Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 74, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
KMX · CarMax Inc
$52.62 +2.08% Oct 26 close
2 independent risk warnings also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$KMX
CarMax IncCarMax Inc is a mid-cap Specialty Stores company in the Retail Trade sector with a market cap of $7B.
⚠ Risk Signals
Head & Shoulders Top
Neckline ~54.01 has broken. Measured-move risk extends toward ~42.73; a fast reclaim of 54.01 would be a failed breakdown (often bullish).
Double Top
Double Top (confirmed): peaks $63.39 and $63.67 (2026-09-29) with the neckline at $54.90. neckline $54.90 broken on a closing basis 13 bars ago. Measured move targets $46.27; invalidation above $64.94. Research/educational only, not a buy/sell recommendation.
Bearish structure on the daily chart — a heads-up for anyone holding, not a short signal. Does not affect the bullish setup score.
Market Structure
Trend structure: downtrend
Latest event: structure_shift
(bullish)
Resistance
60.84–61.15
· 3 touches · moderate
Resistance
54.51–54.90
· 3 touches · moderate
Historical verdict · setup score 74/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 74, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Recent price action · daily
What would change this verdict
What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:
- Minervini 1.5 Price > 50-day MA — Price $52.62 vs MA50 $57.41
- Minervini 2. ROE ≥ 17% — ROE 3.7%
- O'Neil A: Annual earnings & revenue quality — Rev -1.8% | ROE 3.7%
- O'Neil N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high — 19.4% below high | RS line new high: False
- Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 1.12x
- Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
- Minervini: avoid Trend-template read: fails Price > 50-day MA.
- O'Neil: watch CANSLIM read: 3/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
- Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
59
Neutral
Legend Score · rates the stock
Neutral (59/100) — held back by quality (smr-like)
Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.
- Relative Strength (25%) 84
- Trend Template (25%) 88
- Institutional Footprint (20%) 29
- EPS Growth (15%) 35
- Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 32
RS rank 83: beating most of the market. Trend template 7/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 29: mild distribution — sellers active. EPS up +3% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 32: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 40, leverage 20). Updated 2026-09-29.
Earnings
Normal technical setup
Next earnings
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Report time not confirmed by the source
Deterministic evidence
KMX+2.08%
Sector proxy · XLY+1.03%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Session internals Strong momentum
Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close+2.08%
From the open+1.25%
Range position68%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%)
SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$30.26
Tight Wks
0
Base
B3
SMA 200
$49.20
RS Line vs High
-11.9%
RS Line Slope
-7.6% ▼
Group Rank
#29/66
ADR%
4.3%
ATR(14)
$2.27 (4.3%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
A/D Days
10A / 9D
A/D Rating
B
VDU Bars
0/10 d
Earnings
past
KMX Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$KMX · $52.62 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
44
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▼ Downtrend
Weekly
▼ Weak / rolling over
Monthly
▼ Weak / rolling over
Moving Averages
50-day$57.41 ↓
100-day$55.92 ↓
200-day$49.20 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading45.5 · Neutral
Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateImproving
Histogram+0.188
Improving — MACD crossed above its signal line but still below zero. Histogram expanding.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width42% · 16.4%
Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol0.59 · Distribution
Rel volume1.12×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol108%
Heavy vol up / down1 / 1
Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.
- Pocket pivot 7 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
- 1 heavy-volume up day vs 1 down in the last 20 sessions.
Support & Resistance
R · $54.22swing level
R · $61.12swing level
R · $63.67swing level
Price · $52.62now
S · $49.21swing level
S · $46.58swing level
S · $39.02swing level
Fibonacci · Uptrend swing
23.6%$58.17
38.2%$53.78
50.0%$50.23
61.8%$46.67
78.6%$41.61
Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.
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Daily downtrendWeekly downtrendMonthly downtrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume distribution
Want this read in a legend's voice?
Ask a Legend about KMX
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (74/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.
Council consensus:
7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Avoid
C
Trend-template read: fails Price > 50-day MA.
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $52.62, MA150 $50.84, MA200 $49.20
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $50.84 vs MA200 $49.20
Failing evidence
1.5 Price > 50-day MAPrice $52.62 vs MA50 $57.41
2. ROE ≥ 17%ROE 3.7%
O'Neil
Watch
D
CANSLIM read: 3/8 pass; improvement is still needed.
Passing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+285.3% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 83
Failing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev -1.8% | ROE 3.7%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high19.4% below high | RS line new high: False
Weinstein
Watch
C
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $52.62 vs MA200 $49.20
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.12x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
dennis
Watch
C
Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $49.05
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $2.37 (4.51% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
zanger
Avoid
C
Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $60.51-$63.14; trail the rest
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyWyckoff SOS is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
zweig
Watch
B
Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+285.3% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 31.3x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Monetary conditions: don't fight the FedFed series stored but too thin to read direction
Livermore
Watch
B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$52.62
Relative strengthRS 83
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.12x
Darvas
Watch
B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
partialConsolidating within the box (13.4% from 52W high) — patience until it approaches the prior high.
Passing evidence
Price$52.62
Relative strengthRS 83
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.12x
Wyckoff
Watch
B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
mediumSign of Strength — breakout above trading range on expanding volume. Accumulation phase complete, markup beginning. RS 83.
Passing evidence
Price$52.62
Relative strengthRS 83
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.12x
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▼ Falling
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net +0
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B
4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
+285%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
-2%
Gross margin ≥30%
10%
ROE ≥17%
4%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
83
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-19.4%
Method Playbook
Trade it like Darvas
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Darvas B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the top of the active Darvas box near the high as the mechanical breakout boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Require price to clear the box top with volume confirmation; movement inside the box remains observation, not a trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Start below the active box support or the canonical structural stop that proves the breakout failed.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: As higher boxes form, raise the stop beneath the newest confirmed box floor; the stop moves up only.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit when price breaks the active box floor or decisively falls back through the breakout structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Pattern Analysis (historical)
Wyckoff SOS
Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 15% (n=225) · source bars 2024-11-01–2026-10-26 · avg +0.3% per setup (+0.04R)
⚠ Volatility widening into breakout
⚠ 3rd-stage base
74
setup score
RS Score
83
Trend template
7/8
CANSLIM
76.2* (B)
range low: 37.715
range high: 55.791
range pct: 0.479
sos thrust: 0.014
sos vol ratio: 1.838
sos bars ago: 0
near lps: ✓
validation reason: valid generic setup
multi tf evaluated: ✓
multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup?
Wyckoff SOS · schematic
SOS: breakout above range_high=55.79, thrust=1.4%, vol=1.8x avg, lps=near, 0 bars ago | Strong trend (7/8) | Top RS (83) | High-confidence pattern (75%) | Volume surging | Stage 2 | Readiness 88/100 (watch) | CANSLIM 76.2 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; 3rd-stage base
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
5/7
universals met
- Clear of earnings — not met in -28 days — event risk
- A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 65 — middling
- Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
- Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- Volume confirms — met 2.8× average
Minervini Trend Template
7/8Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$52.62 vs SMA150 $50.84 / SMA200 $49.20
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $50.84 vs SMA200 $49.20
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +1.31 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $57.41
Price above SMA 50
$52.62 vs SMA50 $57.41
30%+ above 52-week low
+73.9% from $30.26
Within 25% of 52-week high
-19.4% from $65.28
RS score above 70
RS 83
Fundamentals
52W Range
64%
Mkt Cap SEC
7.5B
EPS QoQ
+285%
Rev YoY
-2%
ROE
4%
Gross Margin
10%
D/E
3.06
EPS TTM
$1.68
P/E TTM
31.3x
Float
142M
Insider
No Buy
Company
Company profile
CarMax Inc
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B
76.2* CANSLIM
* disqualified on M
C · Curr. EPS
100
A · Annual EPS
56
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
85
L · Leader RS
83
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
7/8
W. RS
84
W. Support
$35.17
W. Resist
$65.28
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
0
Confirmation
Neutral
Scan History
Sep 29
Wyckoff SOS
74
Sep 29
Wyckoff SOS
73
-11.2%
Sep 16
Trend Only
✓ Gate
76
-10.5%
Aug 11
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
89
-9.6%
Aug 10
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
86
-10.5%
Aug 07
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
55
-9.6%
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