Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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ASML · ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares

$1590.90 +1.22% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Ascending Triangle · Setup Score 82/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 82, but price closes below stop $1,768.09 — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares

ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares is a mega-cap Semiconductors company in the Electronic Technology sector with a market cap of $613B.

Electronic Technology Semiconductors stock Stage 1 · Basing Base 2
$1590.90 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift (bullish)
Support 1406.50–1413.28 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 1378.30–1385.72 · 3 touches · moderate
Momentum Turn Watch
Bollinger Lower-Band Support Price ($1590.90) is holding just above the lower Bollinger band ($1522.34; %B 17) — support at the bottom of the bands.
Early technical context only. Wait for price, volume, and the canonical setup trigger to confirm; this signal does not change readiness or the setup score.
Historical record

No active setup in the latest scan — this page shows the last detection Legend AI made for $ASML. Every level, score and criterion below is computed from the Oct 26 close session (latest session), and may no longer hold.

Historical verdict · setup score 82/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 82, but price closes below stop $1,768.09 — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$1,600$1,800AugSepOct$1,591

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA — Price $1590.90, MA150 $1656.40, MA200 $1589.97
  • Minervini 1.5 Price > 50-day MA — Price $1590.90 vs MA50 $1717.67
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +6.0% QoQ
  • O'Neil N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high — 20.5% below high | RS line new high: False
  • Dennis S1: 20-day Donchian breakout
  • Dennis S2: 55-day Donchian breakout
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: buyable Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 with 7/7 measured criteria passing.
70 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (70/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 86
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 64
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 45

RS rank 85: beating most of the market. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 64: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 45: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 42, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-13.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Wednesday, July 15, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

ASML+1.22%
Semiconductor proxy · SMH+2.74%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. ASML was -1.52 points vs SMH. +0.51 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+1.22% From the open+0.18% Range position28% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $1590.90 +1.2% Oct 26 close
52W High $1999.96 20.5% below high
Wks Since High 16w
Base Depth 23.5%
RS Rank 68 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $1717.67
Avg Vol 1,368,448
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 1.42× 0.78× on up days
More stats
52W Low $946.11
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $1589.97
RS Line vs High -15.6%
RS Line Slope +7.0% ▲
Group Rank #11/65
ADR% 2.5%
ATR(14) $58.33 (3.7%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 12A / 16D
A/D Rating E
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings past
Position in 52-week range 61stpercentile of the 52-week range
$946.11low
$1999.96high

ASML Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$ASML · $1590.90 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
38
/ 100
Technicals 38/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▼ Weak / rolling over
Monthly ▼ Downtrend

Moving Averages

50-day$1717.67 ↓
100-day$1746.69 ↓
200-day$1589.97 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading38.0 · Bearish

Bearish momentum — sellers in control.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBearish
Histogram-19.125

Bearish — MACD below its signal line and below zero. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width17% · 23.3%

Near the lower band — under pressure or oversold.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.78 · Neutral
Rel volume1.42×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol107%
Heavy vol up / down1 / 2

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

  • 2 heavy-volume down days vs 1 up in the last 20 sessions — supply is showing.

Support & Resistance

R · $1603.49swing level
R · $1790.00swing level
R · $1873.50swing level
Price · $1590.90now
S · $1572.84swing level
S · $1530.64swing level
S · $1441.31swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$1868.12
38.2%$1786.56
50.0%$1720.64
61.8%$1654.71
78.6%$1560.86

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Weekly downtrendMonthly downtrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 85 (leader)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about ASML
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (82/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 1 legend rates this Buyable · 6 watching · 2 avoid.
Minervini Avoid C Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.

partialRule check says AVOID (9/13 checks passed) — Trend-template read: fails Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MA.

Passing evidence
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $1656.40 vs MA200 $1589.97
1.4 50-day MA > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAMA50 $1717.67, MA150 $1656.40, MA200 $1589.97
Failing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $1590.90, MA150 $1656.40, MA200 $1589.97
1.5 Price > 50-day MAPrice $1590.90 vs MA50 $1717.67
9/13 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

partialRule check says AVOID (4/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 85
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +15.6% | ROE 41.5%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+6.0% QoQ
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high20.5% below high | RS line new high: False
4/8 checks
Weinstein Buyable A Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 with 7/7 measured criteria passing.

highClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $1590.90 vs MA200 $1589.97
Failing evidence
No failing criteria.
7/7 checks
dennis Watch B Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $1,550.00
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $55.33 (3.48% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
6/8 checks
zanger Watch B Zanger read: the structure is fine but the breakout quality is not there yet — wait for 150%+ volume on the break.

partialZanger would buy the Ascending Triangle breakout only with 150-200% volume, never more than 5% above the breakout point, with a 2-3% stop set at entry. His edge over O'Neil is the exit plan: sell 20-30% of the position at +15-20%, then trail the rest on the 10/20-day moving average.

Passing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyAscending Triangle
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Failing evidence
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
5/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 85 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Breadth momentum: 10-day A/D ratio10-day A/D 1.17 (2025 adv / 1725 dec) — participation expanding
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+6.0% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 64.4x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
3/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: 5/6 structural checks pass; awaiting volume confirmation.
Passing evidence
Price$1590.90
Relative strengthRS 85
Failing evidence
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
5/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: 5/6 structural checks pass; awaiting volume confirmation.

partialConsolidating within the box (12.5% from 52W high) — patience until it approaches the prior high.

Passing evidence
Price$1590.90
Relative strengthRS 85
Failing evidence
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
5/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: 5/6 structural checks pass; awaiting volume confirmation.
Passing evidence
Price$1590.90
Relative strengthRS 85
Failing evidence
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
5/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Doji — Open and close nearly equal — indecision. After a strong move it can signal a pause or pending reversal; wait for confirmation.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
134RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net -5 E
A: 11 D: 16 Net: -565 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (6/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +6%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +16%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 51%
✓ ROE ≥17% 42%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 85
✗ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 1
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -20.5%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish near confirmation
90% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~1530.64 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~1061.32. A push back above 1896.35 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 1999.96 invalidates it.

Confirms below 1530.64
Invalidates at 1999.96
Left Shoulder 1959.04
Head 1999.96
Right Shoulder 1896.35
Neckline 1530.64
Target 1061.32

LS 1959.04 / head 1999.96 / RS 1896.35, neckline ~1530.64, vol_fading=yes

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis (historical)

Ascending Triangle ⚠ 3rd-stage base
82 setup score
RS Score 85
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM 72.8* (B)
high slope: -0.5167 low slope: 1.9456 triangle height: 199.34 depth: 0.1085 triangle volume ratio: 0.936 validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly trend template 8/8 confirmed + weekly coiling
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Ascending Triangle · schematic

Flat resistance (slope=-0.5167), rising lows (slope=1.9456) | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (85) | Moderate pattern (60%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 71/100 (watch) | CANSLIM 72.8 (B) | ⚠ 3rd-stage base

Cup (no handle) ⚠ 3rd-stage base ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 85
Trend template 6/8
CANSLIM 71.2* (B)
16.0% cup depth
  • Cup 16.0% deep from a $1872.67 left rim to a $1572.84 low
  • Rims 0.0% apart (ideal, within 10%)
  • Rounded U-shaped bottom (no V)
  • Pivot $1873.50 fixed at the higher lip (left-side high)
  • No close above the pivot yet
  • Breakout-day volume 0.9x the 50-day average
  • Volume dried up in the base
  • Prior advance into the rim: 46.3%
Raw detector evidence · confidence is a heuristic match score, not a probability depth=16.0%, lips_diff=0.0%, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=no, breakout_vol=0.9x, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (85) | High-confidence pattern (71%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 63/100 (early) | CANSLIM 71.2 (B) | ⚠ 3rd-stage base; Not actionable yet setup_key=cup_no_handle|2026-09-14|2026-10-02|1873.50 · cup_handle/2026-10-03 anchors={"bottom": {"bar": 34, "bars_ago": 20, "date": "2026-09-14", "price": 1572.84}, "breakout": null, "left_lip": {"bar": 13, "bars_ago": 41, "date": "2026-08-13", "price": 1872.6709}, "right_lip": {"bar": 48, "bars_ago": 6, "date": "2026-10-02", "price": 1873.5}}
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
cup handle Cup (no handle) · schematic

depth=16.0%, lips_diff=0.0%, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=no, breakout_vol=0.9x, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (85) | High-confidence pattern (71%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 63/100 (early) | CANSLIM 71.2 (B) | ⚠ 3rd-stage base; Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

4/7 universals met
  • Clear of earnings — not met in -104 days — event risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 68 — middling
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.9× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 1 · Trend template 6/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

6/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $1590.90 vs SMA150 $1656.40 / SMA200 $1589.97
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $1656.40 vs SMA200 $1589.97
SMA 200 trending up Slope +61.75 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $1717.67
Price above SMA 50 $1590.90 vs SMA50 $1717.67
30%+ above 52-week low +68.2% from $946.11
Within 25% of 52-week high -20.5% from $1999.96
RS score above 70 RS 85

Fundamentals

52W Range
61%
Mkt Cap SEC
613.2B
EPS QoQ
+6%
Rev YoY
+16%
ROE
42%
Gross Margin
51%
D/E
0.19
EPS TTM
$24.71
P/E TTM
64.4x
Float
385M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares
ASML · NASDAQ · Electronic Technology · Semiconductors
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 72.8* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
64
A · Annual EPS
93
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
80
L · Leader RS
85
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
83
W. Support
$1364.81
W. Resist
$1999.96
W. Patterns
Symmetrical Triangle
Weekly Structure

Scan History

Oct 09: 91 (Descending Triangle)Oct 09: 92 (Descending Triangle)Oct 09: 93 (Descending Triangle)Oct 10: 88 (Cup & Handle)Oct 12: 88 (Cup & Handle)Oct 13: 82 (Ascending Triangle)82
Oct 13
Ascending Triangle ✓ Gate
82
Oct 12
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
88 -9.1%
Oct 10
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
88 -9.1%
Oct 09
Descending Triangle ✓ Gate
93 -10.6%
Oct 09
Descending Triangle ✓ Gate
92 -10.6%
Oct 09
Descending Triangle ✓ Gate
91 -10.6%

Latest News

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