Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 65, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Simple research view
SJM · The J.M. Smucker Company
$128.64 -1.03% Oct 26 close
Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.
$SJM
The J.M. Smucker CompanyThe J.M. Smucker Company is a large-cap Food: Specialty/Candy company in the Consumer Non-Durables sector with a market cap of $14B.
Market Structure
Trend structure: downtrend
Latest event: bos
(bullish)
Support
98.64–98.96
· 4 touches · moderate
Support
105.35–106.04
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
104.27–104.81
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
99.42–100.19
· 3 touches · moderate
Support
119.37–119.54
· 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 65/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session
Stand aside — setup invalidated
Setup score 65, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.
Recent price action · daily
What would change this verdict
What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:
- Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +16.4% QoQ
- Minervini 2. ROE ≥ 17% — ROE -2.4%
- O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +16.4% QoQ
- O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 75
- Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 1.04x
- Dennis S1: 20-day Donchian breakout
Minority view — the council disagrees here
- Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
- O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
- Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
67
Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock
Strong (67/100) — held back by eps growth
Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.
- Relative Strength (25%) 76
- Trend Template (25%) 100
- Institutional Footprint (20%) 63
- EPS Growth (15%) 30
- Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 38
RS rank 75: above-average strength. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 63: mild accumulation. EPS growth reads +0%, but trailing earnings are negative — that percentage is an artifact, capped. Quality 38: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 40, leverage 60). Updated 2026-10-27.
Earnings
Normal technical setup
Next earnings
Monday, November 23, 2026
Report time not confirmed by the source
Deterministic evidence
SJM-1.03%
Sector proxy · XLP-0.34%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Session internals Weak
Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.
Vs prior close-1.03%
From the open-0.69%
Range position28%
GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%)
SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.
- QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
More stats
52W Low
$88.25
Tight Wks
0
Base
B2
SMA 200
$110.68
RS Line vs High
-3.7%
RS Line Slope
+6.4% ▲
Group Rank
#41/66
ADR%
2.2%
ATR(14)
$3.10 (2.4%)
Vol Pace (live)
N/A
A/D Days
15A / 9D
A/D Rating
A+
VDU Bars
0/10 d
Power Trend
3d
Earnings
in 27d
SJM Chart
Interactive price, volume, RS, RSI, and MACD charts are available after sign in.
Technical Analysis Report Card
$SJM · $128.64 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
89
/ 100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.
Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly
Daily
▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly
▲ Uptrend
Monthly
▲ Uptrend
Moving Averages
50-day$123.71 ↑
100-day$119.25 ↑
200-day$110.68 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)
RSI (14)
Reading59.2 · Bullish
Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.
MACD (12/26/9)
StateBullish
Histogram+1.077
Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.
Bollinger Bands (20,2)
%B / Width77% · 17.9%
Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.
Volume · Buyer vs Seller
Up/Down vol1.12 · Neutral
Rel volume1.04×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol78%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0
Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.
- Pocket pivot 6 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.
Support & Resistance
R · $135.8952-week high
Price · $128.64now
S · $119.37swing level
S · $115.60swing level
S · $107.28swing level
Fibonacci · Uptrend swing
23.6%$126.41
38.2%$120.54
50.0%$115.80
61.8%$111.06
78.6%$104.31
Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.
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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice?
Ask a Legend about SJM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts
6 methodology checks
Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (65/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.
Council consensus:
8 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini
Watch
C
Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
partialEnter on break of $129.99 pivot with stop at $126.37 (risk 2.8%). SEPA Grade C (3/7).
Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $128.64, MA150 $112.02, MA200 $110.68
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $112.02 vs MA200 $110.68
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+16.4% QoQ
2. ROE ≥ 17%ROE -2.4%
O'Neil
Avoid
D
CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
partialRule check says AVOID (2/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high5.3% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.41%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+16.4% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 75
Weinstein
Watch
B
Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.
Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $128.64 vs MA200 $110.68
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.04x
dennis
Watch
C
Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $115.11
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $3.05 (2.37% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
zanger
Watch
B
Zanger read: the structure is fine but the breakout quality is not there yet — wait for 150%+ volume on the break.
mediumZanger would buy the Cup & Handle breakout only with 150-200% volume, never more than 5% above the breakout point, with a 2-3% stop set at entry. His edge over O'Neil is the exit plan: sell 20-30% of the position at +15-20%, then trail the rest on the 10/20-day moving average.
Passing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyCup & Handle
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Failing evidence
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
zweig
Watch
D
Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+16.4% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 75 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Monetary conditions: don't fight the FedFed series stored but too thin to read direction
Livermore
Watch
B
Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$128.64
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.04x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
Darvas
Watch
B
Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
mediumBuilding the top of the box (5.3% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.
Passing evidence
Price$128.64
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.04x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
Wyckoff
Watch
B
Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$128.64
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.04x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through
No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?
RS Line vs SPY
52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH
▲ Rising
Accumulation / Distribution
last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol
Net -2
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C
3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
+16%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY
+4%
Gross margin ≥30%
34%
ROE ≥17%
-2%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership)
75
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein)
Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high
-5.3%
Method Playbook
Trade it like Minervini
EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Use the tight base's structural pivot; the setup must retain Trend Template leadership into the trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Require a decisive move through the pivot with volume confirmation, and do not initiate more than 5% above it.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Start at the tighter structural invalidation; the initial loss limit must not exceed roughly 7–8% from entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-basedPublished-method rule: Hold the initial stop until the trade proves itself; near +1R move to breakeven, then trail a higher low or rising 10/21-day average once well extended.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro levelPublished-method rule: Exit when the structural stop or a meaningful higher-low/short-term trend violation fires; never widen the stop.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →
Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)
Head & Shoulders
bearish
forming
75%
built
Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~123.44 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~110.99. A push back above 124.66 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 135.89 invalidates it.
Confirms below
123.44
Invalidates at
135.89
Left Shoulder
127.64
Head
135.89
Right Shoulder
124.66
Neckline
123.44
Target
110.99
LS 127.64 / head 135.89 / RS 124.66, neckline ~123.44, vol_fading=yes
VCP
bullish
forming
75%
built
Possible VCP forming — contractions 15% → 5%. Watch for a final tighter contraction with volume drying up, then a move through ~134.00 on strong volume. A break below ~115.11 invalidates the base.
Pivot Watch
4.00% away
Tightness / volume
Expanding · No VDU
Recent-pace band
2–7 sessions
Confirms above
134.00
Invalidates at
115.11
Pivot
134.00
Support
127.84
Base High
135.89
2 tightening contractions (15% → 5%), depth 15%, vol_dry=yes, near_pivot=yes
Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.
Pattern Analysis
65
setup score
RS Score
75
Trend template
8/8 ✓
CANSLIM
68.5* (B)
12.2% cup depth
2.2% handle
3 sessions since breakout
- Cup 12.2% deep from a $134.90 left rim to a $118.46 low
- Rims 5.0% apart (ideal, within 10%)
- Handle pulled back 2.2% over 1 bar from $129.86 to $127.01
- Handle sits in the upper half of the cup
- Rounded U-shaped bottom
- Pivot $129.86 fixed at the handle high
- Breakout: 3 bars since the first close above the pivot
- Volume dried up in the handle
Raw detector evidence · confidence is a heuristic match score, not a probability
depth=12.2%, handle_pb=2.2%, lips_diff=5.0%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (75) | High-confidence pattern (82%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 74/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 68.5 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Negative earnings (CANSLIM C fail)
setup_key=cup_handle|2026-09-30|2026-10-19|129.86 · cup_handle/2026-10-03
anchors={"bottom": {"bar": 36, "bars_ago": 18, "date": "2026-09-30", "price": 118.46}, "breakout": {"bar": 52, "bars_ago": 2, "date": "2026-10-22", "price": 133.39}, "handle_high": {"bar": 50, "bars_ago": 4, "date": "2026-10-20", "price": 129.86}, "handle_low": {"bar": 51, "bars_ago": 3, "date": "2026-10-21", "price": 127.01}, "left_lip": {"bar": 12, "bars_ago": 42, "date": "2026-08-26", "price": 134.902}, "right_lip": {"bar": 49, "bars_ago": 5, "date": "2026-10-19", "price": 128.2}}
Why This Setup?
Cup & Handle · schematic
depth=12.2%, handle_pb=2.2%, lips_diff=5.0%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (75) | High-confidence pattern (82%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 74/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 68.5 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Negative earnings (CANSLIM C fail)
The Universal Edge Check · context only
What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.
5/7
universals met
- A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 47 — laggard
- Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
- Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- Clear of earnings — met in 27 days
- In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
- Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
- Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Minervini Trend Template
8/8 ✓Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.
Price above SMA 150 & 200
$128.64 vs SMA150 $112.02 / SMA200 $110.68
SMA 150 above SMA 200
SMA150 $112.02 vs SMA200 $110.68
SMA 200 trending up
Slope +2.40 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200
SMA50 $123.71
Price above SMA 50
$128.64 vs SMA50 $123.71
30%+ above 52-week low
+45.8% from $88.25
Within 25% of 52-week high
-5.3% from $135.89
RS score above 70
RS 75
Fundamentals
52W Range
85%
Mkt Cap SEC
13.7B
EPS QoQ
+16%
Rev YoY
+4%
ROE
-2%
Gross Margin
34%
D/E
1.26
EPS TTM
$-1.30
Float
107M
Insider
No Buy
Company
Company profile
The J.M. Smucker Company
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B
68.5* CANSLIM
* disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
40
A · Annual EPS
56
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
75
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30
Weekly Context
Multi-timeframe signals from weekly barsW. Trend
8/8
W. RS
78
W. Support
$94.78
W. Resist
$135.89
Weekly Structure
Trend
Neutral
Tight Weeks
0
Confirmation
Neutral
Scan History
20× streakOct 27
Cup & Handle
✓ Gate
65
Oct 26
Trend Only
✓ Gate
82
0.0%
Oct 23
Trend Only
✓ Gate
82
-1.0%
Oct 23
Cup (no handle)
✓ Gate
65
-1.0%
Latest News
Headlines for SJMLoading headlines…
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