Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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MSFT · Microsoft Corporation

$492.44 +0.16% Sep 10 close
Detected setup watchlist_candidate · Setup Score 0/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Corporation is a mega-cap Packaged Software company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $3.7T.

Technology Services Packaged Software stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$492.44 latest close
Join to Watchlist $MSFT Share card
Verdict · setup score 0/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Tuesday, October 27, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

MSFT+0.16%
Sector proxy · XLK-1.41%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. MSFT was +1.57 points vs XLK. +0.76 points vs SPY.

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.16% From the open+0.84% Range position76% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $492.44 +0.2% Sep 10 close
52W High $553.72 11.1% below high
Wks Since High 43w
Base Depth 34.9% 36.9% today
RS Rank 29 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $451.44
Avg Vol 30,776,873
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.52×
More stats
52W Low $349.20
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $431.14
RS Line vs High -17.6%
RS Line Slope +1.7% ▲
Group Rank #26/58
ADR% 1.8%
ATR(14) $10.15 (2.1%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 2.05
A/D Days 18A / 13D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 29d
Earnings in 45d
Position in 52-week range 70thpercentile of the 52-week range
$349.20low
$553.72high

MSFT Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MSFT · $492.44 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
83
/ 100
Technicals 83/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$451.44 ↑
100-day$430.19 ↑
200-day$431.14 ↑
Golden Cross (fresh)

RSI (14)

Reading55.0 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-3.942

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width45% · 7.9%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol2.05 · Accumulation
Rel volume0.52×

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $515.75swing level
R · $553.7252-week high
Price · $492.44now
S · $477.15swing level
S · $409.58swing level
S · $399.44swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$478.00
38.2%$453.38
50.0%$433.49
61.8%$413.60
78.6%$385.28

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulationRS 39 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MSFT
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 4 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Avoid
Minervini C

Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $492.44, MA150 $417.55, MA200 $431.14
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $451.44, MA150 $417.55, MA200 $431.14
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $417.55 vs MA200 $431.14
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 39
5/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high11.1% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.06%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 39
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
2/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein
Watch
Weinstein D

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $492.44 vs MA200 $431.14
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.52x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 39
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$492.44
Distance from 52-week high11.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.52x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$492.44
Distance from 52-week high11.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.52x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$492.44
Distance from 52-week high11.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.52x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
85RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +6 A+
A: 18 D: 12 Net: +665 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (5/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ —
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +18%
✗ Gross margin ≥30% —
✗ ROE ≥17% —
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 39
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -11.1%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Darvas EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Darvas B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the top of the active Darvas box near the high as the mechanical breakout boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require price to clear the box top with volume confirmation; movement inside the box remains observation, not a trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the active box support or the canonical structural stop that proves the breakout failed.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: As higher boxes form, raise the stop beneath the newest confirmed box floor; the stop moves up only.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price breaks the active box floor or decisively falls back through the breakout structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

watchlist_candidate
0 setup score
RS Score 39
Trend template 5/8
Why This Setup?
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

2/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 29 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.5× average — light
  • Clear of earnings — met in 45 days
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 5/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

5/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $492.44 vs SMA150 $417.55 / SMA200 $431.14
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $417.55 vs SMA200 $431.14
SMA 200 trending up Slope -1.65 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $451.44
Price above SMA 50 $492.44 vs SMA50 $451.44
30%+ above 52-week low +41.0% from $349.20
Within 25% of 52-week high -11.1% from $553.72
RS score above 70 RS 39

Fundamentals

52W Range
70%
Mkt Cap SEC
3.7T
Rev YoY
+18%
EPS TTM
$17.95
P/E TTM
27.4x
Float
7.4B

Company

Company profile
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Packaged Software
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Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Sep 10: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Sep 11: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0
Sep 11
watchlist_candidate
0
Sep 10
watchlist_candidate
0 0.0%
Sep 09
watchlist_candidate
0 +0.2%

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