Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
PGR · Progressive Corporation (The)
$229.25 +0.52% Oct 26 close
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$PGR
Progressive Corporation (The)Progressive Corporation (The) is a large-cap Multi-Line Insurance company in the Finance sector with a market cap of $133B.
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift
(bullish)
Support
199.90–201.02
· 6 touches · strong
Support
197.92–198.83
· 4 touches · moderate
Support
208.10–209.08
· 4 touches · moderate
Support
214.96–215.99
· 4 touches · moderate
Inside
228.71–230.54
· 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 0/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Recent price action · daily
What would change this verdict
What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:
- Minervini 1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85) — RS rank 57
- Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — -2.2% QoQ
- O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — -2.2% QoQ
- O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 57
- Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.80x
- Weinstein Relative strength ≥ 60 — RS 57
Minority view — the council disagrees here
- Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 7/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
- O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
- Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.
57
Neutral
Legend Score · rates the stock
Neutral (57/100) — held back by eps growth
Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.
- Relative Strength (25%) 57
- Trend Template (25%) 62
- Institutional Footprint (20%) 78
- EPS Growth (15%) 30
- Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 45
RS rank 57: middle of the pack — no leadership yet. Trend template 5/8: mixed — some uptrend elements, some missing. Institutional score 78: mild accumulation. EPS -0% last quarter — no earnings momentum. Quality 45: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.
Earnings
Pre-earnings setup
Next earnings
Monday, November 2, 2026
Before market open
Exact clock time not supplied by source
Deterministic evidence
PGR+0.52%
Sector proxy · XLF+0.21%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
CatalystPending
Stock reactionPositive
Sector reactionWeak
Opening surgePending
Event riskEarnings-driven
Session internals Strong momentum
Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close+0.52%
From the open+0.25%
Range position80%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%)
SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.
- A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$189.20
Tight Wks
0
Base
B1
SMA 200
$208.92
RS Line vs High
-13.7%
RS Line Slope
+8.7% ▲
Group Rank
#52/66
ADR%
2.2%
ATR(14)
$5.91 (2.6%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
A/D Days
13A / 9D
A/D Rating
A
VDU Bars
0/10 d
Power Trend
6d
Earnings
in 6d
PGR Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$PGR · $229.25 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
89
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▲ Uptrend
Weekly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly
▲ Uptrend
Moving Averages
50-day$216.41 ↑
100-day$215.06 ↑
200-day$208.92 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading64.9 · Bullish
Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateBullish
Histogram+1.559
Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram expanding.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width94% · 12.0%
Near the upper band — buyers in control.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol2.82 · Accumulation
Rel volume0.8×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol79%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 1
Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.
- Pocket pivot 9 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
- 1 heavy-volume down day vs 0 up in the last 20 sessions — supply is showing.
Support & Resistance
R · $239.3852-week high
Price · $229.25now
S · $215.98swing level
S · $212.63swing level
S · $205.90swing level
Fibonacci · Uptrend swing
23.6% ◄ price here$227.54
38.2%$220.21
50.0%$214.29
61.8%$208.37
78.6%$199.94
Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.
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Daily uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice?
Ask a Legend about PGR
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (0/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.
Council consensus:
7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Watch
C
Trend-template read: 7/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $229.25, MA150 $209.76, MA200 $208.92
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $209.76 vs MA200 $208.92
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 57
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-2.2% QoQ
O'Neil
Avoid
D
CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +16.3% | ROE 35.4%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high4.2% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-2.2% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 57
Weinstein
Watch
D
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.
mediumStage 2 uptrend in progress — hold as long as price stays above the 30-week moving average.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $229.25 vs MA200 $208.92
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.80x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 57
dennis
Watch
C
Turtle read: no breakout yet. Price is pressing the 20-day high. The system waits for the print; it never anticipates.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $201.02
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $5.15 (2.25% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
zanger
Avoid
D
Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $263.64-$275.10; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $221.79 · 20-day MA $217.61 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlywatchlist_candidate is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Data unavailable
zweig
Watch
D
Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying; Price strength (RS ≥ 70) — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 11.9x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (1995 adv / 1699 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)-2.2% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Livermore
Watch
B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$229.25
Distance from 52-week high4.2% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 57
Volume vs average0.80x
Darvas
Watch
B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$229.25
Distance from 52-week high4.2% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 57
Volume vs average0.80x
Wyckoff
Watch
B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$229.25
Distance from 52-week high4.2% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 57
Volume vs average0.80x
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
Latest candle: Hammer — Long lower shadow with a small body near the high — buyers rejected lower prices. Bullish when it appears at support or after a pullback.
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▲ Rising
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net +5
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C
3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (5/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
-2%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+16%
Gross margin ≥30%
—
ROE ≥17%
35%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
57
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-4.2%
Method Playbook
Trade it like Livermore
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)
Cup & Handle
bullish
early
60%
built
Cup base building — 74% of the 16%-deep cup recovered. Watch for the right side to reach ~239.38, then a handle.
Pivot Watch
4.23% away
Tightness / volume
Tightening · No VDU
Recent-pace band
3–8 sessions
Confirms above
239.38
Invalidates at
220.17
Rim
239.38
Cup Low
200.96
Pivot
239.38
Mid Cup
220.17
Cup depth 16%, recovery 74%, handle=not yet
Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.
Pattern Analysis
0
setup score
RS Score
57
Trend template
5/8
Why This Setup?
watchlist_candidate · schematic
Near-miss 5/8 — needs: sma200 trending up, price above 30pct of 52w low, rs score above 70
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
1/7
universals met
- A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 19 — laggard
- Clear of earnings — not met in 6 days — event risk
- Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
- Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
- Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
- Volume confirms — partly met 0.8× average — light
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 5/8
Minervini Trend Template
5/8Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$229.25 vs SMA150 $209.76 / SMA200 $208.92
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $209.76 vs SMA200 $208.92
SMA 200 trending up
Slope -0.68 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $216.41
Price above SMA 50
$229.25 vs SMA50 $216.41
30%+ above 52-week low
+21.2% from $189.20
Within 25% of 52-week high
-4.2% from $239.38
RS score above 70
RS 57
Fundamentals
52W Range
80%
Mkt Cap SEC
133.3B
EPS QoQ
-2%
Rev YoY
+16%
ROE
35%
D/E
0.23
EPS TTM
$19.23
P/E TTM
11.9x
Float
581M
Insider
No Buy
Company
Company profile
Progressive Corporation (The)
Scan History
20× streakOct 27
watchlist_candidate
0
Oct 26
watchlist_candidate
0
0.0%
Oct 23
Record Volume
55
+0.5%
Latest News
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