Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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MSFT · Microsoft Corporation

$532.60 +1.54% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 87/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 87, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

3 independent risk warnings also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Corporation is a mega-cap Packaged Software company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $4.0T.

Technology Services Packaged Software stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$532.60 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: uptrend
Latest event: bos (bullish)
Support 489.60–493.50 · 7 touches · strong
Support 409.58–413.05 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 392.32–395.57 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 405.11–407.49 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 513.50–515.65 · 3 touches · moderate
Momentum Turn Watch
Bollinger Squeeze Bollinger band width (7.3%) is in the bottom quartile of its last 120 sessions — Legend's width-percentile squeeze (not a TTM/Keltner squeeze), so volatility is compressed and a sharper move often follows.
Early technical context only. Wait for price, volume, and the canonical setup trigger to confirm; this signal does not change readiness or the setup score.
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Verdict · setup score 87/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 87, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Recent price action · daily
$500$550AugSepOct$533

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +11.0% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — +17.8% YoY
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +11.0% QoQ
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.90x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
69 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (69/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 84
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 62
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 45

RS rank 83: beating most of the market. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 62: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 45: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Tuesday, October 27, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

MSFT+1.54%
Sector proxy · XLK+1.69%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. MSFT was -0.15 points vs XLK. +0.83 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionSupportive Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+1.54% From the open+0.97% Range position94% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $532.60 +1.5% Oct 26 close
52W High $553.72 3.8% below high
Wks Since High 1w 49w today
Base Depth 4.1% 36.9% today
RS Rank 65 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $509.17
Avg Vol 21,232,917
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.90× 0.99× on up days
More stats
52W Low $349.20
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $436.79
RS Line vs High -11.8%
RS Line Slope +4.5% ▲
Group Rank #12/66
ADR% 2.0%
ATR(14) $11.12 (2.1%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 22A / 12D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 2d
Earnings TODAY
Position in 52-week range 90thpercentile of the 52-week range
$349.20low
$553.72high

MSFT Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MSFT · $532.60 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
91
/ 100
Technicals 91/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$509.17 ↑
100-day$460.97 ↑
200-day$436.79 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading57.2 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-1.995

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width62% · 7.3%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.99 · Neutral
Rel volume0.9×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol75%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 7 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $551.1552-week high
Price · $532.60now
S · $486.00swing level
S · $477.15swing level
S · $409.58swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$503.49
38.2%$474.01
50.0%$450.17
61.8%$426.34
78.6%$392.42

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 83 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MSFT
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (87/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 8/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialMonitor Trend Only for tighter volatility contraction before entry. SEPA Grade B (5/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $532.60, MA150 $442.76, MA200 $436.79
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $442.76 vs MA200 $436.79
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+11.0% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+17.8% YoY
8/10 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 83
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +17.8% | ROE 33.2%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+11.0% QoQ
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $532.60 vs MA200 $436.79
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.90x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $502.22
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $11.42 (2.14% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $612.49-$639.12; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $532.22 · 20-day MA $527.87 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyTrend Only is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 29.7x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 83 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+11.0% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
4/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$532.60
Relative strengthRS 83
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.90x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (3.8% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$532.60
Relative strengthRS 83
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.90x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$532.60
Relative strengthRS 83
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.90x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
90RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +11 A+
A: 20 D: 9 Net: +1165 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 5/7 met
B 5/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +11%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +18%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 68%
✓ ROE ≥17% 33%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 83
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -3.8%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish near confirmation
90% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~516.66 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~482.17. A push back above 533.25 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 551.15 invalidates it.

Confirms below 516.66
Invalidates at 551.15
Left Shoulder 517.78
Head 551.15
Right Shoulder 533.25
Neckline 516.66
Target 482.17

LS 517.78 / head 551.15 / RS 533.25, neckline ~516.66, vol_fading=yes

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Trend Only
87 setup score
RS Score 83
Trend template 8/8 ✓
Why This Setup?
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 0 days — event risk
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 65 — middling
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.9× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $532.60 vs SMA150 $442.76 / SMA200 $436.79
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $442.76 vs SMA200 $436.79
SMA 200 trending up Slope +4.64 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $509.17
Price above SMA 50 $532.60 vs SMA50 $509.17
30%+ above 52-week low +52.5% from $349.20
Within 25% of 52-week high -3.8% from $553.72
RS score above 70 RS 83

Fundamentals

52W Range
90%
Mkt Cap SEC
4.0T
EPS QoQ
+11%
Rev YoY
+18%
ROE
33%
Gross Margin
68%
D/E
0.24
EPS TTM
$17.95
P/E TTM
29.7x
Float
7.4B
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Packaged Software
Track all markets on TradingView

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
71
W. Support
$349.20
W. Resist
$551.15
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 55 (Darvas Box)Oct 23: 92 (Trend Only)Oct 26: 85 (Trend Only)Oct 26: 87 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 86 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 87 (Trend Only)87
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
87
Oct 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
86
Oct 26
Trend Only ✓ Gate
87 0.0%
Oct 26
Trend Only ✓ Gate
85 0.0%
Oct 23
Trend Only ✓ Gate
92 +1.5%
Oct 23
Darvas Box ✓ Gate
55 +1.5%

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