Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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PM · Philip Morris International Inc

$201.87 +1.20% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Wyckoff SOS · Setup Score 55/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$PM

Philip Morris International Inc

Philip Morris International Inc is a mega-cap Tobacco company in the Consumer Non-Durables sector with a market cap of $315B.

Consumer Non-Durables Tobacco stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$201.87 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift (bearish)
Support 163.13–163.70 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 194.26–195.49 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 184.00–184.36 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 171.75–172.40 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 190.98–191.43 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 55/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$200AugSepOct$202

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85) — RS rank 69
  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +16.0% QoQ
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +16.0% QoQ
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 69
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 1.11x
  • Weinstein Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation) — Tightening weekly range confirms base
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.
64 Neutral
Legend Score · rates the stock Neutral (64/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 69
  • Trend Template (25%) 88
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 69
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 40

RS rank 69: above-average strength. Trend template 7/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 69: mild accumulation. EPS up +0% — growing, but below the 25% leadership bar. Quality 40: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 63, leverage 20). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Before market open Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

Reported EPS 2.36 vs estimate 2.3599 · surprise +0.0%

PM+1.20%
Sector proxy · XLP-0.34%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. PM was +1.54 points vs XLP. +0.49 points vs SPY.

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+1.20% From the open+1.20% Range position55% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (+1.11%) SMH confirmationConfirming (+2.74%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $201.87 +1.2% Oct 26 close
52W High $210.45 4.1% below high
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth 12.6%
RS Rank 32 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $192.76
Avg Vol 4,552,475
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 1.11× 1.78× on up days
More stats
52W Low $142.11
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $181.09
RS Line vs High -4.9%
RS Line Slope +4.0% ▲
Group Rank #41/66
ADR% 2.5%
ATR(14) $5.70 (2.8%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 19A / 11D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 15d
Earnings past
Position in 52-week range 87thpercentile of the 52-week range
$142.11low
$210.45high

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$PM · $201.87 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
89
/ 100
Technicals 89/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$192.76 ↑
100-day$188.89 ↑
200-day$181.09 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading56.8 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.044

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width70% · 11.6%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.78 · Accumulation
Rel volume1.11×
Pocket pivots · 10d0
5d vs 50d vol109%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 1

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is expanding versus its baseline.

  • 1 heavy-volume down day vs 0 up in the last 20 sessions — supply is showing.

Support & Resistance

R · $207.76swing level
R · $210.4552-week high
Price · $201.87now
S · $185.03swing level
S · $181.01swing level
S · $175.76swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6% ◄ price here$200.58
38.2%$194.47
50.0%$189.53
61.8%$184.59
78.6%$177.56

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about PM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (55/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch C Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialEnter on break of $193.98 pivot with stop at $183.19 (risk 5.6%). SEPA Grade B (4/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $201.87, MA150 $182.62, MA200 $181.09
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $182.62 vs MA200 $181.09
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 69
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+16.0% QoQ
9/13 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

partialRule check says AVOID (3/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +7.3% | ROE 575.4%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high4.1% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+16.0% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 69
3/8 checks
Weinstein Watch C Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $201.87 vs MA200 $181.09
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.11x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $184.00
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $5.14 (2.55% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/8 checks
zanger Avoid C Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $232.15-$242.24; trail the rest
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyWyckoff SOS is not one of Zanger's six
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
4/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying; Price strength (RS ≥ 70) — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+16.0% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 27.8x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 69 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
4/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$201.87
Distance from 52-week high4.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 69
Volume vs average1.11x
3/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (4.1% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$201.87
Distance from 52-week high4.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 69
Volume vs average1.11x
3/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

mediumSign of Strength — breakout above trading range on expanding volume. Accumulation phase complete, markup beginning. RS 69.

Passing evidence
Price$201.87
Distance from 52-week high4.1% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 69
Volume vs average1.11x
3/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Latest candle: Bullish Engulfing — Today's up candle fully engulfs yesterday's down candle — a classic bullish reversal, strongest after a pullback to support.

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
118RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +2 A+
A: 16 D: 14 Net: +265 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +16%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +7%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 67%
✓ ROE ≥17% 575%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 69
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -4.1%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Wyckoff SOS Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 15% (n=225) · source bars 2024-11-01–2026-10-26 · avg +0.3% per setup (+0.04R) ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 69
Trend template 7/8
CANSLIM 76.8* (B)
range low: 174.989 range high: 193.79 range pct: 0.107 sos thrust: 0.032 sos vol ratio: 1.592 sos bars ago: 7 near lps: ✓ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Wyckoff SOS · schematic

SOS: breakout above range_high=193.79, thrust=3.2%, vol=1.6x avg, lps=near, 7 bars ago | Strong trend (7/8) | Good RS (69) | High-confidence pattern (85%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Candle confirmation (bullish) | Readiness 62/100 (early) | CANSLIM 76.8 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Not actionable yet

Darvas Box ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 69
Trend template 7/8
CANSLIM 75.8* (B)
box top: 210.45 box bottom: 184.0 box height pct: 0.144 vol ratio: 1.107 is breakout: ✗ pct from 52w high: 0.0 validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: within 15% of 52-week high (Darvas box territory)
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Darvas Box · schematic

Box: top=210.45, bottom=184.00, height=14.4%, breakout=no, vol_ratio=1.1x, 0% from 52w high | Strong trend (7/8) | Good RS (69) | Moderate pattern (65%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Candle confirmation (bullish) | Readiness 57/100 (early) | CANSLIM 75.8 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Not actionable yet

Cup & Handle ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 69
Trend template 7/8
CANSLIM 75.6* (B)
20.2% cup depth 9.4% handle rims outside 10% ideal
  • Cup 20.2% deep from a $190.11 left rim to a $151.63 low
  • Rims 10.7% apart (accepted, but outside the 10% ideal)
  • Handle pulled back 9.4% over 2 bars from $203.20 to $184.00
  • Handle sits in the upper half of the cup
  • Rounded U-shaped bottom
  • Pivot $210.45 fixed at the handle high
  • No close above the pivot yet
  • Handle volume did not dry up
Raw detector evidence · confidence is a heuristic match score, not a probability depth=20.2%, handle_pb=9.4%, lips_diff=10.7%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=no, orderly=yes | Strong trend (7/8) | Good RS (69) | Moderate pattern (63%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Candle confirmation (bullish) | Readiness 56/100 (early) | CANSLIM 75.6 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Not actionable yet setup_key=cup_handle|2026-04-01|2026-10-15|210.45 · cup_handle/2026-10-03 anchors={"bottom": {"bar": 66, "bars_ago": 143, "date": "2026-04-01", "price": 151.63}, "breakout": null, "handle_high": {"bar": 204, "bars_ago": 5, "date": "2026-10-19", "price": 203.2}, "handle_low": {"bar": 206, "bars_ago": 3, "date": "2026-10-21", "price": 184.0}, "left_lip": {"bar": 43, "bars_ago": 166, "date": "2026-02-27", "price": 190.11}, "right_lip": {"bar": 202, "bars_ago": 7, "date": "2026-10-15", "price": 210.45}}
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
cup handle Cup & Handle · schematic

depth=20.2%, handle_pb=9.4%, lips_diff=10.7%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=no, orderly=yes | Strong trend (7/8) | Good RS (69) | Moderate pattern (63%) | Accumulation (1.8× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Candle confirmation (bullish) | Readiness 56/100 (early) | CANSLIM 75.6 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

4/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 32 — laggard
  • Clear of earnings — not met in -6 days — event risk
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.1× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $201.87 vs SMA150 $182.62 / SMA200 $181.09
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $182.62 vs SMA200 $181.09
SMA 200 trending up Slope +3.93 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $192.76
Price above SMA 50 $201.87 vs SMA50 $192.76
30%+ above 52-week low +42.1% from $142.11
Within 25% of 52-week high -4.1% from $210.45
RS score above 70 RS 69

Fundamentals

52W Range
87%
Mkt Cap SEC
314.6B
EPS QoQ
+16%
Rev YoY
+7%
ROE
575%
Gross Margin
67%
D/E
80.98
EPS TTM
$7.26
P/E TTM
27.8x
Float
1.6B
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Philip Morris International Inc
PM · NYSE · Consumer Non-Durables · Tobacco
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 76.8* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
79
A · Annual EPS
100
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
85
L · Leader RS
69
I · Inst. Spons.
96
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
72
W. Support
$160.67
W. Resist
$210.45
W. Patterns
Cup & Handle
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 79 (Wyckoff SOS)Oct 23: 79 (Descending Triangle)Oct 26: 55 (Cup & Handle)Oct 27: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)55
Oct 27
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55
Oct 26
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
55 0.0%
Oct 23
Descending Triangle ✓ Gate
79 +1.2%
Oct 23
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
79 +1.2%

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