Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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EL · Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (The)

$108.82 +0.14% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Cup & Handle · Setup Score 73/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 73, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Ask about EL

Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$EL

Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (The)

Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (The) is a Household/Personal Care company in the Consumer Non-Durables sector.

Consumer Non-Durables Household/Personal Care stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 4+
$108.82 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift (bullish)
Support 84.61–85.19 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 78.66–78.88 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 83.85–84.11 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 73/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 73, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$90.00$100$110AugSepOct$109

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MA — MA150 $87.10 vs MA200 $91.68
  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — From SEPA scan
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — CANSLIM grade N/A
  • O'Neil A: Annual earnings & revenue quality — Rev +5.1%
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 1.05x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
65 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (65/100) — held back by quality (smr-like)

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 81
  • Trend Template (25%) 75
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 72
  • EPS Growth (15%) 50
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 30

RS rank 80: beating most of the market. Trend template 6/8: passes the uptrend screen, structure intact. Institutional score 72: mild accumulation. No recent earnings growth data — scored neutral. Quality 30: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Monday, November 2, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

EL+0.14%
Sector proxy · XLP-0.34%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. EL was +0.48 points vs XLP. -0.57 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionWeak Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.14% From the open+0.76% Range position74% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $108.82 +0.1% Oct 26 close
52W High $121.64 10.5% below high
Wks Since High 36w
Base Depth 45.6%
RS Rank 56 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $98.91
Avg Vol 3,380,672
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 1.05× 1.80× on up days
More stats
52W Low $66.22
Tight Wks 0
Base B4
SMA 200 $91.68
RS Line vs High -18.4%
RS Line Slope +15.1% ▲
Group Rank #34/66
ADR% 3.2%
ATR(14) $3.61 (3.3%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 12A / 7D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 12d
Earnings in 6d
Position in 52-week range 77thpercentile of the 52-week range
$66.22low
$121.64high

EL Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$EL · $108.82 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
100
/ 100
Technicals 100/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$98.91 ↑
100-day$91.52 ↑
200-day$91.68 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading66.9 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.986

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width85% · 25.5%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.8 · Accumulation
Rel volume1.05×
Pocket pivots · 10d2
5d vs 50d vol96%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot today — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $121.6452-week high
Price · $108.82now
S · $93.00swing level
S · $88.68swing level
S · $83.85swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$101.30
38.2%$96.33
50.0%$92.31
61.8%$88.28
78.6%$82.56

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about EL
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (73/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Avoid C Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

partialRule check says AVOID (8/13 checks passed) — Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $108.82, MA150 $87.10, MA200 $91.68
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $98.91, MA150 $87.10, MA200 $91.68
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $87.10 vs MA200 $91.68
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
8/13 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 80
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high10.5% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade N/A
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +5.1%
3/8 checks
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $108.82 vs MA200 $91.68
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.05x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $88.68
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $3.39 (3.12% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/8 checks
zanger Watch B Zanger read: the structure is fine but the breakout quality is not there yet — wait for 150%+ volume on the break.

mediumZanger would buy the Cup & Handle breakout only with 150-200% volume, never more than 5% above the breakout point, with a 2-3% stop set at entry. His edge over O'Neil is the exit plan: sell 20-30% of the position at +15-20%, then trail the rest on the 10/20-day moving average.

Passing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyCup & Handle
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Failing evidence
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
5/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 80 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.18 (2050 adv / 1742 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 217.6x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
3/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$108.82
Relative strengthRS 80
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.05x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

partialConsolidating within the box (10.5% from 52W high) — patience until it approaches the prior high.

Passing evidence
Price$108.82
Relative strengthRS 80
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.05x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$108.82
Relative strengthRS 80
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.05x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volume1.05x average volume — needs ≥1.4x
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
97RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +10 A+
A: 22 D: 12 Net: +1065 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (6/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ —
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +5%
✗ Gross margin ≥30% —
✗ ROE ≥17% —
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 80
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -10.5%

Method Playbook

Trade it like O'Neil EXACT LEVELS · PRO
O'Neil D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Cup & Handle Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 16% (n=376) · source bars 2024-11-01–2026-10-26 · avg +0.3% per setup (+0.03R) ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Late-stage base (#4)
73 setup score
RS Score 80
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM — (N/A)
14.7% cup depth 3.9% handle 1 session since breakout
  • Cup 14.7% deep from a $107.48 left rim to a $91.64 low
  • Rims 1.1% apart (ideal, within 10%)
  • Handle pulled back 3.9% over 2 bars from $106.59 to $102.38
  • Handle sits in the upper half of the cup
  • Rounded U-shaped bottom
  • Pivot $108.71 fixed at the handle high
  • Breakout: 1 bar since the first close above the pivot
  • Volume dried up in the handle
Raw detector evidence · confidence is a heuristic match score, not a probability depth=14.7%, handle_pb=3.9%, lips_diff=1.1%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Moderate trend (6/8) | Top RS (80) | High-confidence pattern (95%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 73/100 (watch) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Late-stage base (#4) setup_key=cup_handle|2026-09-28|2026-10-16|108.71 · cup_handle/2026-10-03 anchors={"bottom": {"bar": 34, "bars_ago": 20, "date": "2026-09-28", "price": 91.64}, "breakout": {"bar": 54, "bars_ago": 0, "date": "2026-10-26", "price": 108.82}, "handle_high": {"bar": 50, "bars_ago": 4, "date": "2026-10-20", "price": 106.59}, "handle_low": {"bar": 52, "bars_ago": 2, "date": "2026-10-22", "price": 102.38}, "left_lip": {"bar": 14, "bars_ago": 40, "date": "2026-08-28", "price": 107.4775}, "right_lip": {"bar": 48, "bars_ago": 6, "date": "2026-10-16", "price": 108.71}}
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
cup handle Cup & Handle · schematic

depth=14.7%, handle_pb=3.9%, lips_diff=1.1%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Moderate trend (6/8) | Top RS (80) | High-confidence pattern (95%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 73/100 (watch) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Late-stage base (#4)

Base Breakout ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Late-stage base (#4)
72 setup score
RS Score 80
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM — (N/A)
resistance: 108.71 depth: 0.1843 breakout volume ratio: 1.228 sessions since breakout: 0 fresh breakout: ✓ price past buy range: ✗ validation reason: valid breakout multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 6/8 confirmed + no fresh 13-week low
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Base Breakout · schematic

Broke above 108.71, bars_since=0, extended=no | Moderate trend (6/8) | Top RS (80) | High-confidence pattern (80%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 69/100 (watch) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Late-stage base (#4)

Pocket Pivot ⚠ Late-stage base (#4) ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 80
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM — (N/A)
volume ratio: 1.24 near moving avg: ✓ upper close: ✓ shooting star: ✗ price past buy range: ✗ vol beats down: ✓ bars since signal: 0 signal close: 108.82 validation reason: valid pocket-pivot multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 6/8 confirmed + no fresh 13-week low
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Pocket Pivot · schematic

Up vol 3,534,292 vs max down vol 2,850,235 (near MA), upper_close=yes, bars_ago=0 | Moderate trend (6/8) | Top RS (80) | High-confidence pattern (75%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 58/100 (early) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A) | ⚠ Late-stage base (#4); Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

4/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 56 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 6 days — event risk
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 6/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

6/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $108.82 vs SMA150 $87.10 / SMA200 $91.68
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $87.10 vs SMA200 $91.68
SMA 200 trending up Slope -0.67 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $98.91
Price above SMA 50 $108.82 vs SMA50 $98.91
30%+ above 52-week low +64.3% from $66.22
Within 25% of 52-week high -10.5% from $121.64
RS score above 70 RS 80

Fundamentals

52W Range
77%
Rev YoY
+5%
EPS TTM
$0.50
P/E TTM
217.6x
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (The)
EL · NYSE · Consumer Non-Durables · Household/Personal Care
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
N/A — CANSLIM
C · Curr. EPS
40
A · Annual EPS
61
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
80
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
6/8
W. RS
76
W. Support
$75.22
W. Resist
$109.35
W. Patterns
Golden Cross
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 72 (Base Breakout)Oct 23: 75 (Trend Only)Oct 26: 72 (Cup & Handle)Oct 27: 73 (Cup & Handle)73
Oct 27
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
73
Oct 26
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
72 0.0%
Oct 23
Trend Only ✓ Gate
75 +0.1%
Oct 23
Base Breakout ✓ Gate
72 +0.1%

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