Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 61, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
DLTR · Dollar Tree, Inc.
$118.66 +0.23% Sep 10 close
1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.Dollar Tree, Inc. is a large-cap Discount Stores company in the Retail Trade sector with a market cap of $22B.
⚠ Risk Signals
Head & Shoulders Top
Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~118.58 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~100.09. A push back above 134.99 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 137.07 invalidates it.
Bearish structure on the daily chart — a heads-up for anyone holding, not a short signal. Does not affect the bullish setup score.
Historical verdict · setup score 61/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 61, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Earnings
Normal technical setup
No sourced report date
Event risk is not modelled for this symbol
Deterministic evidence
DLTR+0.23%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Session internals Mixed
Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close+0.23%
From the open+0.29%
Range position34%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%)
SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.
- QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$84.71
Tight Wks
0
Base
B1
SMA 200
$117.42
RS Line vs High
-19.5%
RS Line Slope
+1.9% ▲
ADR%
3.6%
ATR(14)
$5.40 (4.5%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
U/D Vol
0.83
A/D Days
16A / 14D
A/D Rating
B
VDU Bars
0/10 d
DLTR Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$DLTR · $118.66 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
46
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Moving Averages
50-day$127.18 ↓
100-day$115.52 ↑
200-day$117.42 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading36.1 · Bearish
Bearish momentum — sellers in control.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateBearish
Histogram-1.643
Bearish — MACD below its signal line and below zero. Histogram contracting.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width-7% · 14.2%
Piercing the lower band — capitulation or strong selling.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol0.83 · Neutral
Rel volume0.99×
Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.
Support & Resistance
R · $132.68swing level
R · $134.99swing level
R · $137.07swing level
Price · $118.66now
S · $117.46swing level
S · $107.54swing level
S · $105.22swing level
Fibonacci · Uptrend swing
23.6%$124.99
38.2% ◄ price here$117.52
50.0%$111.47
61.8%$105.43
78.6%$96.83
Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.
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Above 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice?
Ask a Legend about DLTR
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
Council consensus:
4 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Avoid
Minervini D
Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $131.42, MA150 $115.27, MA200 $117.11
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $127.31, MA150 $115.27, MA200 $117.11
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $115.27 vs MA200 $117.11
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 48
Avoid
O'Neil D
CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high7.7% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 4.00%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 48
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
Watch
Weinstein C
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $131.42 vs MA200 $117.11
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.45x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 48
Watch
Livermore B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$131.42
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 48
Volume vs average0.45x
Watch
Darvas B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$131.42
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 48
Volume vs average0.45x
Watch
Wyckoff B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$131.42
Distance from 52-week high7.7% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 48
Volume vs average0.45x
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▲ Rising
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net -2
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C
2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (5/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
—
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+10%
Gross margin ≥30%
—
ROE ≥17%
—
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
48
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-16.7%
Method Playbook
Trade it like Minervini
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the tight base's structural pivot; the setup must retain Trend Template leadership into the trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Require a decisive move through the pivot with volume confirmation, and do not initiate more than 5% above it.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Start at the tighter structural invalidation; the initial loss limit must not exceed roughly 7–8% from entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Hold the initial stop until the trade proves itself; near +1R move to breakeven, then trail a higher low or rising 10/21-day average once well extended.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit when the structural stop or a meaningful higher-low/short-term trend violation fires; never widen the stop.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)
Head & Shoulders
bearish
near confirmation
90%
built
Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~118.58 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~100.09. A push back above 134.99 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 137.07 invalidates it.
Confirms below
118.58
Invalidates at
137.07
Left Shoulder
133.26
Head
137.07
Right Shoulder
134.99
Neckline
118.58
Target
100.09
LS 133.26 / head 137.07 / RS 134.99, neckline ~118.58, vol_fading=no
Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.
Pattern Analysis (historical)
61
setup score
RS Score
48
Trend template
5/8
Why This Setup?
D+W Confluence
Trend Only · schematic
Gatekeeper 6/8 | Moderate trend (6/8) | Volume drying up (bullish) | Stage 2
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
1/7
universals met
- A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 39 — laggard
- Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
- Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
- Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
- Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
- Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 5/8
Minervini Trend Template
5/8Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$118.66 vs SMA150 $115.28 / SMA200 $117.42
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $115.28 vs SMA200 $117.42
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +2.67 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $127.18
Price above SMA 50
$118.66 vs SMA50 $127.18
30%+ above 52-week low
+40.1% from $84.71
Within 25% of 52-week high
-16.7% from $142.40
RS score above 70
RS 48
Fundamentals
52W Range
59%
Mkt Cap SEC
22.2B
Rev YoY
+10%
EPS TTM
$6.22
P/E TTM
19.1x
Float
188M
Company
Company profile
Dollar Tree, Inc.
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
7/8
W. RS
71
W. Support
$85.88
W. Resist
$137.07
W. Patterns
Cup & Handle
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
0
Confirmation
Neutral
Scan History
Sep 08
Trend Only
✓ Gate
61
Sep 08
Trend Only
✓ Gate
57
-4.3%
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