Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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PGR · Progressive Corporation (The)

$216.19 +0.32% Sep 10 close
Detected setup watchlist_candidate · Setup Score 0/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$PGR

Progressive Corporation (The)

Progressive Corporation (The) is a large-cap Multi-Line Insurance company in the Finance sector with a market cap of $126B.

Finance Multi-Line Insurance stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$216.19 latest close
Join to Watchlist $PGR Share card
Verdict · setup score 0/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 0, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

PGR+0.32%
Sector proxy · XLF-0.33%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. PGR was +0.65 points vs XLF. +0.92 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.32% From the open+0.13% Range position27% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $216.19 +0.3% Sep 10 close
52W High $249.71 13.4% below high
Wks Since High 50w 49w today
Base Depth 23.5% 24.2% today
RS Rank 1 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $217.19
Avg Vol 2,557,805
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.51×
More stats
52W Low $189.20
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $210.47
RS Line vs High -24.6%
RS Line Slope +6.2% ▲
Group Rank #43/58
ADR% 1.8%
ATR(14) $3.86 (1.8%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 1.31
A/D Days 19A / 12D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 1/10 d
Position in 52-week range 45thpercentile of the 52-week range
$189.20low
$249.71high

PGR Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$PGR · $216.19 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
53
/ 100
Technicals 53/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$217.19 ↓
100-day$209.77 ↑
200-day$210.47 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading49.0 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.477

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width46% · 10.4%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.31 · Neutral
Rel volume0.51×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $223.91swing level
R · $239.38swing level
R · $249.7152-week high
Price · $216.19now
S · $205.90swing level
S · $203.13swing level
S · $199.57swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$227.54
38.2%$220.21
50.0% ◄ price here$214.29
61.8%$208.37
78.6%$199.94

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Monthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 3 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about PGR
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 4 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Avoid
Minervini D

Trend-template read: fails 150-day MA > 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $216.19, MA150 $207.75, MA200 $210.47
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $217.19, MA150 $207.75, MA200 $210.47
Failing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $207.75 vs MA200 $210.47
1.5 Price > 50-day MAPrice $216.19 vs MA50 $217.19
4/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high13.4% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 1.78%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 3
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
2/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein
Watch
Weinstein D

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $216.19 vs MA200 $210.47
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.51x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 3
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$216.19
Distance from 52-week high13.4% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 3
Volume vs average0.51x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$216.19
Distance from 52-week high13.4% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 3
Volume vs average0.51x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$216.19
Distance from 52-week high13.4% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 3
Volume vs average0.51x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Doji — Open and close nearly equal — indecision. After a strong move it can signal a pause or pending reversal; wait for confirmation.

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
76RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +7 A+
A: 15 D: 8 Net: +765 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (4/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ —
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +16%
✗ Gross margin ≥30% —
✗ ROE ≥17% —
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 3
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -13.4%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Minervini EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the tight base's structural pivot; the setup must retain Trend Template leadership into the trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a decisive move through the pivot with volume confirmation, and do not initiate more than 5% above it.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start at the tighter structural invalidation; the initial loss limit must not exceed roughly 7–8% from entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Hold the initial stop until the trade proves itself; near +1R move to breakeven, then trail a higher low or rising 10/21-day average once well extended.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when the structural stop or a meaningful higher-low/short-term trend violation fires; never widen the stop.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

watchlist_candidate
0 setup score
RS Score 3
Trend template 4/8
Why This Setup?
watchlist_candidate · schematic

Near-miss 4/8 — needs: sma150 above sma200, price above sma50, price above 30pct of 52w low, rs score above 70

Ask a Legend ▾
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 1 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.5× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 4/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

4/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $216.19 vs SMA150 $207.75 / SMA200 $210.47
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $207.75 vs SMA200 $210.47
SMA 200 trending up Slope +0.08 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $217.19
Price above SMA 50 $216.19 vs SMA50 $217.19
30%+ above 52-week low +14.3% from $189.20
Within 25% of 52-week high -13.4% from $249.71
RS score above 70 RS 3

Fundamentals

52W Range
45%
Mkt Cap SEC
125.7B
Rev YoY
+16%
EPS TTM
$19.23
P/E TTM
11.2x
Float
581M

Company

Company profile
Progressive Corporation (The)
PGR · NYSE · Finance · Multi-Line Insurance
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Scan History

2× streak
Sep 08: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Sep 11: 0 (watchlist_candidate)0
Sep 11
watchlist_candidate
0
Sep 08
watchlist_candidate
0 +0.6%

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