Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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SJM · The J.M. Smucker Company

$121.07 -1.82% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Wyckoff SOS · Setup Score 55/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$SJM

The J.M. Smucker Company

The J.M. Smucker Company is a large-cap Food: Specialty/Candy company in the Consumer Non-Durables sector with a market cap of $13B.

Consumer Non-Durables Food: Specialty/Candy stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$121.07 latest close
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Verdict · setup score 55/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

SJM-1.82%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. -1.22 points vs SPY.

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-1.82% From the open-2.13% Range position6% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationConfirming (-1.06%) SMH confirmationConfirming (-2.44%)
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $121.07 -1.8% Sep 10 close
52W High $135.89 10.9% below high
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth 11.1%
RS Rank 21 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $119.98
Avg Vol 1,404,653
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.97×
More stats
52W Low $88.25
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $107.09
RS Line vs High -7.8%
RS Line Slope +3.0% ▲
Group Rank #52/58
ADR% 2.4%
ATR(14) $3.55 (2.9%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 0.57
A/D Days 20A / 10D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Position in 52-week range 69thpercentile of the 52-week range
$88.25low
$135.89high

SJM Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$SJM · $121.07 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
46
/ 100
Technicals 46/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▬ Sideways / consolidating

Moving Averages

50-day$119.98 ↑
100-day$111.92 ↑
200-day$107.09 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading43.1 · Bearish

Bearish momentum — sellers in control.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-1.114

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width26% · 14.9%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol0.57 · Distribution
Rel volume0.97×

Distribution — volume is concentrated on down days; sellers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $127.64swing level
R · $135.8952-week high
Price · $121.07now
S · $115.73swing level
S · $107.28swing level
S · $104.27swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$124.65
38.2%$117.69
50.0%$112.07
61.8%$106.45
78.6%$98.44

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Weekly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume distributionRS 30 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about SJM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 8/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $121.07, MA150 $109.05, MA200 $107.09
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $109.05 vs MA200 $107.09
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 30
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
8/12 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high10.9% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.93%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%CANSLIM grade N/A
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 30
2/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $121.07 vs MA200 $107.09
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.97x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 30
4/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$121.07
Distance from 52-week high10.9% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 30
Volume vs average0.97x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$121.07
Distance from 52-week high10.9% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 30
Volume vs average0.97x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$121.07
Distance from 52-week high10.9% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 30
Volume vs average0.97x
3/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

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RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
95RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net -2 A+
A: 13 D: 15 Net: -265 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ —
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY —
✗ Gross margin ≥30% —
✗ ROE ≥17% —
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 30
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -10.9%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Darvas EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Darvas B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the top of the active Darvas box near the high as the mechanical breakout boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require price to clear the box top with volume confirmation; movement inside the box remains observation, not a trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the active box support or the canonical structural stop that proves the breakout failed.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: As higher boxes form, raise the stop beneath the newest confirmed box floor; the stop moves up only.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price breaks the active box floor or decisively falls back through the breakout structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Wyckoff SOS Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 27% (n=71) · source bars 2025-03-17–2026-09-04 · avg +4.1% per setup (+0.52R) ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 30
Trend template 7/8
CANSLIM — (N/A)
range low: 94.212 range high: 115.234 range pct: 0.223 sos thrust: 0.136 sos vol ratio: 1.576 sos bars ago: 10 near lps: ✓ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Wyckoff SOS · schematic

SOS: breakout above range_high=115.23, thrust=13.6%, vol=1.6x avg, lps=near, 10 bars ago | Strong trend (7/8) | High-confidence pattern (85%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 64/100 (early) | CANSLIM N/A (N/A) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Not actionable yet

Ask a Legend ▾
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 21 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $121.07 vs SMA150 $109.05 / SMA200 $107.09
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $109.05 vs SMA200 $107.09
SMA 200 trending up Slope +2.01 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $119.98
Price above SMA 50 $121.07 vs SMA50 $119.98
30%+ above 52-week low +37.2% from $88.25
Within 25% of 52-week high -10.9% from $135.89
RS score above 70 RS 30

Fundamentals

52W Range
69%
Mkt Cap SEC
12.9B
EPS TTM
$-1.30
Float
107M

Company

Company profile
The J.M. Smucker Company
SJM · NYSE · Consumer Non-Durables · Food: Specialty/Candy
Track all markets on TradingView
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
N/A — CANSLIM
C · Curr. EPS
40
A · Annual EPS
100
N · New Highs
40
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
30
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
7/8
W. RS
68
W. Support
$88.25
W. Resist
$135.89
W. Patterns
Base Breakout
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 44 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 10: 44 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 10: 45 (Wyckoff SOS)Sep 11: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)55
Sep 11
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55
Sep 10
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
45 0.0%
Sep 10
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
44 0.0%
Sep 09
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
44 -1.8%

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