Uptrend Under Pressure 100
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 100/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Oct 26 Full briefing →
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MTCH · Match Group, Inc.

$45.21 -1.14% Oct 26 close
Detected setup Wyckoff SOS · Setup Score 55/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Ask about MTCH

Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$MTCH

Match Group, Inc.

Match Group, Inc. is a large-cap Internet Software/Services company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $10B.

Technology Services Internet Software/Services stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$45.21 latest close
Market Structure
Trend structure: range
Latest event: structure_shift (bearish)
Support 36.82–37.02 · 4 touches · moderate
Support 31.88–31.93 · 3 touches · moderate
Support 33.72–33.79 · 3 touches · moderate
Verdict · setup score 55/100 · data Oct 26 close · latest session

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 55, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Recent price action · daily
$40.00$45.00AugSepOct$45.21

What would change this verdict

What needs to turn for this to become buyable — the top failing checks across the legend council:

  • Minervini 2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25% — -18.1% QoQ
  • Minervini 2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY — +0.2% YoY
  • O'Neil C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25% — -18.1% QoQ
  • O'Neil M: Market in confirmed uptrend — Market phase: uptrend_under_pressure
  • Weinstein Volume expansion above average — Volume ratio 0.83x
  • Dennis S1: 20-day Donchian breakout
Minority view — the council disagrees here
  • Minervini: watch Trend-template read: 9/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.
  • O'Neil: avoid CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.
  • Weinstein: watch Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.
71 Strong
Legend Score · rates the stock Strong (71/100) — held back by eps growth

Our proprietary 0-100 rating — the answer to Wall Street's black-box scores. Five pillars, each computed from real scan data, each explained below in plain English.

  • Relative Strength (25%) 87
  • Trend Template (25%) 100
  • Institutional Footprint (20%) 68
  • EPS Growth (15%) 30
  • Quality (SMR-like) (15%) 44

RS rank 86: beating most of the market. Trend template 8/8: price above rising 50/150/200-day lines — textbook uptrend structure. Institutional score 68: mild accumulation. EPS -0% last quarter — no earnings momentum. Quality 44: weak fundamentals (sales growth 30, return on equity 41, leverage 100). Updated 2026-10-27.

Earnings

Pre-earnings setup

Next earnings Monday, November 2, 2026 After market close Exact clock time not supplied by source

Deterministic evidence

MTCH-1.14%
Sector proxy · XLK+1.69%
Broad market · SPY+0.71%
Same completed session window ending 2026-10-26. MTCH was -2.83 points vs XLK. -1.85 points vs SPY.
CatalystPending Stock reactionNegative Sector reactionSupportive Opening surgePending Event riskEarnings-driven

Session internals Mixed

Rule: direction and internals disagree — it met neither the strong nor the weak rule. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close-1.14% From the open-0.75% Range position43% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (+1.11%) SMH confirmationDiverging (+2.74%)
Short-term conviction -2 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
  • A sourced earnings report is still pending inside the risk window; ordinary technical conviction is reduced until it is out.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $45.21 -1.1% Oct 26 close
52W High $46.67 3.1% below high
Wks Since High 0w
Base Depth 4.0%
RS Rank 70 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $41.98
Avg Vol 3,334,022
Rel Vol (Oct 26) 0.83× 1.99× on up days
More stats
52W Low $28.81
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $36.34
RS Line vs High -2.4%
RS Line Slope +12.5% ▲
Group Rank #16/66
ADR% 2.7%
ATR(14) $1.28 (2.8%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
A/D Days 15A / 11D
A/D Rating A
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 13d
Earnings in 6d
Position in 52-week range 92ndpercentile of the 52-week range
$28.81low
$46.67high

MTCH Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MTCH · $45.21 · as of 2026-10-26 · multi-factor read
100
/ 100
Technicals 100/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$41.98 ↑
100-day$39.71 ↑
200-day$36.34 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading62.7 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateBullish
Histogram+0.375

Bullish — MACD above its signal line and above zero. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width77% · 21.9%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.99 · Accumulation
Rel volume0.83×
Pocket pivots · 10d3
5d vs 50d vol113%
Heavy vol up / down0 / 0

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

  • Pocket pivot 4 sessions ago — up-day volume beat every down day of the prior 10 sessions.

Support & Resistance

R · $46.6752-week high
Price · $45.21now
S · $40.11swing level
S · $39.11swing level
S · $37.56swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$43.63
38.2%$41.75
50.0%$40.23
61.8%$38.71
78.6%$36.55

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MTCH
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.
How to read the numbers: the setup score (55/100, in the verdict band) rates this trade setup. Each legend's A–D grade rates the same setup against that legend's own checklist — so a high score next to a C grade is not a contradiction. The setup can be strong without fitting that legend's style. When the council disagrees, the verdict band breaks the tie.

Council consensus: 7 of 9 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Minervini Watch B Trend-template read: 9/12 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

partialEnter on break of $39.91 pivot with stop at $37.99 (risk 4.8%). SEPA Grade B (5/7).

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $45.21, MA150 $38.07, MA200 $36.34
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $38.07 vs MA200 $36.34
Failing evidence
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-18.1% QoQ
2. Revenue growth ≥ 20% YoY+0.2% YoY
9/12 checks
O'Neil Avoid D CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

partialRule check says AVOID (4/8 checks passed) — CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 86
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +0.2% | ROE 17.7%
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-18.1% QoQ
M: Market in confirmed uptrendMarket phase: uptrend_under_pressure
4/8 checks
Weinstein Watch B Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 1 supporting checks need improvement.

mediumClassic Stage 2 advancing phase — strong weekly trend confirms uptrend. This is Weinstein's sweet spot: buy and hold while price remains above the 30-week MA.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $45.21 vs MA200 $36.34
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.83x
6/7 checks
dennis Watch C Turtle read: no Donchian signal. The system stays flat until price takes out the 20-day high.
Passing evidence
No breakdown below the 20-day channel20-day low $39.11
Volatility-unit sizing (1N ≈ 1% of equity)1N = $1.24 (2.74% of price); the Turtles size 1 unit so a 1N move ≈ 1% of equity, making the 2N stop ≈ 2% equity risk
Failing evidence
S1: 20-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
S2: 55-day Donchian breakoutNot confirmed
5/7 checks
zanger Avoid D Zanger read: a hard gate is broken — either the pattern is not one of his six, or the entry is more than 5% past the breakout. He would not touch this.
Passing evidence
Partial-profit plan: sell 20-30% at +15-20%Scale 20-30% at $51.99-$54.25; trail the rest
Trail on the 10/20-day MA10-day MA $44.62 · 20-day MA $42.64 — exit the remainder on a close below the trail
Failing evidence
Named Zanger pattern onlyWyckoff SOS is not one of Zanger's six
Not extended (≤5% above the breakout point)Not confirmed
3/6 checks
zweig Watch D Zweig read: part of his screen passes but not all: EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ); Insider buying — wait for the full growth screen before treating this as a Zweig setup.
Passing evidence
Reasonable price for the growth (P/E ≤ 35)Trailing P/E 19.0x — no PEG or forward P/E stored
Price strength (RS ≥ 70)RS score 86 — Zweig buys strength, not bargains
Failing evidence
EPS growth above the market (≥15% QoQ)-18.1% QoQ — Zweig wants growth above the S&P average
Insider buyingNo insider buying flagged
4/8 checks
Livermore Watch B Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.
Passing evidence
Price$45.21
Relative strengthRS 86
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.83x
Pivotal point cleared on expanding volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Darvas Watch B Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumBuilding the top of the box (3.1% from 52W high) — watch for a box breakout with volume expansion.

Passing evidence
Price$45.21
Relative strengthRS 86
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.83x
Box top broken on heavy volumeNot confirmed
4/6 checks
Wyckoff Watch B Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but volume vs average is unresolved.

mediumSign of Strength — breakout above trading range on expanding volume. Accumulation phase complete, markup beginning. RS 86.

Passing evidence
Price$45.21
Relative strengthRS 86
Failing evidence
Volume vs average0.83x
Sign of Strength confirmed on expanding volume0.83x average volume — needs ≥1.4x
4/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
123RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +10 A
A: 19 D: 9 Net: +1065 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 5/7 met
B 5/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (8/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -18%
✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +0%
✓ Gross margin ≥30% 74%
✓ ROE ≥17% 18%
✓ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 86
✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
✓ Within 25% of 52W high -3.1%

Method Playbook

Trade it like Darvas EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Darvas B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the top of the active Darvas box near the high as the mechanical breakout boundary.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require price to clear the box top with volume confirmation; movement inside the box remains observation, not a trigger.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Start below the active box support or the canonical structural stop that proves the breakout failed.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: As higher boxes form, raise the stop beneath the newest confirmed box floor; the stop moves up only.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price breaks the active box floor or decisively falls back through the breakout structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

Wyckoff SOS Historical replay: +20% before −8% within 40 sessions: 15% (n=225) · source bars 2024-11-01–2026-10-26 · avg +0.3% per setup (+0.04R) ⚠ Extended past buy zone ⚠ Not actionable yet
55 setup score
RS Score 86
Trend template 8/8 ✓
CANSLIM 65.5* (B)
range low: 34.812 range high: 39.87 range pct: 0.145 sos thrust: 0.152 sos vol ratio: 1.434 sos bars ago: 2 near lps: ✗ validation reason: valid generic setup multi tf evaluated: ✓ multi tf reason: weekly: MA stabilizing or rising — accumulation context supported
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Wyckoff SOS · schematic

SOS: breakout above range_high=39.87, thrust=15.2%, vol=1.4x avg, lps=extended, 2 bars ago | Strong trend (8/8) | Top RS (86) | Moderate pattern (63%) | Accumulation (2.0× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2 | Readiness 49/100 (early) | CANSLIM 65.5 (B) | ⚠ Extended past buy zone; Not actionable yet

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

3/7 universals met
  • Clear of earnings — not met in 6 days — event risk
  • Not chasing (in range) — not met Not met — levels are a Pro detail
  • A relative-strength leader — partly met RS rank 70 — middling
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.8× average — light
  • Asymmetric reward — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 8/8
  • Risk is defined — met Met — levels are a Pro detail
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

8/8 ✓

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $45.21 vs SMA150 $38.07 / SMA200 $36.34
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $38.07 vs SMA200 $36.34
SMA 200 trending up Slope +1.00 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $41.98
Price above SMA 50 $45.21 vs SMA50 $41.98
30%+ above 52-week low +56.9% from $28.81
Within 25% of 52-week high -3.1% from $46.67
RS score above 70 RS 86

Fundamentals

52W Range
92%
Mkt Cap SEC
10.4B
EPS QoQ
-18%
Rev YoY
+0%
ROE
18%
Gross Margin
74%
D/E
0.99
EPS TTM
$2.38
P/E TTM
19.0x
Float
230M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Company profile
Match Group, Inc.
MTCH · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Internet Software/Services
O'Neil · Grade Card
CANSLIM — current EPS, annual EPS, new highs, supply, leader RS, inst. sponsorship, market
B 65.5* CANSLIM * disqualified on C, M
C · Curr. EPS
28
A · Annual EPS
68
N · New Highs
100
S · Supply/Demand
70
L · Leader RS
86
I · Inst. Spons.
100
M · Market
30

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
88
W. Support
$33.79
W. Resist
$46.67
W. Patterns
Cup & Handle Base Breakout
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Oct 23: 89 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 23: 91 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 23: 95 (Pocket Pivot)Oct 26: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Oct 27: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)55
Oct 27
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55
Oct 26
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55 0.0%
Oct 23
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
95 -1.1%
Oct 23
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
91 -1.1%
Oct 23
Pocket Pivot ✓ Gate
89 -1.1%

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