Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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FAST · Fastenal Company

$52.47 +1.08% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Basing · Setup Score 55/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$FAST

Fastenal Company

Fastenal Company is a large-cap Wholesale Distributors company in the Distribution Services sector with a market cap of $60B.

Distribution Services Wholesale Distributors stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$52.47 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: bos (bullish)
Support 44.85–45.10 · 5 touches · strong
Support 43.20–43.62 · 5 touches · strong
Support 48.83–49.17 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 39.81–40.04 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 42.74–42.97 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 55/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$47.50$50.00$52.50AugSepOct$52.47

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +10.0% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — +8.7% YoY
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +10.0% QoQ
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 73
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.70x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 10/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
68 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (68/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 74
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 69
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 44

RS rank 73: above-average strength. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 69: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 44: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

FAST+1.08%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. +0.37 points vs SPY.

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+1.08% From the open+0.31% Range position70% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $52.47 +1.1% Oct 26 close
52W High $52.92 0.9% below high
Wks Since High 10w
Base Depth 10.6%
RS Rank 44 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $50.42
Avg Vol 7,200,955
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.70× 1.55× on up days
More stats
52W Low $38.97
Tight Wks 1
Base B2
SMA 200 $47.02
RS Line vs High -5.3%
RS Line Slope +4.9% ▲
Group Rank #25/66
ADR% 2.6%
ATR(14) $1.52 (2.9%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 14A / 11D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 7d
Earnings past
Position in 52-week range 97thpercentile of the 52-week range
$38.97low
$52.92high

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$FAST · $52.47 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
100
/ 100
Technicals 100/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$50.42 ↑
100-day$48.94 ↑
200-day$47.02 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading60.3 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.126

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width88% · 7.2%

Near the upper band — buyers in control.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.55 · Accumulation
Rel volume0.7×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol99%
Heavy vol up / down1 / 1

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 8 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
  • 1 heavy-volume up day vs 1 down in the last 20 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $52.9252-week high
Price · $52.47now
S · $48.82swing level
S · $47.47swing level
S · $44.64swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$50.56
38.2%$49.10
50.0%$47.91
61.8%$46.73
78.6%$45.05

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about FAST
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (55/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 10/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

mediumEnter on break of $52.47 pivot with stop at $50.19 (risk 4.3%). SEPA Grade B (4/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $52.47, MA150 $47.63, MA200 $47.02
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $47.63 vs MA200 $47.02
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+10.0% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+8.7% YoY
10/12 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

partialRule check says AVOID (3/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +8.7% | ROE 34.0%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high0.9% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+10.0% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 73
3/8 checks
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $52.47 vs MA200 $47.02
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.70x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $47.30
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $1.25 (2.38% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Avoid C Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $60.34-$62.96; trail the rest
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyBasing is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageData unavailable
4/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 73 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (1995 adv / 1699 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+10.0% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 48.1x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
3/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$52.47
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.70x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumStock is at the top of its box — Darvas would wait for a decisive breakout on volume.

Passing evidence
Price$52.47
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.70x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$52.47
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.70x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
110RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +8 A
A: 19 D: 11 Net: +865 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +10%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +9%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 45%
✓ ROE ≥17% 34%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 73
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -0.9%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Dennis EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Dennis C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the 20-day channel high (System 1) or 55-day channel high (System 2) as the breakout trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Buy the breakout print mechanically — no prediction, no hesitation, no chasing below the channel high.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the stop at 2N (N = 20-day ATR) below entry, set before the trade and never moved except up on winners.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Add at 0.5N intervals up to 4 units; trail the stop beneath each new add level, never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit System 1 at the 10-day low and System 2 at the 20-day low — the exit is part of the system, not a decision.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Basing ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 73
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 72.7* (B)
base type: Flat Base depth: 0.112 duration weeks: 12.0 tightness: 0.0226 near pivot: ✓ base volume ratio: 1.206 validation reason: valid basing setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 8/8 confirmed + no fresh 13-week low
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Basing · schematic

Flat Base: depth=11.2%, 12w, tightness=0.023, near_pivot=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (73) | Moderate pattern (65%) | Accumulation (1.6× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 56/100 (early) | CANSLIM 72.7 (B) | ⚠ Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

4/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 44 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in -13 days — event risk
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.7× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $52.47 vs SMA150 $47.63 / SMA200 $47.02
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $47.63 vs SMA200 $47.02
SMA 200 trending up Slope +0.95 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $50.42
Price above SMA 50 $52.47 vs SMA50 $50.42
30%+ above 52-week low +34.6% from $38.97
Within 25% of 52-week high -0.9% from $52.92
RS score above 70 RS 73

Fundamentals

52W Range
97%
Mkt Cap SEC
60.2B
EPS QoQ
+10%
Rev YoY
+9%
ROE
34%
Gross Margin
45%
D/E
0.03
EPS TTM
$1.09
P/E TTM
48.1x
Float
1.1B
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Fastenal Company
FAST · NASDAQ · Distribution Services · Wholesale Distributors
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 72.7* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
70
A · Annual EPS
84
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
80
L · Leader RS
73
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
72
W. Support
$42.91
W. Resist
$52.92
W. Patterns
Cup & Handle Basing Record Volume
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 88 (Record Volume)Oct 26: 55 (Basing)Oct 27: 55 (Basing)55
Oct 27
Basing ✓ Gate
55
Oct 26
Basing ✓ Gate
55 0.0%
Oct 23
Record Volume ✓ Gate
88 +1.1%

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