Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 82, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
TRV · The Travelers Companies, Inc.
$367.56 +0.19% Sep 10 close
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$TRV
The Travelers Companies, Inc.The Travelers Companies, Inc. is a large-cap Property/Casualty Insurance company in the Finance sector with a market cap of $77B.
Verdict · setup score 82/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 82, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Earnings
Normal technical setup
Next earnings
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Before market open
Exact clock time not supplied by source
Deterministic evidence
TRV+0.19%
Sector proxy · XLF-0.33%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Session internals Mixed
Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close+0.19%
From the open-0.54%
Range position50%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%)
SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.
- QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$252.26
Tight Wks
1
Base
B1
SMA 200
$313.62
RS Line vs High
-9.5%
RS Line Slope
+2.0% ▲
Group Rank
#31/58
ADR%
1.6%
ATR(14)
$5.97 (1.6%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
U/D Vol
0.65
A/D Days
17A / 11D
A/D Rating
A+
VDU Bars
0/10 d
Earnings
in 32d
TRV Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$TRV · $367.56 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
43
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▼ Weak / rolling over
Weekly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Moving Averages
50-day$365.36 ↑
100-day$334.81 ↑
200-day$313.62 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading50.3 · Neutral
Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateWeakening
Histogram-0.758
Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width49% · 3.4%
Squeeze — volatility compressing
Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol0.65 · Distribution
Rel volume0.7×
Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.
Support & Resistance
R · $373.55swing level
R · $398.7052-week high
Price · $367.56now
S · $358.88swing level
S · $325.39swing level
S · $292.89swing level
Fibonacci · Uptrend swing
23.6% ◄ price here$371.79
38.2%$355.14
50.0%$341.68
61.8%$328.22
78.6%$309.06
Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.
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Daily downtrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume distribution
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Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
Council consensus:
5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini B
Trend-template read: 9/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $367.56, MA150 $323.16, MA200 $313.62
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $323.16 vs MA200 $313.62
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
2. ROE ≥ 17%From SEPA scan
Avoid
O'Neil D
CANSLIM read: fails L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership).
Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade B
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high7.8% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 70
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +5.2%
Watch
Weinstein B
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $367.56 vs MA200 $313.62
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.70x
Watch
Livermore B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$367.56
Relative strengthRS 70
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.70x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
Watch
Darvas B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$367.56
Relative strengthRS 70
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.70x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
Watch
Wyckoff B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$367.56
Relative strengthRS 70
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.70x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▲ Rising
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net +7
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C
2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
—
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+5%
Gross margin ≥30%
—
ROE ≥17%
—
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
70
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-7.8%
Method Playbook
Trade it like Wyckoff
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)
Head & Shoulders
bearish
forming
75%
built
Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~325.39 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~252.08. A push back above 386.58 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 398.70 invalidates it.
Confirms below
325.39
Invalidates at
398.70
Left Shoulder
349.35
Head
398.70
Right Shoulder
386.58
Neckline
325.39
Target
252.08
LS 349.35 / head 398.70 / RS 386.58, neckline ~325.39, vol_fading=yes
Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.
Pattern Analysis
Cup & Handle
Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 21% (n=53) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +1.9% per setup (+0.24R)
82
setup score
RS Score
70
Trend template
7/8
CANSLIM
74.9* (B)
12.5% cup depth
4.4% handle
Why This Setup?
Cup & Handle · schematic
depth=12.5%, handle_pb=4.4%, lips_diff=0.8%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=no (62% spike) | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (70) | Moderate pattern (67%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 68/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 74.9 (B)
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
2/7
universals met
- Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
- A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 64 — middling
- Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
- Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
- Volume confirms — partly met 0.7× average — light
- Clear of earnings — met in 32 days
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Minervini Trend Template
7/8Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$367.56 vs SMA150 $323.16 / SMA200 $313.62
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $323.16 vs SMA200 $313.62
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +8.93 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $365.36
Price above SMA 50
$367.56 vs SMA50 $365.36
30%+ above 52-week low
+45.7% from $252.26
Within 25% of 52-week high
-7.8% from $398.70
RS score above 70
RS 70
Fundamentals
52W Range
79%
Mkt Cap SEC
76.7B
Rev YoY
+5%
EPS TTM
$27.43
P/E TTM
13.4x
Float
209M
Company
Company profile
The Travelers Companies, Inc.
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B
74.9* CANSLIM
* disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
61
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
70
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
8/8
W. RS
82
W. Support
$284.66
W. Resist
$398.70
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
1
Confirmation
Neutral
Scan History
11× streakSep 11
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
82
Sep 11
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
80
Sep 11
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
55
Sep 10
Momentum Flag
✓ Gate
83
0.0%
Sep 10
Momentum Flag
✓ Gate
83
0.0%
Sep 09
Trend Only
✓ Gate
77
+0.2%
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