Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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SJM · The J.M. Smucker Company

$128.64 -1.03% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Cup & Handle · Setup Score 65/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 65, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

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$SJM

The J.M. Smucker Company

The J.M. Smucker Company is a large-cap Food: Specialty/Candy company in the Consumer Non-Durables sector with a market cap of $14B.

Consumer Non-Durables Food: Specialty/Candy stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 2
$128.64 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: downtrend
Latest event: bos (bullish)
Support 98.64–98.96 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 105.35–106.04 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 104.27–104.81 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 99.42–100.19 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 119.37–119.54 · 3 touches · moderate
Join to Watchlist $SJM Share card
Verdict · setup score 65/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 65, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart
Recent price action · daily
$120$130AugSepOct$129

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — +16.4% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. ROE ≥ 17% — ROE -2.4%
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — +16.4% QoQ
  • O'Neil L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership) — RS rank 75
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 1.04x
  • Dennis S1: 20-day Donchian breakout
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
67 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (67/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 76
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 63
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 38

RS rank 75: above-average strength. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 63: mild accumulation. EPS growth reads +0%, but trailing earnings are negative — that percentage is an artifact, capped. Quality 38: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 40, leverage 60). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

Next earnings Monday, November 23, 2026 Report time not confirmed by the source

Deterministic evidence

SJM-1.03%
Sector proxy · XLP-0.34%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. SJM was -0.69 points vs XLP. -1.74 points vs SPY.

Session internals Weak

Rule: closed flat-to-down and in the bottom third of the range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-1.03% From the open-0.69% Range position28% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%) SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $128.64 -1.0% Oct 26 close
52W High $135.89 5.3% below high
Wks Since High 8w
Base Depth 15.3%
RS Rank 47 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $123.71
Avg Vol 1,283,322
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 1.04× 1.12× on up days
More stats
52W Low $88.25
Tight Wks 0
Base B2
SMA 200 $110.68
RS Line vs High -3.7%
RS Line Slope +6.4% ▲
Group Rank #41/66
ADR% 2.2%
ATR(14) $3.10 (2.4%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 15A / 9D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 3d
Earnings in 27d
Position in 52-week range 85thpercentile of the 52-week range
$88.25low
$135.89high

SJM Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$SJM · $128.64 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
89
/ 100
Technicals 89/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▬ Sideways / consolidating
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$123.71 ↑
100-day$119.25 ↑
200-day$110.68 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading59.2 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+1.077

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width77% · 17.9%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.12 · Neutral
Rel volume1.04×
Pocket pivots · 10d1
5d vs 50d vol78%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 6 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $135.8952-week high
Price · $128.64now
S · $119.37swing level
S · $115.60swing level
S · $107.28swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$126.41
38.2%$120.54
50.0%$115.80
61.8%$111.06
78.6%$104.31

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.
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Weekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullish
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about SJM
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (65/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 8 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch C Trend-template read: 9/13 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialEnter on break of $129.99 pivot with stop at $126.37 (risk 2.8%). SEPA Grade C (3/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $128.64, MA150 $112.02, MA200 $110.68
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $112.02 vs MA200 $110.68
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%+16.4% QoQ
2. ROE ≥ 17%ROE -2.4%
9/13 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

partialRule check says AVOID (2/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high5.3% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.41%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%+16.4% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 75
2/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Weinstein Watch B Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $128.64 vs MA200 $110.68
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 1.04x
6/7 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $115.11
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $3.05 (2.37% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zanger Watch B Zanger read: the structure is fine but the breakout quality is not there yet — wait for 150%+ volume on the break.

mediumZanger would buy the Cup & Handle breakout only with 150-200% volume, never more than 5% above the breakout point, with a 2-3% stop set at entry. His edge over O'Neil is the exit plan: sell 20-30% of the position at +15-20%, then trail the rest on the 10/20-day moving average.

Passing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyCup & Handle
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Measured as passing
Failing evidence
Breakout volume 1.5-2.0x averageNot confirmed
5/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)+16.4% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 75 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
Monetary conditions: don't fight the FedFed series stored but too thin to read direction
4/8 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$128.64
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.04x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (5.3% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$128.64
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.04x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$128.64
Relative strengthRS 75
Failing evidence
Volume vs average1.04x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volumePrice hasn't cleared the pivot yet — confirmation pending
4/6 checks
Method → Playbook → Ask →
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

Unlock Base & Breakout Tracking
RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
110RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net -2 A+
A: 12 D: 14 Net: -265 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 3/7 met
C 3/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ +16%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +4%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 34%
✗ ROE ≥17% -2%
✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 75
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -5.3%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Dennis EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Dennis C · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the 20-day channel high (System 1) or 55-day channel high (System 2) as the breakout trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Buy the breakout print mechanically — no prediction, no hesitation, no chasing below the channel high.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the stop at 2N (N = 20-day ATR) below entry, set before the trade and never moved except up on winners.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Add at 0.5N intervals up to 4 units; trail the stop beneath each new add level, never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit System 1 at the 10-day low and System 2 at the 20-day low — the exit is part of the system, not a decision.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~123.44 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~110.99. A push back above 124.66 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 135.89 invalidates it.

Confirms below 123.44
Invalidates at 135.89
Left Shoulder 127.64
Head 135.89
Right Shoulder 124.66
Neckline 123.44
Target 110.99

LS 127.64 / head 135.89 / RS 124.66, neckline ~123.44, vol_fading=yes

VCP bullish forming
75% built

Possible VCP forming — contractions 15% → 5%. Watch for a final tighter contraction with volume drying up, then a move through ~134.00 on strong volume. A break below ~115.11 invalidates the base.

Pivot Watch 4.00% away
Tightness / volume Expanding · No VDU
Recent-pace band 2–7 sessions
Confirms above 134.00
Invalidates at 115.11
Pivot 134.00
Support 127.84
Base High 135.89

2 tightening contractions (15% → 5%), depth 15%, vol_dry=yes, near_pivot=yes

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Cup & Handle Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 16% (n=376) · source bars 2024-11-01–2026-10-26 · avg +0.3% per setup (+0.03R) ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout ⚠ Negative earnings (CANSLIM C fail)
65 setup score
RS Score 75
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 68.5* (B)
12.2% cup depth 2.2% handle 3 sessions since breakout
  • Cup 12.2% deep from a $134.90 left rim to a $118.46 low
  • Rims 5.0% apart (ideal, within 10%)
  • Handle pulled back 2.2% over 1 bar from $129.86 to $127.01
  • Handle sits in the upper half of the cup
  • Rounded U-shaped bottom
  • Pivot $129.86 fixed at the handle high
  • Breakout: 3 bars since the first close above the pivot
  • Volume dried up in the handle
Raw detector evidence · confidence is a heuristic match score, not a probability depth=12.2%, handle_pb=2.2%, lips_diff=5.0%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (75) | High-confidence pattern (82%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 74/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 68.5 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Negative earnings (CANSLIM C fail) setup_key=cup_handle|2026-09-30|2026-10-19|129.86 · cup_handle/2026-10-03 anchors={"bottom": {"bar": 36, "bars_ago": 18, "date": "2026-09-30", "price": 118.46}, "breakout": {"bar": 52, "bars_ago": 2, "date": "2026-10-22", "price": 133.39}, "handle_high": {"bar": 50, "bars_ago": 4, "date": "2026-10-20", "price": 129.86}, "handle_low": {"bar": 51, "bars_ago": 3, "date": "2026-10-21", "price": 127.01}, "left_lip": {"bar": 12, "bars_ago": 42, "date": "2026-08-26", "price": 134.902}, "right_lip": {"bar": 49, "bars_ago": 5, "date": "2026-10-19", "price": 128.2}}
Why This Setup?
cup handle Cup & Handle · schematic

depth=12.2%, handle_pb=2.2%, lips_diff=5.0%, upper_half=yes, u_shape=yes, near_pivot=yes, orderly=yes | Strong trend (8/8) | Good RS (75) | High-confidence pattern (82%) | Stage 2 | Readiness 74/100 (approaching) | CANSLIM 68.5 (B) | ⚠ Volatility widening into breakout; Negative earnings (CANSLIM C fail)

Ask a Legend ▾
The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

5/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 47 — laggard
  • Volume confirms — partly met 1.0× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Clear of earnings — met in 27 days
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
  • Not chasing (in range) — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $128.64 vs SMA150 $112.02 / SMA200 $110.68
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $112.02 vs SMA200 $110.68
SMA 200 trending up Slope +2.40 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $123.71
Price above SMA 50 $128.64 vs SMA50 $123.71
30%+ above 52-week low +45.8% from $88.25
Within 25% of 52-week high -5.3% from $135.89
RS score above 70 RS 75

Fundamentals

52W Range
85%
Mkt Cap SEC
13.7B
EPS QoQ
+16%
Rev YoY
+4%
ROE
-2%
Gross Margin
34%
D/E
1.26
EPS TTM
$-1.30
Float
107M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
The J.M. Smucker Company
SJM · NYSE · Consumer Non-Durables · Food: Specialty/Candy
Track all markets on TradingView
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 68.5* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
40
A · Annual EPS
56
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
75
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
78
W. Support
$94.78
W. Resist
$135.89
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 65 (Cup (no handle))Oct 23: 82 (Trend Only)Oct 26: 82 (Trend Only)Oct 27: 65 (Cup & Handle)65
Oct 27
Cup & Handle ✓ Gate
65
Oct 26
Trend Only ✓ Gate
82 0.0%
Oct 23
Trend Only ✓ Gate
82 -1.0%
Oct 23
Cup (no handle) ✓ Gate
65 -1.0%

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