Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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ASML · ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares

$1687.43 -2.43% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 85/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 85, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares is a mega-cap Semiconductors company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $650B.

Electronic Technology Semiconductors stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$1687.43 latest close
Historical record

No active setup in the latest scan — this page shows the last detection Legend AI made for $ASML. Every level, score and criterion below is computed from the Sep 10 close session (1 session old), and may no longer hold.

Historical verdict · setup score 85/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 85, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

ASML-2.43%
Semiconductor proxy · SMH-2.44%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. ASML was +0.01 points vs SMH. -1.83 points vs SPY.

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-2.43% From the open-0.10% Range position17% GapHeld
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%) SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $1687.43 -2.4% Sep 10 close
52W High $1999.96 11.8% below high
Wks Since High 9w 10w today
Base Depth 22.1% 23.5% today
RS Rank 80 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $1741.77
Avg Vol 1,572,925
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.69×
More stats
52W Low $791.02
Tight Wks 0 1 today
Base B2
SMA 200 $1491.32
RS Line vs High -13.5%
RS Line Slope -1.3% ▼
Group Rank #17/58
ADR% 2.2%
ATR(14) $45.27 (2.7%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 0.77
A/D Days 13A / 17D
A/D Rating E
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Position in 52-week range 74thpercentile of the 52-week range
$791.02low
$1999.96high

ASML Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$ASML · $1687.43 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
60
/ 100
Technicals 60/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Monthly ▬ Sideways / consolidating

Moving Averages

50-day$1741.77 ↓
100-day$1687.69 ↓
200-day$1491.32 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading45.4 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBearish
Histogram-2.307

Bearish — MACD below its signal line and below zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width27% · 14.2%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.77 · Neutral
Rel volume0.69×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $1896.35swing level
R · $1959.04swing level
R · $1999.9652-week high
Price · $1687.43now
S · $1530.64swing level
S · $1441.31swing level
S · $1382.75swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$1822.52
38.2%$1712.75
50.0%$1624.03
61.8%$1535.32
78.6%$1409.01

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Above 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 84 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about ASML
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 7/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $1764.85, MA150 $1586.89, MA200 $1484.34
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $1586.89 vs MA200 $1484.34
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
2. ROE ≥ 17%From SEPA scan
7/10 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 84
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high11.8% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +15.6%
3/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein B

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $1764.85 vs MA200 $1484.34
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.84x
6/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$1764.85
Relative strengthRS 84
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.84x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$1764.85
Relative strengthRS 84
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.84x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$1764.85
Relative strengthRS 84
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.84x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Doji — Open and close nearly equal — indecision. After a strong move it can signal a pause or pending reversal; wait for confirmation.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▼ Falling
183RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +2 E
A: 15 D: 13 Net: +265 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +16%
Gross margin ≥30%
ROE ≥17%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 84
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -15.6%

Method Playbook

Trade it like O'Neil EXACT LEVELS · PRO
O'Neil D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Inverse Head & Shoulders bullish forming
80% built

Possible inverse head & shoulders — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close above ~1961.19 (neckline) to confirm, with a measured move toward ~2391.74. A drop under the right shoulder near 1619.34 weakens the structure; a close below the head near 1530.64 invalidates it.

Confirms above 1961.19
Invalidates at 1530.64
Left Shoulder 1703.40
Head 1530.64
Right Shoulder 1619.34
Neckline 1961.19
Target 2391.74

LS 1703.40 / head 1530.64 / RS 1619.34, neckline ~1961.19, 14.0% below confirmation

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~1530.64 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~1061.32. A push back above 1896.35 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 1999.96 invalidates it.

Confirms below 1530.64
Invalidates at 1999.96
Left Shoulder 1959.04
Head 1999.96
Right Shoulder 1896.35
Neckline 1530.64
Target 1061.32

LS 1959.04 / head 1999.96 / RS 1896.35, neckline ~1530.64, vol_fading=yes

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis (historical)

85 setup score
RS Score 84
Trend template 7/8
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

2/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.7× average — light
  • A relative-strength leader — met RS rank 80
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $1687.43 vs SMA150 $1591.44 / SMA200 $1491.32
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $1591.44 vs SMA200 $1491.32
SMA 200 trending up Slope +70.92 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $1741.77
Price above SMA 50 $1687.43 vs SMA50 $1741.77
30%+ above 52-week low +113.3% from $791.02
Within 25% of 52-week high -15.6% from $1999.96
RS score above 70 RS 84

Fundamentals

52W Range
74%
Mkt Cap SEC
650.4B
Rev YoY
+16%
EPS TTM
$24.71
P/E TTM
68.3x
Float
385M

Company

Company profile
ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares
ASML · NASDAQ · Electronic Technology · Semiconductors

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
7/8
W. RS
94
W. Support
$1248.11
W. Resist
$1999.96
Weekly Structure

Scan History

Sep 08: 0 (watchlist_candidate)Sep 09: 85 (Trend Only)85
Sep 09
Trend Only ✓ Gate
85
Sep 08
watchlist_candidate
0 -4.4%

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