Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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KMX · CarMax Inc

$60.52 +0.38% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 82/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 82, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

2 independent risk warnings also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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$KMX

CarMax Inc

CarMax Inc is a mid-cap Specialty Stores company in the Retail Trade sector with a market cap of $9B.

Retail Trade Specialty Stores stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 3+
$60.52 latest close
Verdict · setup score 82/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 82, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Tuesday, September 29, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

KMX+0.38%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. +0.98 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.38% From the open+0.03% Range position64% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $60.52 +0.4% Sep 10 close
52W High $65.28 7.3% below high
Wks Since High 2w
Base Depth 6.1% 9.6% today
RS Rank 66 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $58.27
Avg Vol 2,198,264
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.68×
More stats
52W Low $30.26
Tight Wks 0
Base B3
SMA 200 $46.68
RS Line vs High -14.3%
RS Line Slope +3.4% ▲
Group Rank #11/58
ADR% 2.9%
ATR(14) $1.68 (2.8%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 1.40
A/D Days 18A / 18D
A/D Rating C
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Earnings in 17d
Position in 52-week range 86thpercentile of the 52-week range
$30.26low
$65.28high

KMX Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$KMX · $60.52 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
75
/ 100
Technicals 75/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$58.27 ↑
100-day$50.95 ↑
200-day$46.68 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading50.9 · Neutral

Neutral — momentum is balanced between buyers and sellers.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.403

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width40% · 11.6%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.4 · Neutral
Rel volume0.68×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $61.12swing level
R · $65.2852-week high
Price · $60.52now
S · $57.25swing level
S · $56.22swing level
S · $49.37swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$58.17
38.2%$53.78
50.0%$50.23
61.8%$46.67
78.6%$41.61

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about KMX
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 7/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $60.52, MA150 $48.25, MA200 $46.68
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $48.25 vs MA200 $46.68
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
2. ROE ≥ 17%From SEPA scan
7/10 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high7.3% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.78%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 73
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
2/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein B

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $60.52 vs MA200 $46.68
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.68x
6/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$60.52
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.68x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$60.52
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.68x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$60.52
Relative strengthRS 73
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.68x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Doji — Open and close nearly equal — indecision. After a strong move it can signal a pause or pending reversal; wait for confirmation.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
88RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +7 C
A: 18 D: 11 Net: +765 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY -2%
Gross margin ≥30%
ROE ≥17%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 73
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -7.3%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish near confirmation
90% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~59.12 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~52.95. A push back above 61.00 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 65.28 invalidates it.

Confirms below 59.12
Invalidates at 65.28
Left Shoulder 61.15
Head 65.28
Right Shoulder 61.00
Neckline 59.12
Target 52.95

LS 61.15 / head 65.28 / RS 61.00, neckline ~59.12, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

82 setup score
RS Score 73
Trend template 8/8
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 66 — middling
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met in 17 days — size down
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.7× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $60.52 vs SMA150 $48.25 / SMA200 $46.68
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $48.25 vs SMA200 $46.68
SMA 200 trending up Slope +2.37 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $58.27
Price above SMA 50 $60.52 vs SMA50 $58.27
30%+ above 52-week low +100.0% from $30.26
Within 25% of 52-week high -7.3% from $65.28
RS score above 70 RS 73

Fundamentals

52W Range
86%
Mkt Cap SEC
8.6B
Rev YoY
-2%
EPS TTM
$1.68
P/E TTM
36.0x
Float
142M

Company

Company profile
CarMax Inc
KMX · NYSE · Retail Trade · Specialty Stores

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
90
W. Support
$35.17
W. Resist
$65.28
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 10: 80 (Trend Only)Sep 10: 81 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 80 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 80 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 81 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 82 (Trend Only)82
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
82
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
81
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
80
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
80
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
81 0.0%
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
80 0.0%

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