Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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DLTR · Dollar Tree, Inc.

$124.92 -0.31% Oct 26 close
Detected setup watchlist_candidate · Setup Score 0/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$DLTR

Dollar Tree, Inc.

Dollar Tree, Inc. is a large-cap Discount Stores company in the Retail Trade sector with a market cap of $23B.

Retail Trade Discount Stores stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$124.92 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: bos (bearish)
Support 116.81–117.41 · 6 touches · strong
Support 98.22–98.66 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 107.44–107.54 · 3 touches · moderate
Resistance 125.79–126.62 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 111.12–111.47 · 3 touches · moderate
Join to Watchlist $DLTR Share card
Verdict · setup score 0/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Recent price action · daily
$120$130AugSepOct$125

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MA — MA150 $114.76 vs MA200 $116.86
  • Minervini 1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85) — RS rank 61
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — -32.0% QoQ
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 61
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.64x
  • Weinstein 30-week MA trending upward
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
54 Neutral
Legend Score · rates the stock Neutral (54/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 61
  • Trend Template (25%) 62
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 61
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 45

RS rank 61: above-average strength. Trend template 5/8: mixed — some uptrend elements, some missing. Institutional score 61: mild accumulation. EPS -0% last quarter — no earnings momentum. Quality 45: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Tuesday, December 1, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

DLTR-0.31%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. -1.02 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-0.31% From the open-0.65% Range position48% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%) SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $124.92 -0.3% Oct 26 close
52W High $142.40 12.3% below high
Wks Since High 39w
Base Depth 38.5% 39.7% today
RS Rank 22 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $121.86
Avg Vol 2,471,096
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.64× 0.64× on up days
More stats
52W Low $85.88
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $116.86
RS Line vs High -20.0%
RS Line Slope +10.1% ▲
Group Rank #44/66
ADR% 3.2%
ATR(14) $4.15 (3.3%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 10A / 12D
A/D Rating D
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings in 35d
Position in 52-week range 69thpercentile of the 52-week range
$85.88low
$142.40high

DLTR Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$DLTR · $124.92 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
71
/ 100
Technicals 71/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Recovering / early uptrend
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▬ Sideways / consolidating

Moving Averages

50-day$121.86 ↑
100-day$121.79 ↑
200-day$116.86 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading56.6 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+1.079

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width74% · 17.9%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.64 · Distribution
Rel volume0.64×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol76%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 8 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $132.68swing level
R · $134.99swing level
R · $137.07swing level
Price · $124.92now
S · $117.46swing level
S · $111.18swing level
S · $107.54swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6% ◄ price here$124.99
38.2%$117.52
50.0%$111.47
61.8%$105.43
78.6%$96.83

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume distribution
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about DLTR
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (0/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 6 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid C Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $124.92, MA150 $114.76, MA200 $116.86
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $121.86, MA150 $114.76, MA200 $116.86
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $114.76 vs MA200 $116.86
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 61
6/10 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +10.4% | ROE 35.9%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high12.3% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-32.0% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 61
3/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumStage 2 uptrend in progress — hold as long as price stays above the 30-week moving average.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $124.92 vs MA200 $116.86
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.64x
30-week MA trending upwardData unavailable
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $111.12
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $4.23 (3.39% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $143.66-$149.90; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $124.15 · 20-day MA $119.80 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlywatchlist_candidate is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying; Price strength (RS ≥ 70) — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 20.1x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (1995 adv / 1699 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)-32.0% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
3/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$124.92
Distance from 52-week high12.3% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 61
Volume vs average0.64x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

partialConsolidating within the box (12.3% from 52W high) — patience until it approaches the prior high.

Passing evidence
Price$124.92
Distance from 52-week high12.3% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 61
Volume vs average0.64x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$124.92
Distance from 52-week high12.3% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 61
Volume vs average0.64x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
109RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +0 D
A: 16 D: 16 Net: +065 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (5/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -32%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +10%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 37%
✓ ROE ≥17% 36%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 61
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -12.3%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Weinstein EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Weinstein C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use Stage 1 resistance and the rising 30-week moving average as the Stage 2 transition boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a Stage 2 breakout above resistance on expanding volume; avoid entries while the 30-week average is flat or falling.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the breakout structure or Stage 1 support where a return to the base invalidates the Stage 2 transition.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Trail beneath rising 30-week support or later higher swing lows while Stage 2 remains intact.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a decisive 30-week support failure or a Stage 3/Stage 4 transition; never treat a failed Stage 2 break as healthy consolidation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish near confirmation
90% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~120.24 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~103.41. A push back above 134.99 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 137.07 invalidates it.

Confirms below 120.24
Invalidates at 137.07
Left Shoulder 133.26
Head 137.07
Right Shoulder 134.99
Neckline 120.24
Target 103.41

LS 133.26 / head 137.07 / RS 134.99, neckline ~120.24, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

watchlist_candidate
0 setup score
RS Score 61
Trend template 5/8
Why This Setup?
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

2/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 22 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.6× average — light
  • Clear of earnings — met in 35 days
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 5/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

5/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $124.92 vs SMA150 $114.76 / SMA200 $116.86
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $114.76 vs SMA200 $116.86
SMA 200 trending up Slope -0.73 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $121.86
Price above SMA 50 $124.92 vs SMA50 $121.86
30%+ above 52-week low +45.5% from $85.88
Within 25% of 52-week high -12.3% from $142.40
RS score above 70 RS 61

Fundamentals

52W Range
69%
Mkt Cap SEC
23.4B
EPS QoQ
-32%
Rev YoY
+10%
ROE
36%
Gross Margin
37%
D/E
0.65
EPS TTM
$6.22
P/E TTM
20.1x
Float
188M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Dollar Tree, Inc.
DLTR · NASDAQ · Retail Trade · Discount Stores
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Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 55 (Cup & Handle)Oct 26: 45 (Falling Wedge)Oct 26: 46 (Falling Wedge)Oct 27: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0
Oct 27
watchlist_candidate
0
Oct 26
Falling Wedge
46 0.0%
Oct 26
Falling Wedge
45 0.0%
Oct 23
Cup & Handle
55 -0.3%

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