $261.28, MA150 $262.50, MA200 $226.62
5/10 checks
O'Neil Watch D CANSLIM read: 2/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+39.5% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 94
Failing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +22.8% | ROE 11.9%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high50.7% below high | RS line new high: False
2/8 checks
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
30-week MA trending upwardFrom weekly scan context
Failing evidence
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $223.35 vs MA200 $226.62
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.96x
5/8 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $208.30
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $16.29 (7.29% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $256.85-$268.02; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $228.55 · 20-day MA $258.26 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyTrend Only is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+39.5% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 94 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 262.8x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
4/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$223.35
Relative strengthRS 94
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.96x
Distance from 52-week high50.7% below high
3/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$223.35
Relative strengthRS 94
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.96x
Distance from 52-week high50.7% below high
3/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$223.35
Relative strengthRS 94
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.96x
Distance from 52-week high50.7% below high
3/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
112RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 C
A: 17 D: 14 Net: +365 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (4/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✓ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +40%
✓ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +23%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 98%
✗ ROE ≥17% 12%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 94
✗ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 1
✗ Within 25% of 52W high -50.7%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis (historical)

78 setup score
RS Score 94
Trend template 4/8
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met in 8 days — size down
  • In a confirmed uptrend — partly met Stage 1 · Trend template 4/8 — not yet Stage 2
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.2× average — light
  • A relative-strength leader — met RS rank 88
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

4/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $223.35 vs SMA150 $262.50 / SMA200 $226.62
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $262.50 vs SMA200 $226.62
SMA 200 trending up Slope +14.08 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $261.28
Price above SMA 50 $223.35 vs SMA50 $261.28
30%+ above 52-week low +123.3% from $100.02
Within 25% of 52-week high -50.7% from $452.70
RS score above 70 RS 94

Fundamentals

52W Range
35%
Mkt Cap SEC
237.7B
EPS QoQ
+40%
Rev YoY
+23%
ROE
12%
Gross Margin
98%
D/E
0.00
EPS TTM
$0.85
P/E TTM
262.8x
Float
1.1B
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Arm Holdings plc
ARM · NASDAQ · Electronic Technology · Semiconductors

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
7/8
W. RS
98
W. Support
$137.58
W. Resist
$452.70
Weekly Structure

Scan History

Oct 07: 82 (Trend Only)Oct 07: 83 (Trend Only)Oct 08: 82 (Trend Only)Oct 08: 83 (Trend Only)Oct 08: 83 (Trend Only)Oct 09: 78 (Trend Only)78
Oct 09
Trend Only ✓ Gate
78
Oct 08
Trend Only ✓ Gate
83 -18.9%
Oct 08
Trend Only ✓ Gate
83 -18.9%
Oct 08
Trend Only ✓ Gate
82 -18.9%
Oct 07
Trend Only ✓ Gate
83 -24.1%
Oct 07
Trend Only ✓ Gate
82 -24.1%

Latest News

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